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December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The 12z GFS was pure unadulterated garbage. Kind of expected. The 18z yesterday was kind of interesting, but had absolutely no ensemble support. 

So you’re saying winter is over. Looking forward to pinning your “forks out” post on New Years Day.

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First snow of the year! Melting quick but at least a little left. Was down south picking up a new family member. 

Beautiful morning in the Blue Mountains of eastern Oregon. It was 12F when I took these pics around 8:30am. Gotta get our winter fix somehow.

Major shift on the 12z EPS to lower heights over the West with rising heights in the SE compared to the 00z last night. Looking like a really fun mid month on through the Holidays. Perfect timing IMO!

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24 minutes ago, Kayla said:

That front was a doozy out here this morning as well. Went from 45F at 9am down to 32F in 10min with very heavy snowfall and near zero visibility. Still pouring snow with 2.5" of snow in just the last hour and a half. Currently 26F.

121541094_ScreenShot2020-12-22at10_29_05AM.thumb.png.bf4a031f9106f32d705dd457f6b84b24.png

How is the fiber in Bozeman? Seriously considering a move if I don’t end up back on the east coast by 2025.

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4 minutes ago, iFred said:

So you’re saying winter is over. Looking forward to pinning your “forks out” post on New Years Day.

I was going to hold off until the EURO weeklies on January 7th, but I can certainly move the process up a bit if it is in the best interests of our forum community. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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4 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Would be nice if we could count on January to make up for it.

Can't say I'm feeling too good about it. There continues to be a lack of anything remotely impressive across the northern hemisphere. Even Alaska looks mild for the foreseeable future, unlike last year which at least delivered up there in spite of its ineptitude. 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I was going to hold off until the EURO weeklies on January 7th, but I can certainly move the process a bit if it is in the best interests of our forum community. 

Waiting until after me birthday. Thoughtful. :wub:

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At this point this winter is starting to throw off more and more of a 2000-01 vibe. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Waiting until after me birthday. Thoughtful. :wub:

Happy birthday young man. I know what you will be wishing for when you blow out those candles. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

At this point this winter is starting to throw off more and more of a 2000-01 vibe. 

Eh, the pattern that year really wasn't close to this.

November/December 2000 was extremely blocky and cold across the continent. One of the few genuinely impressive stretches this century for the country (although it was technically still the 20th century). Check out Bartlesville's records from that stretch!

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1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

Eh, the pattern that year really wasn't close to this.

November/December 2000 was extremely blocky and cold across the continent One of the few genuinely impressive stretches this century for the country (although it was technically still the 20th century). Check out Bartlesville's records from that stretch!

Yeah I was gonna say, that was a cold fall.

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Oof

prateptype_cat.conus.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Winter '20-21 felt over before it began in The Willamette Valley. Early cold feels like a bad omen to me. 

I do like the support this group offers to people that get down in the dumps about yet another blah winter. The encouraging comments about it still being early and how things can change quickly are all awesome but there is something to be said for adjusting to the fact that this winter is not going to deliver. I have stopped thinking optimistically and started thinking realistically and I feel a lot better. It's not a distraction now at least.

Onward!

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1 minute ago, rsktkr said:

Winter '20-21 felt over before it began in The Willamette Valley. Early cold feels like a bad omen to me. 

I do like the support this group offers to people that get down in the dumps about yet another blah winter. The encouraging comments about it still be early and how things can change quickly are all awesome but there is something to be said for adjusting to the fact that this winter is not going to deliver. I have stopped thinking optimistically and started thinking realistically and I feel a lot better. It's not a distraction now at least.

In late January 2019 plenty of Seattle-area posters were in full-blown winter cancel mode….

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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14 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Eh, the pattern that year really wasn't close to this.

November/December 2000 was extremely blocky and cold across the continent. One of the few genuinely impressive stretches this century for the country (although it was technically still the 20th century). Check out Bartlesville's records from that stretch!

