Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 I don't think I have ever seen the Euro spit out so much snow at my location. Sometimes the Canadian has crazy totals, and the Drunk Uncle, but the Euro seems usually to be more realistic. I can get a lot of snow, but that much in a short time seems ridiculous, though I am sure it has happened before. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I don't think I have ever seen the Euro spit out so much snow at my location. Sometimes the Canadian has crazy totals, and the Drunk Uncle, but the Euro seems usually to be more realistic. I can get a lot of snow, but that much in a short time seems ridiculous, though I am sure it has happened before. Only 33 inches? I was trying to get the King to graciously dump 40"+... Maybe next run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 hours ago, iFred said: Kind of not looking forward to our future climate. Most of Canada will be temperate like here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, einsteinjr said: Most of Canada will be temperate like here. Yeah man. Yellowknife will average 35/20 in winter and 95/70 in summer. Gonna be even more mosquitoes there than there already are. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 29 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals (VERY WET! Washington Cascades quite snowy) @Brian_in_Leavenworth Me and my gf have a cabin in the woods outside of Leavenworth for Christmas weekend. I hope my car can make it through deep snow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, luminen said: Yeah man. Yellowknife will average 35/20 in winter and 95/70 in summer. Gonna be even more mosquitoes there than there already are. The average high in Yellowknife now during winter is about 8 degrees. So you think it will warm up 27 degrees? Even the most extreme climate sceneries don't show anything close to that. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I don't think I have ever seen the Euro spit out so much snow at my location. Sometimes the Canadian has crazy totals, and the Drunk Uncle, but the Euro seems usually to be more realistic. I can get a lot of snow, but that much in a short time seems ridiculous, though I am sure it has happened before. One time I saw some pics from Cle Elum during Feb 1916. The snow was many feet deep. I'm sure it was similar where you live. From what I gather that was the most snow they ever had on the ground there. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: @Brian_in_Leavenworth Me and my gf have a cabin in the woods outside of Leavenworth for Christmas weekend. I hope my car can make it through deep snow Have a great time! Not much snow now, and the warm weekend might wipe it out but maybe next week we get buried. Toward Lake Wenatchee and Plain they have more snow, as usual if that is where you are going. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: The average high in Yellowknife now during winter is about 8 degrees. So you think it will warm up 27 degrees? Even the most extreme climate sceneries don't show anything close to that. Yellowknife looks warm the next 8 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yellowknife looks warm the next 8 days. Golf and swimming weather! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 hour ago, AbbyJr said: Look at this insane Siberian SSW modelled on the GEFS. If this verifies, I like our chances of a significant arctic blast in the PNW in early-mid January. Seems models are already starting to pick up on GOA blocking right around that timeframe. -ENSO/+QBO combo with a Siberian SSW event seems like a perfect setup for us. I don't see this busting but I could be wrong. I hope I'm not though. Ka-Bam. 2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Interesting. Parts of the Midwest/N-Plains will have cooler averages for 1991-2020 versus 1981-2010. 5 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, Phil said: Interesting. Parts of the Midwest/N-Plains will have cooler averages for 1991-2020 versus 1981-2010. Illustrates exactly what we've seen so far in our neck of the woods. Much warmer during the summer, and slightly cooler during late winter/early spring. Then the rest of the year reflects the background warming state due to AGW, with a modest increase in average temperature. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: It goes to a good place... Another comparison 00z/12z. I will say the 12z block ended up a bit more amplified in the end because the energy moving off Asia is a bit stronger on the 00z but still looks nice. Well the ridge is about in the right spot, trough held back over western Bering Sea. We just need amplification now and stronger signal for southeast ridge. C'MON!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Init. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 2 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 3 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 4 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Meatyorologist said: 06z GFS Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 5 Not quite as amplified as the 00z Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Meatyorologist said: 06z GFS Day 5 Not quite as amplified as the 00z (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 6 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Meatyorologist said: 06z GFS Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 7 (Past 4 Runs, much less awkward on the same post) 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: 06z GFS Day 7 (Past 4 Runs, much less awkward on the same post) Another nice chilly trough on this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 I like that strong 1043mb high over southeastern BC nosing down towards Northeastern Washington. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 8 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Very strong east wind on this run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 I only post the past 4 runs for Days 4-7. Just a heads-up on that. You can do so beyond that point if you wish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: I only post the past 4 runs for Days 4-7. Just a heads-up on that. You can do so beyond that point if you wish. Alright, I won't. It's extra work and not doing so provides some continuity. I'll do so conditionally if comparing them seems pertinent to a point I want to make. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 9 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 10 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS 10 Day Precip/Snowfall 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 11 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 12 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 13 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 07z GFS Day 14 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 15 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 06z GFS Day 16 Beautiful pattern ruined by cutoff lows north of Hawaii. Either way, mother of all backdoor blasts as a PV lobe guns it SE into our area. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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