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2014 fall forecast


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There are hints by some astrologers that we might have a trough dominated early fall in the Pacific Northwest.

 

Are you being serious here?  At any rate it looks like our much overdue pattern change is getting close now.  I am about sick and tired of above normal temps for a good long while.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I think the west will see troughing at least through early September. How long it lasts I think is still up in the air.

 

I could see a warm, ridgy October though.

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.. Early and Wet.

What we've seen over the past few days is looking good for the idea more general, I'd say.

 

Plenty of cold presence even at this point. Dropping south, in the right placesWest certainly leastwise. With an early build up of cold north, with the main and truer approach to Fall and with its beginning, being definitely within the realm of possibilities. 

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What we've seen over the past few days is looking good for the idea more general, I'd say.

 

Plenty of cold presence even at this point. Dropping south, in the right placesWest certainly leastwise. With an early build up of cold north, with the main and truer approach to Fall and with its beginning, being definitely within the realm of possibilities. 

 

Are you feeling a troughy Fall for the West, Richard?

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-


 


... With looking mainly at where we are here more in the West. 


 


As I view the idea, with the general abundance of cold north more broad-scope, looked at together with the way that / ways in which, colder air's been both moving, along with being distributed more generally, .. apart from a few basic, and even if more significantly amplified, also, fairly short-lived, stronger ridge-pattern setups, things broader pattern wise out over the Pacific and moving our way, have been fairly "troughy" for the first half of this summer. 


 


http://www.proxigee.com/20140626_12z_850-500hPa_t+000vt-loop.gif


 


This certainly, if you also count the shallower troughs generated, moving more quickly east.


 


So the potential is certainly there. 


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I think the west and especially mountain west regions will be troughy, cooler than average, and above average precip for the fall months. So with that...maybe some enhanced severe weather in the upper Midwest.

Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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