Timmy Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: My wife served as a nurse in the Navy... and yes we ended up in SD because she was stationed at Balboa. Of all the far flung places in the world that she could have been sent and we ended up in beautiful San Diego! My wife had an rotc army scholarship and was set to accept it at UP, but I talked her out of it. We almost went that route and things would have been a lot different if we had. We would have traveled a lot and had some unique experiences I’m sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 This weekend/early next week looks seasonably cool. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Photographer playground out there this morning! You guys got some good shots as well! 28* and still patchy snow on the ground. Feels and looks like winter 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Photographer playground out there this morning! You guys got some good shots as well! 28* and still patchy snow on the ground. Feels and looks like winter Wow, some needs to come flip you over! Edit: Dang you fixed it so fast! Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Wow, some needs to come flip you over! Edit: Dang you fixed it so fast! Lol! Once in a while a photo goes wild! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Allow me to post a picture of a Saguaro Cactus... 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 34 minutes ago, MossMan said: Your snow did a little better than mine. I had turned back to a very light rain/drizzle around 9pm Monday evening even thought the temp stayed at 32.5... it sounded like you stayed all snow during the night. I must have gotten warm fingered or nosed or whatever it’s called. Yeah, it snowed constantly from around 5pm till early in the morning with no temp increase. I'm sure we will have some left in the shaded areas on Christmas morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Frosty with patchy fog, and a low of 31 this morning. 14th freeze of the cold season to date. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 45 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I bet your shaded areas make it to Christmas now that you have had a solid freeze! I hope so! The plowed driveway snow should make it for sure...albeit a little dirty/gravelly! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 8 minutes ago, crf450ish said: Allow me to post a picture of a Saguaro Cactus... Fixed 2 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 12z is OK. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Nice to finally have part of the property fenced, I can now have unmolested landscaping since the dogs can’t get to the front yard anymore. However the back part of the yard...I am going to have lots of work to do. It’s like I have a weekend full of golfers in my backyard without a frost delay! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 32 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 12z is OK. Looks like the same old stuff to me. But that is okay since that same old stuff produced the snow that I am currently enjoying. 28 now after a high of 38 yesterday. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Big question is whether the SSW event remains wave-1 dominant (displacement & decay of PV) or transitions to feature more wave-2 (quick split). Both 2018 and 2019 had significant wave-2 components. Late Jan 1989 was the 2nd strongest SSW ever recorded in terms of amplitude, even though it was mostly wave-1. But it was so massive it didn’t really matter..wind reversal still took place and cold just poured out of the arctic. Also aided by the deposition of easterly momentum. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Yeah, still not seeing anything worth tracking below the stratospheric level. Models look atrocious from coast to coast in early January. Even the CFS has jumped ship. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Isn't it amazing how accurate the models seem when nothing is going on? Probably because we are not paying attention to the small scale details. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Isn't it amazing how accurate the models seem when nothing is going on? Probably because we are not paying attention to the small scale details. I miss having fantasyland blasts to look forward to. I'm not sure if the recent change is because of better modeling tendencies or just a testament to the utter lack of cold air anywhere on the planet right now. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 I miss the old days when there always seemed to be a promising dip in the ensembles ten days out. Now it’s a pablum spread from stem to stern nearly every run. you beat me to it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I miss having fantasyland blasts to look forward to. I'm not sure if the recent change is because of better modeling tendencies or just a testament to the utter lack of cold air anywhere on the planet right now. Now we just get an 18z run every week or so that gives us some continental air and -6C 850mb temps. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 15 minutes ago, Phil said: Big question is whether the SSW event remains wave-1 dominant (displacement & decay of PV) or transitions to feature more wave-2 (quick split). Both 2018 and 2019 had significant wave-2 components. Late Jan 1989 was the 2nd strongest SSW ever recorded in terms of amplitude, even though it was mostly wave-1. But it was so massive it didn’t really matter..wind reversal still took place and cold just poured out of the arctic. Also aided by the deposition of easterly momentum. I'm sure you'll have some sort of out regardless. