DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Still somewhat newish to the weather game. Does this mean that we get colder air and does not slide the east or... Cold air wouldn't dump south off Alaska with the trough well offshore as models have been showing the past few days. It would come down more from the northwest/north-northwest perhaps just off the BC Coast. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Yep. Day 3 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 3 (Pivotal) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 5 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 5.5 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 6 Arctic trough digging southwest over southern BC. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FroYoBro 2707 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 The 0z is a solid improvement for the weekend trough. Chilly. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 6.5 Chilly 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Backdoor cold 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Much colder run. Nice improvement and in the sensible Day 4-7 time frame. 2 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 WRF may look very chilly. C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 20 minutes 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 00z GEM Day 5.5 Canadian may be trying to go places Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 00z GEM Day 6 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1506 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Nice improvement!! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 00z GEM Day 6.5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5809 Posted November 2, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 EVERYBODY, GET IN HERE!!! 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14345 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 3 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Very good potential ahead especially if that trough pinches off with the cut-off low around Day 2.5 to 3. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3715 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 00z GEFS Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Same trend to pinch the trough off sooner with cut-off low developing and ridge merger. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 00z GEFS Day 6 Ensembles trending colder, and backdoor chill into Columbia Basin. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Chewbacca Defense 1195 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GEFS Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Same trend to pinch the trough off sooner with cut-off low developing and ridge merger. You say pinch off, and all I can think of is pinching a loaf....are you saying the models are going to s**t the bed? 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Not bitterly cold or anything, but 850s -8c to -10c Gorge/Columbia Basin/Eastern Washington Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 7.5 Block redeveloping/reorganizing Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 00z GFS Ensembles long range after Day 7 was fairly close to a secondary cold shot as the mean block position remains at 150-160 W. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10875 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals I’m in the gray!! 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Pretty chilly for the 2nd week of November. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Dan the Weatherman 393 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 29 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 7.5 Block redeveloping/reorganizing I would like to see that pattern further west than shown here, so that the good portion of the Pacific coast can finally get some decent rain and mountain snow, especially in California! All this will do is produce little rain and yet more offshore winds which is the last thing we need right now! 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Same trend on the EURO to pinch the trough off develop cut-off low and ridge merger sooner. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 4 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 6 Euro trying to get there! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Heights over southern Alaska a bit higher than the GFS at Day 6 by about 6 dam. Block stronger also. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1347 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 A 33/57 day. Currently 39. Nearby Sumas Mountain is 55. Inversion! 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 6.5 cold air spilling back into Eastern Washington Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 12258 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Pretty darn cold GFS run tonight. The ensemble 850 graph shows a very impressive crash compared to previous runs. Looks like the initial cold could be here as early Thursday or Thursday night. Currently 39 after a 59 / 32 range today. Could easily be looking at another freeze tonight. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 55 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 I really like the improvements on the 00z GFS/GEFS, EURO 6z NAM in 1 hour 1 minute 6z GFS in 2 hours 50 minutes 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 12258 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 The surface pressure gradients become continental on tonight's ECMWF, but not overpowering which should be excellent for cold min temps. At this point I think a couple of nights in the low to mid 20s for the cold spots looks pretty possible. Maybe a couple of highs of 45 or below. Tonight's GFS was hinting something a bit colder could be possible though. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 55 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 and I fell asleep.... whoops 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1506 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Not a lot of snow for the Cascades Quote Link to post Share on other sites
weather_fan 43 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Any snow expected for espl? 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1506 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 A little snow before an over running event. If we can keep that cold tho..... 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5809 Posted November 2, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 At this point they're going to have to start to name Atlantic Hurricanes by cup size once they get through the Greek Alphabet. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
JBolin 1111 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 32 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: At this point they're going to have to start to name Atlantic Hurricanes by cup size once they get through the Greek Alphabet. Hurricane "Lard a**" doesn't have the same ring to it. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 00z EPS Day 7 850mb Temp Anomaly Trending colder (Past 4 runs) 6z NAM (Past 3 runs) We continue to see the trend last nights 00z GFS/GEFS, EURO/EPS all showed. The trough is pinching off even sooner with ridge merger occurring more quickly and cut-off low. The block is also trending much stronger. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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