December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

3yrs ago it was all about the Kona Low, 2yrs ago it’s all about the Retrogression, and last year it was all about the Low Solar. 
Wonder what we will have to obsess about next season. 

GLAAM’s comin’ back around at some point.

[Timmy]

16 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

GLAAM’s comin’ back around at some point.

What about kamchatka? Haven’t heard that in forever 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, Timmy said:

What about kamchatka? Haven’t heard that in forever 

Is that the old book where they make different blocking configurations look like sexual positions?

[Poulsbo Snowman]

13 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Is that the old book where they make different blocking configurations look like sexual positions?

I like the Rex Block.

[Gradient Keeper]

32 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

GLAAM’s comin’ back around at some point.

No joke the very first thing I thought was, "The GLAAM is due to make a comeback!", then I saw your comment.

[Gradient Keeper]

16 minutes ago, Timmy said:

What about kamchatka? Haven’t heard that in forever 

The ole Kamchatka bomb. Years ago thanks to @paulb/eugene I learned of its importance as a major key player for Gulf of Alaska blocking.

[MossMan]

I have continued down memory lane into the first full day of the wonderful February 2019 event. From forks to feet of snow. 

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

I like the Rex Block.

Oh that’s right!! 

[jakerepp]

Wanted to go through the Feb 2019 threads but there are literally so many pages I can't figure out where to look. 

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Wanted to go through the Feb 2019 threads but there are literally so many pages I can't figure out where to look. 

I think about page 50 is the start of the event. 

[jakerepp]

Just now, MossMan said:

I think about page 50 is the start of the event. 

Yeah, I figured that much out...but that was only February 3rd!

[MossMan]

I’m very disappointed that this video made zero mention of the SSW or the low solar. 
https://youtu.be/HPXhvbS0HL0

[Winterdog]

I just discovered a hidden trove of snow!!!

 

[El_Nina]

17 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Wanted to go through the Feb 2019 threads but there are literally so many pages I can't figure out where to look. 

Another late winter that turned things around. 1-2" night of the 4th that stuck around without even melting off the trees for 5 days. Followed by about an inch the morning of March 7 and 1-2" on the 9th. 

Morning of February 5th. 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

35 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Wanted to go through the Feb 2019 threads but there are literally so many pages I can't figure out where to look. 

It's actually good to start with the last few days of Jan when the first glimmers approached. The night shift was the first to pick up on it with one of the BC posters (I forget who) and myself noticing it. I'm pretty sure I immediately scoffed and assumed a rug-pull was in order but Tim's EPS set the record straight.

[Front Ranger]

6 minutes ago, Acer said:

I just discovered a hidden trove of snow!!!

 

Looks like the little guy is making a run for it.

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Looks like the little guy is making a run for it.

You beat me! My last little patch left me by late afternoon yesterday. 

[High Desert Mat?]

42 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

I like the Rex Block.

I’m more of a fan of the omega block. Lock that bit€h in place and we’re golden. As long as it’s in the right position. And not a golden shower. 

[jakerepp]

7 minutes ago, El_Nina said:

Another late winter that turned things around. 1-2" night of the 4th that stuck around without even melting off the trees for 5 days. Followed by about an inch the morning of March 7 and 1-2" on the 9th. 

Morning of February 5th. 

 

I took this on the evening of the 5th.

Very windy and cold, but not a lot of snow down by the water.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

And leading up to 2-25-19 I remember being pretty quietly doubtful.

[jakerepp]

Meanwhile, in Mongolia...

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just looking at January 1862 to get fired up for next month!

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

What is going to push that SSW out to the NW a little more?  

Edit: Or even W/SW would work.

The PV climo position is at the pole, and the stratospheric high climo position is over the NPAC. The warming is a result of subsidence and compressional heating inside/around the vortex as it is breached by the NPAC strat high. That’s why the anomalies show up where they do. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Timmy said:

That’s a temp anomaly at about 100k feet. Little bearing directly on the weather below.  What it does say is that cold air high up will be forced down, somewhere.  From what I understand it does increase chances of Arctic air and lower latitudes.

You’ve got it.

[Deweydog]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just looking at January 1862 to get fired up for next month!

Ice burns on the forum back then were very real and in fact quite deadly.

[FroYoBro]

Already colder this evening than it was this morning for my spot. 35 degrees right now.

[luminen]

Some snowy pics from Mt Seymour on Saturday (12-26). Snow was stupid wet. Thanks a lot Jesse. 

[Front Ranger]

38 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Meanwhile, in Mongolia...

 

Am I having deja vu? Seems like I saw this exact same post earlier.

[snow_wizard]

I just noticed most of the observations from Western WA already show cloudy skies.  That's going to kill the low temp potential for many.  Here it is clear and already down to 33.  The ECMWF advertised low clouds, but not this early.

[jakerepp]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Am I having deja vu? Seems like I saw this exact same post earlier.

You might’ve. I haven’t been online a ton today.

[snow_wizard]

40 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Meanwhile, in Mongolia...

 

If that vodka cold can find it's way to North America we could have some fun times coming.  We'll just have to wait and see.  Tons of potential going forward, but we have a ways to go.

[El_Nina]

20 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Already colder this evening than it was this morning for my spot. 35 degrees right now.

Same here, currently 35 after 37 this morning. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

You beat me! My last little patch left me by late afternoon yesterday. 

We’ve still got a solid covering. My daughter and I made a “frosty the snowman” before dinner tonight. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[MossMan]

My favorite day of February 2019 was the 10th, went from perfectly clear to snow in less than 5hrs, and that snow continued into all day of the 11th. So fun! 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

(Past 4 runs)

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 3

(Past 4 runs)

Hope you finished your laundry last night! 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4 North Pacific view

(Past 4 runs)

[Gradient Keeper]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Hope you finished your laundry last night! 

Yep! I even washed my Star Trek underoos!