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Still looking like some decent snowfall in the Gorge for Friday/Saturday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Where is Rob or Jim? They always have a model that shows an artic blast at 15 days 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 I was never a Cubs fan, but living in the PNW I can relate. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Up to 32.4 degrees. DP Of 32.2. partly cloudy. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 31 under sunny skies. Given the topography and trees on the hill, we have direct sunlight between about 11a-2p now. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 31 under sunny skies. Given the topography and trees on the hill, we have direct sunlight between about 11a-2p now. I always miss these short days so much when they go. Clock is already ticking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: I always miss these short days so much when they go. Clock is already ticking. The only thing I miss about the short days is how they preserve the cold. 8 hours of daylight is kind of a bummer. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Tomorrow morning should see a frost at PDX. Last time PDX saw frost was on December 4, so a 19 day streak without any frost. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Tomorrow morning should see a frost at PDX. Last time PDX saw frost was on December 4, so a 19 day streak without any frost. How long has it been since HIO saw a frost. Or an AR? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Wow a sad day on the forum. Sounds like the experts have this winter decoded and it’s finished. Happy Merry Christmas Eve Eve! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 It would be cool to experience a winter in Burns, OR. One living at the end of the earth would be an interesting experience. Plus they get real winters out there. 9 for a low this morning. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burns,_Oregon 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Tenochtitlan Posted December 23, 2020 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Gorgeous morning up here, with a nice coating of snow still hanging on. I took a walk through WWU's campus and Sehome Hill--there's a bit more on top (630 feet up or so). The first picture is the view from the top of the watchtower. I've never seen the mountains so clear. In fact, I think I just barely made out a few skyscrapers in Vancouver, which I've never seen before! 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Looks like SEA-TAC had a freeze this morning. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tenochtitlan Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 There's also some cool frost crystals from the freezing fog last night. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It would be cool to experience a winter in Burns, OR. One living at the end of the earth would be an interesting experience. Plus they get real winters out there. 9 for a low this morning. They don’t get much precip. Kind of like Madras only more desolate. Don’t think single digits above or below zero will make you feel much better except for seeing sun if not socked in low clouds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 minute ago, paulb/eugene said: They don’t get much precip. Kind of like Madras only more desolate. Don’t think single digits above or below zero will make you feel much better except for seeing sun if not socked in low clouds FYI there’s no gas in Brothers in case you plan to escape to Burns for a therapeutic drive through the middle of nowhere 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 45 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Yeah, still not seeing anything worth tracking below the stratospheric level. Models look atrocious from coast to coast in early January. Even the CFS has jumped ship. The pattern that *initially produces* SSW thru Pacific/W1 conduit is crappy for PNW cold (see Jan 2019). However, once the PV is gone and MJO propagates (reduction in static stability increases MJO amplitude), the Arctic cold pool can much more easily propagate into PNW region, especially with La Niña low pass regime in charge. It’s why some of the greatest western winter months like Jan 1950, Feb 1989, Feb 2019, etc were preceded by quasi-zonal, mediocre upper level patterns. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: FYI there’s no gas in Brothers in case you plan to escape to Burns for a therapeutic drive through the middle of nowhere 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 45 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I miss having fantasyland blasts to look forward to. I'm not sure if the recent change is because of better modeling tendencies or just a testament to the utter lack of cold air anywhere on the planet right now. There’s a boatload of cold on Putin’s side of the pole. Evident via the jet extension triggered by the Siberian high descent. Our side is lackluster thus far, but that’ll change eventually. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 23, 2020 Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, Phil said: The pattern that *initially produces* SSW thru Pacific/W1 conduit is crappy for PNW cold (see Jan 2019). However, once the PV is gone and MJO propagates (reduction in static stability increases MJO amplitude), the Arctic cold pool can much more easily propagate into PNW region, especially with La Niña low pass regime in charge. It’s why some of the greatest western winter months like Jan 1950, Feb 1989, Feb 2019, etc were preceded by quasi-zonal, mediocre upper level patterns. Seems the models are more in love with the idea that she’ll take a licking but keep on ticking. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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