Jump to content

December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


Omegaraptor

Recommended Posts

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My wife served as a nurse in the Navy... and yes we ended up in SD because she was stationed at Balboa.    Of all the far flung places in the world that she could have been sent and we ended up in beautiful San Diego!  

My wife had an rotc army scholarship and was set to accept it at UP, but I talked her out of it.  We almost went that route and things would have been a lot different if we had. We would have traveled a lot and had some unique experiences I’m sure.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This weekend/early next week looks seasonably cool. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Photographer playground out there this morning! You guys got some good shots as well!

28* and still patchy snow on the ground.  Feels and looks like winter 

 

3F9D8809-28B6-48CB-9FFC-EFF7A6CB19D7.jpeg

5D9771DC-5AB3-4486-A730-66FE7BDB4C98.jpeg

Wow, some needs to come flip you over!

Edit: Dang you fixed it so fast!

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

Link to comment
Share on other sites

34 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Your snow did a little better than mine. I had turned back to a very light rain/drizzle around 9pm Monday evening even thought the temp stayed at 32.5... it sounded like you stayed all snow during the night. I must have gotten warm fingered or nosed or whatever it’s called. 

Yeah, it snowed constantly from around 5pm till early in the morning with no temp increase.  I'm sure we will have some left in the shaded areas on Christmas morning.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

45 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I bet your shaded areas make it to Christmas now that you have had a solid freeze!

I hope so! The plowed driveway snow should make it for sure...albeit a little dirty/gravelly! 

FCC3E295-2F47-4D31-99D6-E547B599B1DB.jpeg

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z is OK.

  • Excited 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nice to finally have part of the property fenced, I can now have unmolested landscaping since the dogs can’t get to the front yard anymore. However the back part of the yard...I am going to have lots of work to do. It’s like I have a weekend full of golfers in my backyard without a frost delay! 

03CAAE34-DCC3-4769-862E-2B8B19C6DC56.jpeg

6EDDACCD-24A8-4A7E-8F28-475FFB3766D8.jpeg

  • lol 1
  • Troll 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Big question is whether the SSW event remains wave-1 dominant (displacement & decay of PV) or transitions to feature more wave-2 (quick split).

Both 2018 and 2019 had significant wave-2 components. Late Jan 1989 was the 2nd strongest SSW ever recorded in terms of amplitude, even though it was mostly wave-1. But it was so massive it didn’t really matter..wind reversal still took place and cold just poured out of the arctic. Also aided by the deposition of easterly momentum.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Isn't it amazing how accurate the models seem when nothing is going on? Probably because we are not paying attention to the small scale details.

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Isn't it amazing how accurate the models seem when nothing is going on? Probably because we are not paying attention to the small scale details.

I miss having fantasyland blasts to look forward to.

I'm not sure if the recent change is because of better modeling tendencies or just a testament to the utter lack of cold air anywhere on the planet right now. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I miss having fantasyland blasts to look forward to.

I'm not sure if the recent change is because of better modeling tendencies or just a testament to the utter lack of cold air anywhere on the planet right now. 

Now we just get an 18z run every week or so that gives us some continental air and -6C 850mb temps. 

  • Sad 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, Phil said:

Big question is whether the SSW event remains wave-1 dominant (displacement & decay of PV) or transitions to feature more wave-2 (quick split).

Both 2018 and 2019 had significant wave-2 components. Late Jan 1989 was the 2nd strongest SSW ever recorded in terms of amplitude, even though it was mostly wave-1. But it was so massive it didn’t really matter..wind reversal still took place and cold just poured out of the arctic. Also aided by the deposition of easterly momentum.

I'm sure you'll have some sort of out regardless.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I was never a Cubs fan, but living in the PNW I can relate. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 under sunny skies. Given the topography and trees on the hill, we have direct sunlight between about 11a-2p now. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I always miss these short days so much when they go. Clock is already ticking.

The only thing I miss about the short days is how they preserve the cold. 8 hours of daylight is kind of a bummer. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It would be cool to experience a winter in Burns, OR. One living at the end of the earth would be an interesting experience. Plus they get real winters out there. 9 for a low this morning. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burns,_Oregon

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like SEA-TAC had a freeze this morning. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It would be cool to experience a winter in Burns, OR. One living at the end of the earth would be an interesting experience. Plus they get real winters out there. 9 for a low this morning. 

They don’t get much precip.  Kind of like Madras only more desolate.  Don’t think single digits above or below zero will make you feel much better except for seeing sun if not socked in low clouds

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, paulb/eugene said:

They don’t get much precip.  Kind of like Madras only more desolate.  Don’t think single digits above or below zero will make you feel much better except for seeing sun if not socked in low clouds

FYI there’s no gas in Brothers in case you plan to escape to Burns for a therapeutic drive through the middle of nowhere

  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

45 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, still not seeing anything worth tracking below the stratospheric level. Models look atrocious from coast to coast in early January. Even the CFS has jumped ship.

The pattern that *initially produces* SSW thru Pacific/W1 conduit is crappy for PNW cold (see Jan 2019).

However, once the PV is gone and MJO propagates (reduction in static stability increases MJO amplitude), the Arctic cold pool can much more easily propagate into PNW region, especially with La Niña low pass regime in charge.

It’s why some of the greatest western winter months like Jan 1950, Feb 1989, Feb 2019, etc were preceded by quasi-zonal, mediocre upper level patterns.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

45 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I miss having fantasyland blasts to look forward to.

I'm not sure if the recent change is because of better modeling tendencies or just a testament to the utter lack of cold air anywhere on the planet right now. 

There’s a boatload of cold on Putin’s side of the pole. Evident via the jet extension triggered by the Siberian high descent.

Our side is lackluster thus far, but that’ll change eventually.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

The pattern that *initially produces* SSW thru Pacific/W1 conduit is crappy for PNW cold (see Jan 2019).

However, once the PV is gone and MJO propagates (reduction in static stability increases MJO amplitude), the Arctic cold pool can much more easily propagate into PNW region, especially with La Niña low pass regime in charge.

It’s why some of the greatest western winter months like Jan 1950, Feb 1989, Feb 2019, etc were preceded by quasi-zonal, mediocre upper level patterns.

Seems the models are more in love with the idea that she’ll take a licking but keep on ticking.

  • Rain 1
  • Weenie 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...