Tom Posted August 11, 2014 Report Share Posted August 11, 2014 This could become a significant heat wave if everything works out just right. Euro ensembles/control still showing a long stretch of very warm weather to close out August and the CFSv2 now flipping to a very warm to almost hot situation. If this works out the way it is showing now, the summer as a whole may turn out slightly above normal in some areas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 11, 2014 Report Share Posted August 11, 2014 cloudy and low 70s today. looks a bit cool the next couple days before a slow warmup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 11, 2014 Report Share Posted August 11, 2014 Andrew was calling for a cold shot from Aug 15-19 based off the typhoon that hit Japan Aug 9th but that isnt going to happen according to the forecasts and current models.http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com/2014/08/mid-august-unseasonable-cold-blast.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 11, 2014 Report Share Posted August 11, 2014 18z GFS losing its grip on heat. But it's only one run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 11, 2014 Report Share Posted August 11, 2014 Andrew was calling for a cold shot from Aug 15-19 based off the typhoon that hit Japan Aug 9th but that isnt going to happen according to the forecasts and current models.http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com/Surprisingly, the cool shot wont come but these below normal temps today through Friday make up for it. Can't beat it when temps are in the 70's this time of year. Just getting ready for the heat when it does come. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Feels like October today, cold winds and cloudy skies with occasional showers and a 63F temp....might not get out of the 60's today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Euro keeps pushing the heat back towards the 20th, initially it had it for this Sunday. Still looks like its coming sooner or later but not as long. The transient/amplified pattern will continue. Might have a major severe wx outbreak when the cold comes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Euro keeps pushing the heat back towards the 20th, initially it had it for this Sunday. Still looks like its coming sooner or later but not as long. The transient/amplified pattern will continue. Might have a major severe wx outbreak when the cold comes. that first image...dang! that looks like a major cold shot. as for the heat its looking more likely that it will be short-lived. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 Check out how much Lake Michigan has cooled over the past couple days... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 It's crazy to see upper 40's water temps showing up on the eastern shores of Lake Michigan. Some major upwelling most likely occurring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 wish that would happen in the Pacific. lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 12z GFS says what heat wave??? This -NAO setting up could gear up some stormy and cooler weather instead. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FiNsTa Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 so much for a significant heatwave. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 so much for a significant heatwave.Yup, its been the same pattern for the last 10 months and I don't see the new LRC pattern to be that much different heading into the Fall/Winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 yeah i noticed GFS has trended much cooler compared to recent runs. im happy with that.what is 12z Euro showing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FiNsTa Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 bring on the heat, i'm nowhere close to ready for fall yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 yeah i noticed GFS has trended much cooler compared to recent runs. im happy with that.what is 12z Euro showing?Mid/Upper 80's next Thu, Friday is almost hot and into Saturday it looks like...seems like this run it could last a few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 Mid/Upper 80's next Thu, Friday is almost hot and into Saturday it looks like...seems like this run it could last a few days.and 50s in N Dakota?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 thats a sharp contrast setting up somewhere in the upper midwest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted August 13, 2014 Report Share Posted August 13, 2014 Today marks the 10th day in a row with highs below 80F in Milwaukee. There's a decent chance we stretch it to at least 12 days, possibly two straight weeks. Considering we're talking about the first half of August, that is pretty impressive. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 14, 2014 Report Share Posted August 14, 2014 GFS really starting to show that sharp temp gradient later in the month. Gonna be fun watching where it ends up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 14, 2014 Report Share Posted August 14, 2014 My lows tonight are forecasted to be in the 40's?????!!!!!! Is this August or late September???!! Wow, maybe record low territory tonight.....have to wait and see how that goes. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 14, 2014 Report Share Posted August 14, 2014 Check out those temps in Saskatchewan! Upper 30's are nuts...meanwhile, no 90's showing up in our region...Heat Wave being beaten back like Mike Tyson knocking someone out in the last round! Hahaha 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted August 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted August 14, 2014 Check out those temps in Saskatchewan! Upper 30's are nuts...meanwhile, no 90's showing up in our region...Heat Wave being beaten back like Mike Tyson knocking someone out in the last round! Hahahayou can tell that fall is here up north of the conus so that means that fall will be here towards late next monthdown here in the us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 14, 2014 Report Share Posted August 14, 2014 sharp temp gradient continues to show up on models. gonna be fun to watch unfold. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 14, 2014 Report Share Posted August 14, 2014 glad we are going into an active period this weekend into next week. been quite boring lately. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted August 15, 2014 Author Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 By the looks of it, it seems like this could be a relatively sustained period of at least average temps. We have 2 blocking highs... the Bermuda high and a ridge off the west coast.(source accuweather fourms) if this pans out throughout the fall then we are in for nasty snowstorms for this winter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 15, 2014 Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 looks to be an active zonal flow setting up. prolly fairly seasonal temps for a while Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 15, 2014 Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 GFS starting to trend back warmer....keeping the majority of the cool weather in Canada. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 15, 2014 Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 GFS starting to trend back warmer....keeping the majority of the cool weather in Canada.Upper 80's are a good bet, MAYBE a spotty 90 here and there...but the cool comes back and lots of rain in the region will keep things cooler. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 15, 2014 Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 temps have been lowered here for the weekend due to clouds and rain. and i believe my are is expected to be on the cold side of the low. ill take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 15, 2014 Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted August 15, 2014 Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 By the looks of it, it seems like this could be a relatively sustained period of at least average temps. We have 2 blocking highs... the Bermuda high and a ridge off the west coast.(source accuweather fourms) if this pans out throughout the fall then we are in for nasty snowstorms for this winter. This is a HUGE day... the24weatherman just made his first ever post with complete thoughts properly separated by punctuation. Well done sir, and congratulations! Keep up the good work buddy! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FiNsTa Posted August 15, 2014 Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 This is a HUGE day... the24weatherman just made his first ever post with complete thoughts properly separated by punctuation. Well done sir, and congratulations! Keep up the good work buddy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 15, 2014 Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 cloudy and low-mid 70s here all day. had a few sprinkles but the main event is just missing me to my south and west. kinda muggy but im liking the cooler temps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 15, 2014 Report Share Posted August 15, 2014 GFS has been showing a big system around the 25th. Reminds me of a winter type system. Moves from sw-ne and has a ton of moisture with cold air (for summer standards) wrapping in behind it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 16, 2014 Report Share Posted August 16, 2014 havent seen this in a whilehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 16, 2014 Report Share Posted August 16, 2014 warm GFS run tonight. very summerlike. would the warmer pacific waters be influencing models yet??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 16, 2014 Report Share Posted August 16, 2014 http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/newsstory/2014/650x366_08151837_hd26.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 17, 2014 Report Share Posted August 17, 2014 The Euro continues to swing wildly from cool to hot to cool to hot to cool in the later range. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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