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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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6 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

Let us pin that at the top then!  iFred?  Let us all see if your words hold any water.

Not just Jim's words. Mine too, and a few others as well. I've been saying the same thing and have posted GEFS runs showing retrogression with timing moving ahead.

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17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I actually thought it would be raining up there.  It's an absolute torch east of the mountains this evening.  Apparently the cooler air aloft is already moving in.

Been 32 degrees at the Pass since just after Noon today. They probably get more 31-33 degree snow than just about anywhere else in the world.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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23 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Not really.  Mid January is the time that has been advertised for a bit now.  People forget about the SSW and the fact we are in a favorable base state for the mid and late winter to rock this time.  I'm willing to put some stock in the Jan 15 to 20 time frame being the big pattern change.

Not sure how anyone posting here could have.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

SSW what’s that? 

Super snowy winter 😱

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

That's a pretty good time frame. Retrogression begins at around Day 10-12, possibly, but not likely to commence as early as Day 9.

Ok, I will remember if it keeps getting pushed out.  Don't want to be sitting here on January 20th and you guys are saying 2 weeks again....lol.

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No action on the models yet. Hopefully soon. The long-range stuff is useless wishcasting. Always 2+ weeks out. It’s not happening again here for a very long time. I lived through 1996-2003. We should be used to disappointment. It’ll be ok.

Seahawks should have a good January tho.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

No action on the models yet. Hopefully soon. The long-range stuff is useless wishcasting. Always 2+ weeks out. It’s not happening again here for a very long time. I lived through 1996-2003. We should be used to disappointment. It’ll be ok.

Seahawks should have a good January tho.

Phebruary 25, 2019 phucked you for a long time to come.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 hour ago, AbbyJr said:

-ENSO/+QBO/SSW. Have we actually had that combo before in the past?

1988/89 and 2008/09 are the two most recent examples. 

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2 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

It wasn't an ideal setup for an inversion to develop, especially being later in the season with enough dry air advection to keep things solidly mixed for the most part.

It really wasn't that short lived of a cold period at all, though.

This was the initial push of cold from the NW on 1/31

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1989/us0131.php

And then over a week later, 850mb temps were still well below average with the antecedent airmass still largely in place

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1989/us0208.php

And the next four weeks stayed cold with the PV hanging out close, there was a backdoor/Fraser River event at mid month

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1989/us0216.php

And then of course the big event at the start of March, the last really major March event for Portland and Seattle

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1989/us0302.php

Most of the snow here that season came with that little mid February shot.  It’s actually one of my earliest weather memories.  I don’t remember the cold dry blast we had early in the month but I do remember the big mid month snowstorm. Close to 18” here with that. 

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Looks like the cold front just moved through here.

Had a period of very heavy rain, wind switched from 30+ mph South to North and temp dropped from 47 to 45.

 

FB_IMG_1609646250040.jpg

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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21 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Highway 2 can be the worst. A 30-mile-long back-up caused by the traffic lights in Monroe.

One year we took highway 2 back and almost got to the summit before we learned a accident had shut it down.  So back we went to Blewett Pass on over to 90.   Glad I’m not part of tonight festivities up there! 

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I sense a day-15 “rug-pull”

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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16 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

One year we took highway 2 back and almost got to the summit before we learned a accident had shut it down.  So back we went to Blewett Pass on over to 90.   Glad I’m not part of tonight festivities up there! 

 Back in 2003 a few of us took a snowboarding trip to stevens to celebrate our HS senior year and on the way back, our SUV was stuck going down US2 with no phone services. It was late at night also. Luckily a nice couple was kind enough to take us down to where we can get help.

we still talk about that trip to this day every time we see each each other.

US2 can be quite rough.

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