Blizzard777 Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 41* with a NW wind 5-10 48/30 today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 13 years ago tonight it got a little windy at the coast. Time flies... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 GEFS not good so far. Wants to move the ridge right over us by hour 276 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 31 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: East winds really cranking now. You're getting winds up there in the foothills even? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Three Corner Rock is 29 with east winds gusting to 56. Amazing they are that cold with the wind like that. Must be just under the inversion boundary. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: You're getting winds up there in the foothills even? No, I realized when I posted it probably sounded like I was, I was just looking at PDX on the hourly obs. Just took the recycling out. The deck is very frosty! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: GEFS not good so far. Wants to move the ridge right over us by hour 276 It's petty cold around the 10th. That seems to be a decently likely cold snap now. I would imagine if the ridge ends up back over us it will be short lived. The 12z EPS showed a steadily falling PNA in the 10 to 15 day period. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We are in the dead zone too. 40/29 under brilliant sunshine today. Was 38 at Silver Falls when I took my daughter over there this afternoon. Funny story about those ducks, they used to be mine, but I didn’t clip their wings and they flew off, now they live at the state park and we visit them. Lol. That is pretty funny. Nice that you can still visit them. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just had the first "Whoa!" gust of the evening. Well over 40mph. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 It's really interesting to see how the inversion interacts with the topography in cases like this. On Squak Mountain near Issaquah it is 36 on the windward side of the mountain and 48 on the leeward side. Both sensors are over 1000 feet. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Down to 33 now. If the wind doesn't break through it could get really chilly here tonight. Nice to get winter off on a frosty foot. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Just had the first "Whoa!" gust of the evening. Well over 40mph. Pretty healthy gradient tonight. It appears the wind has found several paths now. It always amazes me how every one of these situations has it's own unique signature. I have studied the east wind phenomenon for 20 years now and still get surprised sometimes by the wind not doing what I expect. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Starting to warm up here. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: That is pretty funny. Nice that you can still visit them. it's kind of funny. What I have discovered with ducks are that you can meet their basic needs of food and water, but if you don't make sure they have a nice area to swim, they will leave if they can. The descendants of the first few ducks I had live at our neighbors pond. My wife does a good job filling kiddie pools and such with water in the summer now and that keeps them happy. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Pretty decent downslope. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Pretty healthy gradient tonight. It appears the wind has found several paths now. It always amazes me how every one of these situations has it's own unique signature. I have studied the east wind phenomenon for 20 years now and still get surprised sometimes by the wind not doing what I expect. Likewise. It's often just a bit different dependent on a myriad of factors. Depth of cold air, strength of inversion, approaching low pressure, thermal trough/inverted trough, rate of pressure rises Eastern Washington to Columbia Basin, etc. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Bartlesville is a very very nice town by Oklahoma standards. Ah is it? Outstanding. Washington County, OK > Washington County, OR? I'm thinking yes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Down to 31 here. 50 down by the river. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Ah is it? Outstanding. Washington County, OK > Washington County, OR? I'm thinking yes. Yeah, it is where Phillips Petroleum was founded, and they still have some Conocco-Phillips corporate offices there. Also a notable frost hollow. They hit -28 in February 2011, breaking their all-time record of -25 from January 1930. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, BLI snowman said: 31 here. 50 down by the river. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah, it is where Phillips Petroleum was founded, and they still have some Conocco-Phillips corporate offices there. Also a notable frost hollow. They hit -28 in February 2011, breaking their all-time record of -25 from January 1930. Houses are cheap there too. https://www.redfin.com/OK/Bartlesville/325-Ridgecrest-Ct-74006/home/78983976 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Pretty steady north winds here. Down to 43 probably won’t get too cold tonight. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 00z GFS Analog Composite Day 6-10, 8-14 Scoring needs improvement, but the pattern is pretty dang nice. Can't go wrong with some of those analog years! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Hmmm.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Wow. Roaring gusts now. Already a few limbs down. If this ramps up too much more I'll have to keep an eye on my trees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 28 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It's petty cold around the 10th. That seems to be a decently likely cold snap now. I would imagine if the ridge ends up back over us it will be short lived. The 12z EPS showed a steadily falling PNA in the 10 to 15 day period. Yeah the EPS was nice, and I trust it more than the GEFS. The GEFS looks like it has 2 camps, one with ridging over us and the other with ridging in Alaska. The Alaska ridging solution seems to win out in the long run 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Chris Farley died on December 18, 1997 (sad). A little over three weeks later it snowed a lot (happy). 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS Analog Composite Day 6-10, 8-14 Scoring needs improvement, but the pattern is pretty dang nice. Can't go wrong with some of those analog years! The 12Z analogs has one comparison as early December . . . 2008. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Yeah the EPS was nice, and I trust it more than the GEFS. The GEFS looks like it has 2 camps, one with ridging over us and the other with ridging in Alaska. The Alaska ridging solution seems to win out in the long run Looking over both 00z GEFS/CMCE and both show the same signal with retrogression, but not far enough west, then Day 12-13 much sharper retrogression with mean block axis shifting to ~165-160 W. Interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Day 6 I think I like this! Ridge shifting offshore much more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 2, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 23 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS Analog Composite Day 6-10, 8-14 Scoring needs improvement, but the pattern is pretty dang nice. Can't go wrong with some of those analog years! 1968-69!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Day 7 Look how far west the Aleutian ridge is popping up. C'mon merger! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 Day 8 Messy, but close Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 2, 2020 Report Share Posted December 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Everything okay Dog? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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