Oh wow... Yeah... I was definitely wrong on that. Bville had their 2nd coldest December on record (26.6) and 17" of snow. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

In late January 2019 plenty of Seattle-area posters were in full-blown winter cancel mode….

Yes we were!! I was close to writing off winter and then I ended up with solid snow cover for 40+ days! 

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Just now, MossMan said:

Yes we were!! I was close to writing off winter and then I ended up with solid snow cover for 40+ days! 

Hearing about you getting lowland snow is like hearing about Jeff Bezos getting a pay raise.

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Just now, Jesse said:

Hearing about you getting lowland snow is like hearing about Jeff Bezos getting a pay raise.

Well he's gotta make back all that money his wife took from him. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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7 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

In late January 2019 plenty of Seattle-area posters were in full-blown winter cancel mode….

This is very true. Things did not look good leading up to February 2019 and then things suddenly changed. It does not look promising at the moment but hopefully the SSW around New Years will shake up the pattern for the better (as long as the SSW does occur).

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Just now, Canadian guy said:

This is very true. Things did not look good leading up to February 2019 and then things suddenly changed. It does not look promising at the moment but hopefully the SSW around New Years will shake up the pattern for the better (as long as the SSW does occur).

If it happens I will take everyone out for roast beef sandwiches and curly fries at Abby's.

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1 minute ago, Canadian guy said:

Chilly out there today. Currently sitting just below freezing. The 2 inches we got is frozen solid. 

Wish we could have dipped below freezing. We hit 32.4 during the snowfall but it’s been all uphill since. 😞

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Wish we could have dipped below freezing. We hit 32.4 during the snowfall but it’s been all uphill since. 😞

My location warmed up to 35 after the front passed but other parts of Victoria climbed to 40. Was surprised to wake up to a temp of 28 this morning  with hardly any melting other than on the cement and trees.

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43 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Can't say I'm feeling too good about it. There continues to be a lack of anything remotely impressive across the northern hemisphere. Even Alaska looks mild for the foreseeable future, unlike last year which at least delivered up there in spite of its ineptitude. 

I’d say odds are several orders of magnitude higher this year than last year. The pattern looks messy on guidance, but much of that is a reflection of the regime shift to high latitude blocking perturbing the wave pool.

First 7-10 days of January are unlikely to perform, but mid-January onwards gets interesting in a hurry if tropical analogs and history have anything to say about it.

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Only on this forum would winter be cancelled 12hrs after a dynamic front with an anafrontal snow thump. 😂

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4 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’d say odds are several orders of magnitude higher this year than last year. The pattern looks messy on guidance, but much of that is a reflection of the regime shift to high latitude blocking perturbing the wave pool.

First 7-10 days of January are unlikely to perform, but mid-January onwards gets interesting in a hurry if tropical analogs and history have anything to say about it.

Not sure what analogs are still relevant. 1988 is still our best hope, I suppose. Gonna have to watch Die Hard tonight to realize that dream.

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26 minutes ago, Jesse said:

If it happens I will take everyone out for roast beef sandwiches and curly fries at Abby's.

Abby's pizza is amazing. Love their pretzel-ish crust and their potato wedges.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 30 (Most recent: Jan 24, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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4 minutes ago, Phil said:

Only on this forum would winter be cancelled 12hrs after a dynamic front with an anafrontal snow thump. 😂

A few more tigers seem to be roaming the woods this morning.  

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Abby's pizza is amazing. Love their pretzel-ish crust and their potato wedges.

I had never had it until a couple years ago when we were in Bend.  Pretty D**n good.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Nice chilly period leading up to New Years on the 12Z Euro. Also a good run for snow in the central and eastern Gorge. We will be out there for New Years eve and day, so hoping for snow on the ground.

All in all a much better run than the 12Z GFS.

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Just now, Jesse said:

You haven't lived until you've tried their horney sauce and jamocha shakes.

Bolded is how I read this at first...

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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