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November 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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Downvote this post if you want a windstorm.

Briefly beautiful sunrise this morning. Shot from the car. You can even see the inverted shadow of Mt. Hood.  

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1 hour ago, Weather1011 said:

Yeah but most people are not going to get super excited over typical November weather is the point.

Why not. This is a weather forum and “typical” November weather hasn’t been all that typical lately.

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This will actually likely be a less windy run from its 12z counterpart despite the much closer main low placement. This is because it consolidates its energy more into a more closed low form, rather than the weird height falls to the SE of the low center that would spawn the quick wind burst. Low is closer, but still miles offshore.

If the Euro ensemble members pick up on a closer low but continue the extraneous height falls, there could be a higher % of windy members. Or maybe they consolidate around the main. We'll find out soon enough.

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7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

image.thumb.png.7ea411d27982ec9ce2da8c156c317382.png

Not bad. A little stronger in the Puget Sound region due to random mesoscale features that won't be ironed out until the few hours preceding it. Overall a very similar run. Still high uncertainty with this system.

I’m in the red! 

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Tonight's GFS wasn't bad at all.  A lot of action and some unusually strong surface lows well SE of where you would normally see them.  If we're going to get a big windstorm I'm betting it will be between now and when the serious blocking sets up later on.  It would be surprising if we don't see a good one sometime this month IMO.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 35

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:
Day 9'er Cold, deep trough. Very nice.
500h_anom.na.png

That period is starting to look interesting.  The GFS has something similar around day 10.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 35

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 hours ago, Jesse said:

Why not. This is a weather forum and “typical” November weather hasn’t been all that typical lately.

Do you always have to put your 2 cents into everything ? I was just saying that it would make sense why the forum isn't really busy right now it's not surprising at all.

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

image.thumb.png.7ea411d27982ec9ce2da8c156c317382.png

Not bad. A little stronger in the Puget Sound region due to random mesoscale features that won't be ironed out until the few hours preceding it. Overall a very similar run. Still high uncertainty with this system.

I'm up in Vancouver so ill take it.

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Wound up with 0.25” today. Tomorrow should be our 5th day in a row with rainfall. 11 out of 15 days this month have had rainfall so far...about to be 12 for 16. 

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-14

Monthly rainfall-5.25”

Cold season rainfall-32.07”

Snowfall-15.5”

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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

Tonight's GFS wasn't bad at all.  A lot of action and some unusually strong surface lows well SE of where you would normally see them.  If we're going to get a big windstorm I'm betting it will be between now and when the serious blocking sets up later on.  It would be surprising if we don't see a good one sometime this month IMO.

At some point we will get a decent storm. Hopefully it snows soon too. 

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-14

Monthly rainfall-5.25”

Cold season rainfall-32.07”

Snowfall-15.5”

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52 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

If you have time off, it might be worth a ferry ride to southern Vancouver Island near Ucluelet or Port Renfrew. Victoria will be significantly wind shadowed, so not there..

I honestly never thought of that before and that actually sounds like a great idea. 

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21 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

6z NAM 3km What the heck. The low moves into Central Vancouver Island. That's new. Looks like a HUGE windstorm for Bellingham.

nam3km_mslp_wind_nwus_37.png

image.png

I’ll take one southerly trend please.

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Only 25% of 00z Euro members get above 55mph gusts throughout the region, same as 12z suite, but the ones that do go crazy. A few 70+'s in there. Still disagreement on timing, though this time within the 12pm Tue. and 12am. Weds timeframe instead of the wild 30 hour spread in timing 24 hours ago. As to be expected with a cyclone that has finally begun development.

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gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_53.png

Close

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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