bud2380 Posted December 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 It's interesting the Kuchera ratios on the Euro are higher than 10:1 while every other model has Kuchera ratios less than 10:1 with this storm. We'll see what pans out. Personally, I think it will end up around 10:1 which it seems to more times than not. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: HRRR and Euro both switch DBQ to snow around 6pm, although the best snow won't arrive til after midnight. Much thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, bud2380 said: It's interesting the Kuchera ratios on the Euro are higher than 10:1 while every other model has Kuchera ratios less than 10:1 with this storm. We'll see what pans out. Personally, I think it will end up around 10:1 which it seems to more times than not. This was from hastings this morning mentioning the ratios in our CWA So far this morning the highest snowfall totals of 2-3" were reported in the Cambridge, Wilsonville, Kearney and Minden areas, with varying liquid to snow ratios from 13:1 to 30:1. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, gabel23 said: This was from hastings this morning mentioning the ratios in our CWA So far this morning the highest snowfall totals of 2-3" were reported in the Cambridge, Wilsonville, Kearney and Minden areas, with varying liquid to snow ratios from 13:1 to 30:1. Thanks for sharing. Good sign. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Getting ice and some big fatties mixing in here in fremont 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Latest rap 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Mostly rain but a little ice pelts mixed in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Update by OAX, pockets of 6-7" is possible! ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches with localized areas of 6 to 7 inches expected. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Nebraska and southwest Iowa. * WHEN...Until noon CST Saturday. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 That update was out about 1030am 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Snow flakes have started... 6 Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Custodian at school here measured 3" as of noon. Just flurries right now, but looks like more may pivot in from the northwest later this afternoon. We'll see. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Still waiting here. 34.0 degrees and just mist and ice pellets so far 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Definitely concerned about temps, not as warm as GFS so far, but not as cool as NAM/Euro. I'm supposed to get off work at 8 (serving) but it'll probably be slow af tonight so I'll probably get cut earlier. Hopefully I walk out to snow already on the ground 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 18z models aren't running. They are running on the main NWS site, but not on any of the good websites. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 18z HRRR 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 18z rap 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, bud2380 said: 18z HRRR 4 minutes ago, jcwxguy said: 18z rap Do those include what has fallen or whats to come?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 19z rap (mostly what's to come) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 19z.hrrr 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central and south central Nebraska. * WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. * WIND...North winds with sustained speeds near 15 MPH and gusts to around 25 MPH are forecast. This may result in minor blowing snow and temporary visibility restrictions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snow is expected to reside either side of the Interstate 80 corridor. Travel may be difficult at times due to bands of snow and reduced visibility. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Getting some more sleet mixed in now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 53 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Definitely concerned about temps, not as warm as GFS so far, but not as cool as NAM/Euro. I'm supposed to get off work at 8 (serving) but it'll probably be slow af tonight so I'll probably get cut earlier. Hopefully I walk out to snow already on the ground Pretty much every forecast I have seen didn't have any accumulations before 3pm, so the main show is still ahead of us... well hopefully. Once this rain/sleet mix changes over and the temps drop as night falls we shouldn't have too many issues seeing snow accumulate. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Eyeballing, but it looks like somewhere around 3" with additional snow to come. Looks like I might luck out and pick up a half a foot of snow! 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 18z ICON Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 20z rap 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just look at the deformation band building right through the heart of central/eastern nebraska. Looks like it's lining up really well with the short term models! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Looks like some sleet is starting to mix in here now, with some decent looking snowflakes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Gone to mostly snow now in fremont 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 20z HRRR. Wow. I did 10:1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Still sleet here, but definitely a lot of snow mixing in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 I really hope it's a huge swing and a miss by the NWS on these low forecast amounts. I realize the marginal temps are hard to forecast, but there are a number of models showing 6" or more and they seem to be discounting them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Refuses to change over here. 90% rain w some small flakes mixed in. We’ve actually risen .7 degrees in the last 20 minutes to 34.5 degrees too. .09” of rain so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 The problem with the HRRR is it's showing about 2" by 10pm in CR & IC and I just don't see that happening at all. So I'd just subtract that out entirely from the results. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Think we’ve turned to almost entirely snow at this point, and coming down pretty good right now as well. Starting to see a coating forming ever so slightly on surfaces. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pjjanthony Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 What’s wrong with the NAM? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Yes please nam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, bud2380 said: The problem with the HRRR is it's showing about 2" by 10pm in CR & IC and I just don't see that happening at all. So I'd just subtract that out entirely from the results. Same here in C.IA. Both HRRR and RAP are initializing badly. Several hours early with transistion to snow. At least here. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Quite impressed with the snowfall currently. Already a nice coating on surfaces and starting to accumulate in the grass as well. Not sure where that puts us in the timeline and what to expect moving forward, but seems like a promising start. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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