December 2020 Observations and Discussion

[jaster220]

First chilly week of winter around here. We had that one fluke cold day and a half, but this looks legit December stuff.

 

[Niko]

9 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

First chilly week of winter around here. We had that one fluke cold day and a half, but this looks legit December stuff.

 

Cant get any drier than that amigo!!

[Niko]

Cloudy day today w temps not budging. Currently at 32F.

[snowstorm83]

Thick cloud cover today, snow probs isn't going anywhere. Looks like a solid 2-3" of snow depth, just enough to set the Christmas mood. 

[james1976]

This keeps showing up. Should have cold air to work with as well.

[Tom]

51 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Next system looks to give my area and west and southwest of me a nice several inches Monday night into Tuesday. NWS Hastings saying over 3” from the Highway 183 area and west of there. That is one of the two major highways that come through my town, the other being Highway 6. 

12z Ukie...tossing another few inches your way...suddenly, your holding the snow magnet...

[OmahaSnowFan]

60s still showing up in Nebraska right before Christmas

[Minny_Weather]

Received 0.2" on my patio from the frontal passage. Should have started a thread. 24*F.

[OmahaSnowFan]

7 hours ago, Tom said:

This comment may be off topic but I thought I'd throw it out there.  I'm not a conspiracy type of guy but I'm also not naive and I can read between the "fine lines" and see the "signs" so to speak.  Anyhow, you hear Dr. Fauci and all these top officials saying to prepare for "Dark Winter".  Did it ever cross your mind maybe they are referring to ACTUAL Winter and not the virus???  Or Both???  I've been thinking about this a lot lately and when I analyze what I've been seeing in the climate models, esp the robust trends in the CFSv2 of a brutal looking January...you have to wonder if these scientists or gov't officials have known that this Winter could be an epic one for the CONUS.  Something to ponder about as we move along...

 

Meantime, I think this is what @OKwx2k4was talking about that winter's fury is about to begin late month into Jan...

Jan 18th '21...Ice Box nation...

So add long range weather forecasting to Dr. Fauci's resume? Only on a winter weather forum would you see that claim.

I can guarantee you they're talking about the 250k new cases per day and 3k+ daily deaths as the "dark" they were referencing, not whether Texas has snow in January.

[Minny_Weather]

5 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

So add long range weather forecasting to Dr. Fauci's resume? Only on a winter weather forum would you see that claim.

I can guarantee you they're talking about the 250k new cases per day and 3k+ daily deaths as the "dark" they were referencing, not whether Texas has snow in January.

It wasn't a serious post. Scroll past.

[Clinton]

More than a little early for these types of maps but with Christmas less than 2 weeks away and high confidence in both a pre and post Christmas storms here is the GEFS mean for the system due in prior to Christmas.

[CentralNebWeather]

18 minutes ago, Tom said:

12z Ukie...tossing another few inches your way...suddenly, your holding the snow magnet...

What a pleasant surprise. Most models are in the 2-5” range, but there is a distinct cutoff as you move East even just a few counties. I would be concerned about changes to the forecast, but this is coming Monday night into Tuesday, so not too much time for this to disappear. 

[OKwx2k4]

Well, this sucks. I'm right where the phase change is. 

[hlcater]

Man any chances at sustained cold look fleeting through the end of the year to say the least. Not to say it cant/won't snow again, but building up any appreciable depth will be difficult. Which I guess is to be expected in a nina winter anyways.

[james1976]

CMC also has the storm arriving by the 23rd. Also shows a weak system moving through IA this weekend. 

[Minny_Weather]

Seasonable temps feel brutal.

[OmahaSnowFan]

1 hour ago, FAR_Weather said:

It wasn't a serious post. Scroll past.

Seemed pretty serious to me. You should listen to your own advice too

[Minny_Weather]

2 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Seemed pretty serious to me. You should listen to your own advice too

This sub is never pretty when people go unhinged on others. Just trying to prevent that. 

Rest assured, it was not serious, nor would it ever seem serious to a level head.

[OmahaSnowFan]

Just now, FAR_Weather said:

This sub is never pretty when people go unhinged on others. Just trying to prevent that. 

