Timmy Supercell Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That hill down to downtown K-Falls has to be horrifying with snow/ice. Oh yes, there was a Domino's pizza delivery car struggling to go up the hill. Last year right before Thanksgiving I saw a couple 4WD trucks sliding down that street. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 GFS starting to look like the EPS in the long run. Has a ridge flopping right over us. Hopefully just transient. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: The first round looks to be wrapping up, not sure if that next round will arrive after or before midnight. The ground, railing and garbage bins are an even 3.0". The last photo I tried to get deer shots, you can see the eyes at least (still a few apples for them to eat). I was using my point and shoot, I ended up needing to charge the batteries for my Sony DSC. The advantages of living at 4,000'. 1 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: GFS starting to look like the EPS in the long run. Has a ridge flopping right over us. Hopefully just transient. That looks like a ridge that will probably produce a nice 2-3 day inversion. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That looks like a ridge that will probably produce a nice 2-3 day inversion. If it starts on the cool side at the surface, and if strong offshore flow doesn’t interfere with it developing, and probably a few other preconditions. It’s not nearly so easy to get a lasting inversion here as it is in the valleys of northern Utah and Nevada. Though it is easier for the Willamette Valley to get one than my area. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That looks like a ridge that will probably produce a nice 2-3 day inversion. Looks to be eventually flattening out. Meanwhile, a ridge forms by the Alluetians. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Last frame: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Looks like something is about to happen at the end of the run. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Sexy Rexy headed for Maui! Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: Is your house on fire, Clark? Is Rusty still in the Navy? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Since we’re still a couple days away from winter storm watches and wind chill advisories, a couple more gift ideas. 1 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 10 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Since we’re still a couple days away from winter storm watches and wind chill advisories, a couple more gift ideas. Any chance of a shrinkage advisory too? Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 41 here...0.01” today to hit 0.87” on the month. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 32 and frosty grass. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Bye block. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: GFS starting to look like the EPS in the long run. Has a ridge flopping right over us. Hopefully just transient. That TPV anomaly in Canada somehow wiggles and wobbles back to its favorite island D8/9. All goes downhill from there. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 00z GEFS Day 9-10 NPAC jet dies and retracts back near ~180 W/Dateline. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Bye block. You couldn’t hear a dump truck driving through a nitroglycerin plant! 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 8 minutes ago, Phil said: That TPV anomaly in Canada somehow wiggles and wobbles back to its favorite island D8/9. All goes downhill from there. Ugh hopefully the models just haven't picked up on the SSW. If the SSW event doesn't verify, I'll be concerned. Even if it does, it's no guarantee. Here's hoping. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Ugh hopefully the models just haven't picked up on the SSW. If the SSW event doesn't verify, I'll be concerned. Even if it does, it's no guarantee. Here's hoping. Also remember a SSW isn’t necessary for Arctic cold/snow, particularly with Niña/+QBO ongoing for PNW region. It would improve the odds, but it’s not a prerequisite. All else being equal. If this was a niño winter, the situation would obviously be different. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Phil said: Also remember a SSW isn’t necessary for Arctic cold/snow, particularly with Niña/+QBO ongoing for PNW region. If this was a niño winter it’d be a different story. It would improve the odds, but it’s not a prerequisite. Good point. It's just that stubborn vortex that's making me a bit nervous. Hopefully we see some meaningful cold and snow in January. What do you think the odds are? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 9 minutes ago, MossMan said: You couldn’t hear a dump truck driving through a nitroglycerin plant! Kiss my a**, kiss his a**, Happy Hanukkah. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Hopefully we see something meaningful in January. What do you think the odds are? Odds are higher than average in my opinion. Since the 2nd half of December looks a bit too zonal at the moment (though still colder than average), I think the next window for big league cold/snow in your region would be second half of January into early February. The first two weeks of January might trend +PNA(ish?) again with a more consolidated MJO crossing the dateline. 3 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 What is this? Pile on Jim night??? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 The snowfall during the suicide scene in It’s a Wonderful Life is heavy AF. Looks convective. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: The snowfall during the suicide scene in It’s a Wonderful Life is heavy AF. Looks convective. Convergence Zone! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 31!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 I have hope for something before the 2nd half of January. EURO weeklies and GEFS give some hope. If we are talking about February then who cares. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 19 minutes ago, Phil said: Odds are higher than average in my opinion. Since the 2nd half of December looks a bit too zonal at the moment (though still colder than average), I think the next window for big league cold/snow in your region would be second half of January into early February. The first two weeks of January might trend +PNA(ish?) again with a more consolidated MJO crossing the dateline. Would be nice to see big league cold/snow before that but better late than never. Thanks for your insights. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I have hope for something before the 2nd half of January. EURO weeklies and GEFS give some hope. If we are talking about February then who cares. Yeah February’s suck. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Yeah February’s suck. We had 53" of snow that month. Put it in January plz. Starting winter in February is just getting old. 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We had 53" of snow that month. Put it in January plz. Starting winter in February is just getting old. I will agree with that...However if it comes down to it I will take what I can get. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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