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October 2014 observations and discussion

Geos

By Geos
in East of the Rockies

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Tom
Tom

Went fishing early today on Lake Delevan around 7:30am, it was a very brisk and chilly day on the water.  I caught his Largemouth Bass around 9:00am or so and the lake was steaming!  Just like Lake Mi

Geos
Geos

I'll definitely be raking next weekend! Appreciate that it doesn't look cold and rainy at the end of the week.   Took these pics on Sunday at Devil's Lake and Natural Bridge State Parks.          

Geos
Geos

Nice picture Meichel.     It's always fun to hear the comments from other people on the first snow of the season. At least the first snow that sticks!

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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Being in Du Page county I'm not sure if the banding later today/tonight will make it this far west but will surely get in on some shower activity throughout the day. 

 

HRRR is showing snow showers approaching Du Page county later tonight.

 

 

HRRR picking up on two bands. The primary one through Hammond and the IN/IL stateline and a secondary one hugging the north shore.

 

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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Being in Du Page county I'm not sure if the banding later today/tonight will make it this far west but will surely get in on some shower activity throughout the day. 

You never know Tony, these winds are strong enough they may push farther inland, like last year during the LES events.

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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Yep, I do remember that. Also have seen setups like this make it as far west as Dekalb so will be interesting to watch it unfold. I was not ready for winter to start this early but with the LES and high winds I am getting sucked in.

Winter of 1977-78 repeat????  Better yet, could it surpass that year????  Let's hope so!

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Tony Enthusiast

Tony

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Winter of 1977-78 repeat????  Better yet, could it surpass that year????  Let's hope so!

I remember that winter like it was yesterday. Made a ton of money shoveling roofs in the city and of course spent it as fast as it was made!

There was so much snow piling up that they had to bring trucks in to move the snow to the forest preserves. 

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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Lake effect bands coming into the western shoreline here right now. Winds getting stronger.

 

Leaves are being ripped off left and right.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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Winter of 1977-78 repeat????  Better yet, could it surpass that year????  Let's hope so!

 

People at work are taking the snow today as a sign that winter will be long and harsh!

Getting some good bursts of snow up this way along the WI shoreline. Wish it was night time - it would probably stick then.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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Flooding being reported along the lake in Chicago.

Lake shore drive to be exact at Oak St. beach.

 

http://wgntv.com/2014/10/31/large-waves-flood-lake-shore-drive-due-to-heavy-winds/

 

18z 4km NAM.

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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gabel23 Experienced

gabel23

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People at work are taking the snow today as a sign that winter will be long and harsh!

Getting some good bursts of snow up this way along the WI shoreline. Wish it was night time - it would probably stick then.

You guys seeing snow??? I see Chicago area is reporting snow at this hour, granted that is way south of you....Tom you get your first snow of the year? It's flipping cold here, second straight night of a hard freeze.

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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You guys seeing snow??? I see Chicago area is reporting snow at this hour, granted that is way south of you....Tom you get your first snow of the year? It's flipping cold here, second straight night of a hard freeze.

 

Yeah it is snowing right now here. Been snowing on and off all day. Haven't gotten anymore than the 0.2" this morning.

 

Waves at Kenosha.

The waves today drew a lot of people out, even though it was snowing and 35°!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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gabel23 Experienced

gabel23

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Yeah it is snowing right now here. Been snowing on and off all day. Haven't gotten anymore than the 0.2" this morning.

 

Waves at Kenosha.

The waves today drew a lot of people out, even though it was snowing and 35°!

 

attachicon.gif20141031_164956.jpg

 

attachicon.gif20141031_171516.jpg

 

attachicon.gif20141031_171538.jpg

 

attachicon.gif20141031_173215.jpg

Yeah it is snowing right now here. Been snowing on and off all day. Haven't gotten anymore than the 0.2" this morning.

 

Waves at Kenosha.

The waves today drew a lot of people out, even though it was snowing and 35°!

 

 

Wow geo, those are some awesome pics, congrats on the snow I'm jealous!!

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clintbeed1993 Enthusiast

clintbeed1993

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Yeah it is snowing right now here. Been snowing on and off all day. Haven't gotten anymore than the 0.2" this morning.

 

Waves at Kenosha.

The waves today drew a lot of people out, even though it was snowing and 35°!

 

 

Wow geo, those are some awesome pics, congrats on the snow I'm jealous!!

 

Sure hope this isn't the trend like it was last year.  I don't think I can take another winter like last year, especially if I have to see Chicago get slammed again.

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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I'm not 100% sure, but I think a salt truck just went by here! lol

It's been snowing, but just a little too warm to stick.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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You guys seeing snow??? I see Chicago area is reporting snow at this hour, granted that is way south of you....Tom you get your first snow of the year? It's flipping cold here, second straight night of a hard freeze.

NE IL/SE WI received a burst of heavier snow showers in the early morning hours right around sunrise that brought the area its first measurable snows of the season.  Then the lake effect kicked in off and on in the evening but wasn't as intense.  Skilling knick-named this storm the "Halloween Howler" and it sure did kick up some nice waves on Lake Michigan.  Max wave heights reached 21ft on the south shore buoy.

 

Speaking of flippin' cold...take a look at what is billowing up in southern Canada by late next weekend!  Sub-zero high temps on fresh snow cover up that way.  Now, look at the Euro ensembles correcting the trough farther west and deeper into the central part of the country later on.  You put 2 and 2 together and you can start to figure out where this pattern can go late next weekend into the 2nd week of November.  The ensembles keep a below normal regime well into mid November.  Don't think we are going to see any warm pattern setting up.  By the 8th of this month, all global models are showing a negative AO/NAO...like I said before, Strat Warming and Blocking are going to get things rocking this month!  All it will take is one system to tug that cold down and it could be a "Clipper" or another system that develops in the center of the country.  We shall see.

 

 

Edit: Just took a look at the 00z GFS run and you can see what I'm talking about.  This could become a major arctic invasion for the central/eastern CONUS Day 10 and beyond.

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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Sure hope this isn't the trend like it was last year.  I don't think I can take another winter like last year, especially if I have to see Chicago get slammed again.

Hang in there, I think you may be seeing some snow Week 1-2.  In fact, we may see some cross country storm systems down the road.  This pattern is going to light up soon.

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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Hello Winter!  00z GFS operational starting to come around as expected since the Euro/GFS ensembles have been honing in on this potential now for 2 days straight.  Here is the fast start most snow lovers and winter weather fans have been waiting for!  Daytime high temps in the mid/upper 20's for 2-3 days straight around Nov 10-13th.  Insane.  Wouldn't be all that surprised since the PV has been weakened from the SSW event taking place.

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Geos Proficient

Geos

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Well October is done and it was a wet and cooler than normal month. The 8th month this year below normal.

First October in probably 20 years that there has been measurable snowfall.

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Geos Proficient

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Most of the United States was actually above normal this October in terms of temps.

 

You are right about that. 

 

 

The Great Lakes & Florida are the exception.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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