Rest assured, it was not serious, nor would it ever seem serious to a level head.

Scroll on by....

[OmahaSnowFan]

Current snow won’t have a chance of making it to Christmas so hopefully something falls just before or on Christmas 

[Minny_Weather]

3 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Scroll on by....

Aight, I'll scroll past the misfitting and serious failure to admit fault "no u" reply. 

[james1976]

I have mainly 20s and 30s in my 15 day. Definitely looking more winterlike.

[Minny_Weather]

2 minutes ago, james1976 said:

I have mainly 20s and 30s in my 15 day. Definitely looking more winterlike.

Same! Except here, that's actually near to above normal.

[james1976]

Mood flakes in St Paul currently! Just 25°

[Minny_Weather]

Wind chill is down to 4*F here. 

[james1976]

Snowing hard here in Vadnais Heights (St Paul)! Ground is getting white

[CentralNebWeather]

NWS Hastings mentions in their afternoon disco that amounts are trending up for the snow event Monday night into Tuesday. Has my area in at least 2-4” and may need to issue a Winter Weather Advisory. Nice. 

[St Paul Storm]

First measurable snowfall in a month. 0.2” down. As strange as that is to say, we’re still near average YTD on the season. 

[james1976]

1 minute ago, St Paul Storm said:

First measurable snowfall in a month. 0.2” down. As strange as that is to say, we’re still near average YTD on the season. 

Yeah its been snowing most of the afternoon in Vadnais Heights. Eyeballing maybe 1/2 inch. Everything is white

[james1976]

DMX talking a system next weekend. Hope temps are cold enough. GFS seems warm but we know how that turned out with this past storm.

[Stormhunter87]

10 minutes ago, james1976 said:

DMX talking a system next weekend. Hope temps are cold enough. GFS seems warm but we know how that turned out with this past storm.

GFS does seem to have a warm bias.

[james1976]

18z GFS with the 23rd-24th storm way up in Canada this run. At least its 10 days out yet.

[Grizzcoat]

Snowpack and stratus kept temps 5F below forecasts today in C.IA. 26F for high with this AM 14F for low.  Might make a run at single digits if stratus clears out tonight into tomorrow AM.

[james1976]

4 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Snowpack and stratus kept temps 5F below forecasts today in C.IA. 26F for high with this AM 14F for low.  Might make a run at single digits if stratus clears out tonight into tomorrow AM.

I'm curious to see how much snow I have OTG when I get home late this evening. Hoping temps stay cold enough to keep it around a few days.

[Niko]

How sweet is this:

NOAA: NYC area

Given the supply of low level cold air and unlikelihood of
warmer air intruding aloft, this event looks to be all snow for
just about the entire region, except maybe the south shore of
eastern Long Island for a time. Too early to get into the
mesoscale details here, but confidence in significant snowfall
amounts continues to increase, with potential
for over a foot of snow in areas that experience the best
mesoscale lift and snow growth NW of the low track.

NE winds should also be quite strong along the coast due to the
pressure gradient between the strong high to the north and the
developing low, as high as 25-35 mph with gusts up to to 45
mph, causing considerable blowing and drifting of snow and at
least near blizzard conditions.

• Wednesday
  Night

  

  Heavy Snow
  and Windy

  Low: 27 °F

• Thursday
   

  

  Windy. Heavy
  Snow then
  Chance Snow
  Showers

  High: 30 °F

   Would not be surprised if Blizzard Warnings go out.

[snowstorm83]

High of 26 today after a forecast of 34. Skies are just now clearing, several hours later than expected which kept temps down. LNK should have first single digits of the season tonight. Combo of light winds, clear skies, and snow cover should tank temps. OAX is forecasting 9. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Local weather apps say 1-3” tomorrow night and 1-3” on Tuesday. Ok. 

[Minny_Weather]

Wind chill is down to -4*F. 

[OKwx2k4]

2 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Local weather apps say 1-3” tomorrow night and 1-3” on Tuesday. Ok. 

Hope you score buddy.

[Minny_Weather]

Down to -8*F on the wind chill. 

Forecasted high tomorrow is 15, even with full sun.