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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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39 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

12z GFS is insanely wet. Precip totals through hour 324

12z10221qpf_acc.us_nw.thumb.png.556c2c630a70147e2bbd19fbcfa0e879.png

Pretty epic mountain snow pattern too. Especially for Washington. This is through hour 240 on the same run.

CAE08AB6-4B6F-411F-962B-CD2E4E71848E.thumb.png.e9af0f0d7883d8fa5140f686e83b854e.png
 

Would be nice to see the jet aimed just a little farther south with this same general pattern. More toward Eureka, CA than Forks, WA. Although judging by recent trends it may end up aimed farther north than currently shown.

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46 here, .35" so far today.  Looking forward to 6 or 7" of rain in the next several days.  The good news is that with all the standing water on the property I will have a nice skating rink when the arctic air (Godot) settles in after the deluge.  

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I would have preferred more snow on the ground for walking. All the steps going up the hill are icy. lol

But good thing ice is pretty rare at my place.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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0.67” overnight.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, Acer said:

46 here, .35" so far today.  Looking forward to 6 or 7" of rain in the next several days.  The good news is that with all the standing water on the property I will have a nice skating rink when the arctic air (Godot) settles in after the deluge.  

 

Most of that would have to come today then... because the 12Z ECMWF shows that from tomorrow afternoon through the work week your area only gets 1-2 inches of rain.   

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_120hr_inch-0150400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The whole SSW process has trended into a more slow, prolonged displacement and shredding of the vortex vs a quick cut of the jugular. Now the major warming is just the opening act that throws the vortex off balance/tilts w/ height as it slowly bleeds out from follow up wave activity.

So perhaps the pattern response will be of the slow variety as well instead of a quick flip.

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2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

I just don't see how this comes to fruition. 

Surface temps are 36/37, 925s are 1/0c, and 850s are -2/-3c. Even more borderline than the solstice storm. Precip rates are pretty light by 1 or 2AM so wouldn't count on much help there.

You might get lucky and see something but fully expecting zilch down here even though that shows 2 inches.

In reality... it could be a period of heavy, wet, non-sticking snow there.   Still might be fun to watch and the flakes will probably be huge.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, Phil said:

The whole SSW process has trended into a more slow, prolonged displacement and shredding of the vortex vs a quick cut of the jugular. Now the major warming is just the opening act that throws the vortex off balance/tilts w/ height as it slowly bleeds out from follow up wave activity.

So perhaps the pattern response will be of the slow variety as well instead of a quick flip.

So I guess climate change does more than just raise Portland's low temperatures in the summer. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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13 minutes ago, Acer said:

46 here, .35" so far today.  Looking forward to 6 or 7" of rain in the next several days.  The good news is that with all the standing water on the property I will have a nice skating rink when the arctic air (Godot) settles in after the deluge.  

I like the way you think!!!

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30 minutes ago, Phil said:

The whole SSW process has trended into a more slow, prolonged displacement and shredding of the vortex vs a quick cut of the jugular. Now the major warming is just the opening act that throws the vortex off balance/tilts w/ height as it slowly bleeds out from follow up wave activity.

So perhaps the pattern response will be of the slow variety as well instead of a quick flip.

I’m sure by March things will be rolling. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

Most of that would have to come today then... because the 12Z ECMWF shows that from tomorrow afternoon through the work week your area only gets 1-2 inches of rain.   

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_120hr_inch-0150400.png

Just going off the GFS map posted earlier showing copious amounts over the next two weeks.  Sometimes I exaggerate.  Thanks, I much prefer the Euro version.

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16 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

NWS Portland pulling back a little on “gusts to 50”?

 

For a minute there I thought you were actually making a non-whiny post showing enthusiasm for the current weather, then I saw the little part on the bottom. 🥰

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47 minutes ago, Acer said:

46 here, .35" so far today.  Looking forward to 6 or 7" of rain in the next several days.  The good news is that with all the standing water on the property I will have a nice skating rink when the arctic air (Godot) settles in after the deluge.  

Like December 1990! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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45 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said:

Hey everyone!  I have been loving the life here in Spokane WA. So glad to leave western WA (the swamp) behind. Had numerous snow since living here. Recent storm brought about 5 to 6  inches here in Spokane Valley. I will share more as winter progresses. Been very absent this year, since our move. :)

I was wondering how you were doing, thanks for the update! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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4 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Quick. Lets see your facebook screenshots and 15% phone charge from then!!!!!!!!

I apologize for sharing snow/cold pics. Will only post summer heat pics from here on out...Just for you Jesse! 

AC313CD7-B66F-47FC-9852-6343A2BE90B3.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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8 minutes ago, Acer said:

That would be nice!  This one has the earmarks of a phantom flash-freeze.  How about another weenie Randy?

Could never weenie a post like that!! Just remove Phantom and it’s all set! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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56 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said:

Hey everyone!  I have been loving the life here in Spokane WA. So glad to leave western WA (the swamp) behind. Had numerous snow since living here. Recent storm brought about 5 to 6  inches here in Spokane Valley. I will share more as winter progresses. Been very absent this year, since our move. :)

Happy for you! I’d love Spokane winters, but if we move it’s probably out of state. I guess Couer d’Alene would be decent.

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

The whole SSW process has trended into a more slow, prolonged displacement and shredding of the vortex vs a quick cut of the jugular. Now the major warming is just the opening act that throws the vortex off balance/tilts w/ height as it slowly bleeds out from follow up wave activity.

So perhaps the pattern response will be of the slow variety as well instead of a quick flip.

Hey if there’s one thing we have it’s LOTS of time!

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