Madtown Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Thats about as classic as it gets! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Looking more and more share the wealth storm! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 I would like to see the storm amp up earlier so Iowa can get into the heavier snow. Models are split on this. The GFS doesn't really get going until farther east. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Canadian has snow in my backyard by noon Friday. Definitely quicker and further north than GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Canadian a little warmer this run with wave 1 and brings a lot of rain to CR and IC. Then the secondary wave is further north than the GFS and brings some decent snows to eastern Iowa. Further north fairs better since they stay snow the whole event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 12z Canadian is stronger, but marginal temps keep it all rain in se WI. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 I really hope the Canadian is on the right track. it would be fun to wake up to this Saturday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Canadian snow map is very different than the GFS. The two are only off by 12+ inches over southeast WI. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 All I can say is I hope the UK is showing snow in Iowa. Based on the SLP path it should be. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Those 1000-500 thicknesses are borderline, W IA looks ok, further E may be mix or rain Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Looks like KC will see some rain(not much) and maybe a few wet snowflakes Saturday.(We really need moisture(moderate drought here) The data never shows us getting below 33-34 degrees while the precipitation is here. Even in the snow areas, temps look just cold enough. Likely a really wet snow for the ones that get it. For the ones that get the snow, enjoy it, as the GFS goes back to a flame thrower across the country in the mid range. No deep cold anywhere to be found. Hopefully that changes soon. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 7 hours ago, Tom said: 00z EPS and Control... Crazy to see the Euro Op run so far removed from it's own Ensemble Mean. The Ens map seems in line with other models leaving the Op on it's own island. I see 6z finally fell in line with others but wow it was way off for several runs with the S track tease. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 J'aime la france 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 3 hours ago, Stacsh said: Another cold December rain for SMI. This is getting old. Don't forget the part where we wait another 50 days for our next chance hoping it's actually cold enough then. We aren't getting a "winter" this year. Maybe a random storm in April when we don't want one, but not a winter. If it does get cold, track will prolly move over to the EC or such. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Ukie 850 at 72. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 12z GEFS 1 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Uk is pretty consistent. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Hoping the king EURO jumps on board with the Ukie! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Ukie is sticking to it's guns and a solid track for here. It appears weaker though from earlier runs or trouble getting moisture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Loving the UKIE. Man that would be about as good as I can hope for with this storm. I'm guessing the NWS will wait until at least tomorrow morning to post any headlines. Even though model consensus is tightening there is enough variance yet to be cautious. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Factoring in marginal thermals, rather warm ground for mid-Dec and mixing issues , looks to me like WWA and 1-3 to perhaps 2-4 for most reading 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Ukie with 1.5" of QPF for Iowa City. Dang if it was just a little bit colder. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 The Friday night into Saturday morning timing should help with accumulation. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Unfortunately it will be a cold rain for us Chicago peeps but good luck to you all in Iowa and Wisconsin. Maybe the next round will be our turn but really wasn't expecting much anyway until maybe around Christmas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whatitdo Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Kalamazoo continues to be shafted in very near misses. Smh. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Euro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 UKIE would be 13” for me lol Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 The Euro is more amped like other models, but just tracks a bit farther south. The Euro is also faster than the UK. The UK has the heaviest snow here after 6am Saturday, while the Euro has it done by 6am. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Kuchera maps 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Starting to like the chance of a 2-4" event for SE Neb. I'm a little concerned about temps, Euro is 31 most of the storm, NAM/GFS hang around 32. Should be fine, but I would be annoyed by a 33 degree heavy snow that barely accumulates. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Using 10:1 here is what today's models show for my neck of the woods: Euro: Cedar Rapids - 4.5" Iowa City - 6.0" GFS: Cedar Rapids - 5.6" Iowa City - 6.0" UKMET: Cedar Rapids - 9.3" Iowa City - 7.2" Canadian: Cedar Rapids - 5.8" Iowa City - 4.0" NAM: Cedar Rapids - 7.6" Iowa City - 7.5" RGEM: Cedar Rapids - 9.0" Iowa City - 12.0" That averages out to right around 7" for both locations. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 10 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Starting to like the chance of a 2-4" event for SE Neb. I'm a little concerned about temps, Euro is 31 most of the storm, NAM/GFS hang around 32. Should be fine, but I would be annoyed by a 33 degree heavy snow that barely accumulates. Remember temp is measured at 2M. Some of the heaviest snow I seen accumulate here in IA was with 2M temp of 33F in Feb. That was with a cold ground though. Still, as long as surface temps are 32 or lower, that's all that matters. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 EPS Ensemble Mean. Looks a lot like it has for the past couple of days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Nice looking storm. Hoping this bumps a little SE. Happy with a couple inches 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 30 minutes ago, bud2380 said: EPS Ensemble Mean. Looks a lot like it has for the past couple of days. My guess around here is a 2-4" snow. With the ongoing drought, I'll side with the lowest amounts until proven otherwise. That's the way it has gone for the last 9 months. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 18Z NAM is quite a hit for Central and Eastern Nebraska. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 3-5/4-6 is probably a good guess in the max band in E IA right now. Expecting melting and compaction to play a decent role. Temps are actually rather cold aloft with little/no WAA nose present, so ratios may be decent(ie closer to 10:1). Especially with defo zone lift. 1 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Did they bring back the DGEX? jk.....NAM looks nice for a lot of peeps. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Hey, a low that doesn't track through Iowa! Congrats down there! Looking pretty good at the moment. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.