DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3524 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: I think so. Good circulation center really spinning on IR loop. They don't want to accept they were wrong with it. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Day 5.5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
seattleweatherguy 480 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 16 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 00z GFS cut back on the wind pretty much everywhere but the coast. Still good for 40-45 mph for most inland areas though. Hmmm we will see what the Euro says Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Day 7 Jim(and many others) are going to like this 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
VancouverIslandSouth 1741 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Snow up around Campbell River now: 4 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: Snow up around Campbell River now: Nice! What elevation is that roughly? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8940 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 51/45 here today. Morning rain with the warm front then partly to mostly cloudy conditions. Offshore flow through the Gorge held on and kept things quite a bit cooler than down south, despite the warming upper airmass. Mostly cloudy and 49 currently. Looking forward to the next storm tomorrow. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5630 Posted November 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 54F and outside smoking in a t-shirt. Nice summer night. 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
VancouverIslandSouth 1741 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Nice! What elevation is that roughly? That's at about 270ft asl. 1 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Just now, VancouverIslandSouth said: That's at about 270ft asl. Thanks Thanks 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8940 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: That's at about 270ft asl. I was gonna say I think they are close to sea level. Overrunning with the warm front? There must have been some cold air in place. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Day 10 La Nina in full control! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1321 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 hour ago, mtep said: I think about how awesome it would be if western Washington had more live-able highlands quite a bit. Winter would be a whole different animal. Even the people living at 800-1000' around Bham see much whiter winters. When moving to Whatcom County, I will confess that Glacier tempted me, not only for the snowier winters but for being so close to National Forest land. Ultimately, I decided to opt for the practical convenience of living closer to existing friends in Bellingham. But I still fantasize about the extra snowy days I'd get in Glacier. 2 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
umadbro 778 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 10 La Nina in full control! Geez 1 Quote KISS - Keep It Simple Stupid https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWARIDGE52 Link to post Share on other sites
VancouverIslandSouth 1741 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: I was gonna say I think they are close to sea level. Overrunning with the warm front? There must have been some cold air in place. I think it's a combination of heavy precipitation and cold air damming with the E/NE winds. It's not particularly uncommon up there during the winter, they probably get more coastal sea level snow than anywhere south of Alaska on the Pacific Coast. Temperatures were well above freezing up there during the day today but plummeted this evening. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, umadbro said: Geez Right? We haven't seen this in years. IF this pattern continues and progresses ahead in time, I would say Wednesday/Thursday 00z runs will be VERY wet/snowy more than that models show currently. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Long Range GFS it just continues Day 11 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1405 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Right? We haven't seen this in years. IF this pattern continues and progresses ahead in time, I would say Wednesday/Thursday 00z runs will be VERY wet/snowy more than that models show currently. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Alaska gets a PV lobe. Ice box up there. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10604 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Alaska gets a PV lobe. Ice box up there. Just a matter of time before it heads our way! 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5630 Posted November 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Just now, MossMan said: Just a matter of time before it heads our way! Isn't it pretty unusual for an Alaskan PV lobe to deliver down this way? 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14915 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Arctic air gets into NE Washington late in the run. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5630 Posted November 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 No action on the GFS down this way. Onto the EC!! 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10604 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Isn't it pretty unusual for an Alaskan PV lobe to deliver down this way? Jim will need to chime in on that. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6804 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Isn't it pretty unusual for an Alaskan PV lobe to deliver down this way? It can happen and it can be spectacular when it does. February 1989 is the modern classic example. But also December 1964 and November 1955, which is celebrating its 65th anniversary right now. 3 1 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
seattleweatherguy 480 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Just now, BLI snowman said: It can happen and it can be spectacular when it does. February 1989 is the modern classic example. But also December 1964 and November 1955, which is celebrating its 65th anniversary right now. How cold did it get in seattle during that time? 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10604 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Temp has skyrocketed to 53 degrees. Up to .72” on the day. Getting breezy as well. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FroYoBro 2649 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: Temp has skyrocketed to 53 degrees. Up to .72” on the day. Getting breezy as well. It is only 47 degrees here. Your spot sucks! 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6804 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 9 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said: How cold did it get in seattle during that time? Single digies. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1321 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 9 minutes ago, MossMan said: Temp has skyrocketed to 53 degrees. Up to .72” on the day. Getting breezy as well. 43˚F here. Warm-up coming soon… 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6804 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: It is only 47 degrees here. Your spot sucks! Randy will have to live vicariously through the SW part of the Portland metro area this winter. 1 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4403 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 12 minutes ago, MossMan said: Temp has skyrocketed to 53 degrees. Up to .72” on the day. Getting breezy as well. 46 here...0.57” today. Temp spread today so far has been 47/45. Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-15 Monthly rainfall-0.47” Cold season rainfall-32.56” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4403 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-15 Monthly rainfall-0.47” Cold season rainfall-32.56” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10604 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 12 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: It is only 47 degrees here. Your spot sucks! 54 degrees now! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5630 Posted November 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 All the way down to 51F. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
seattleweatherguy 480 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: 985mb nice Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5630 Posted November 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Any good snowshoe recommendations? Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
Requiem 2648 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Is the primary low 985 or that secondary low swinging up towards the coast? Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5630 Posted November 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, Requiem said: Is the primary low 985 or that secondary low swinging up towards the coast? I think it's the 966mb one to the north of Vancouver Island. Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 9 PM 46005: 28.97" (980mb), -0.10 (Falling) 46002: 29.13" (986mb), -0.06 (Falling) 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Skagit Weather 656 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 I stole this from twitter, but I've been watching the HRRR over the last few hours. This map has a fat 60 mph gust right over me. Would love to see that, but now we'll just have to wait and see. 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 6.9" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5") Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
seattleweatherguy 480 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 9 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: I stole this from twitter, but I've been watching the HRRR over the last few hours. This map has a fat 60 mph gust right over me. Would love to see that, but now we'll just have to wait and see. dang which model to trust shows 48 to 55 around me 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7241 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 00z Euro is... Pretty close to the GFS. Come on NAM! Quote Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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