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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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8 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Five years ago today we scored a little nino magic with one of the most bizarre 500mb I can recall.

I had frost accumulation and a dusting at work the next day. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Just now, iFred said:

We're supposed to watch the Pacific and not concern ourselves with anything else.

I honestly think we misunderstood his statement about that. I highly doubt he actually believes SSW's don't have much of an effect on us. Even if the Pacific is the primary driver of our weather patterns, I'm sure he knows that SSW's effect the Pacific. I'd like clarification on what he actually meant though.

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2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

This still looks like a lot of the cold being shunted to Putin’s side of the pole. 

Vladdy steals more than just elections.

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49 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

gfs-ensemble-extended-all-c00-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-1532800.thumb.png.534d2a99f850971e72ec8591127c7a7e.pnggfs-ensemble-extended-all-c00-nhemi-t2m_c_anom_7day-1532800.thumb.png.6eac3f8894e2bbb614e6125b3ce19483.png

That's outstanding AND it picks up where the 18z GEFS left off at Day 16 is with continued retrogression. Seems like a plausible  evolution. Right now I think models are showing signs at times of the SSWE, but really are not even close to picking up on the dramatic large scale pattern change ahead. As always we'll have to be patient.

00z GFS in 19 minutes

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15 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

That's outstanding AND it picks up where the 18z GEFS left off at Day 16 is with continued retrogression. Seems like a plausible  evolution. Right now I think models are showing signs at times of the SSWE, but really are not even close to picking up on the dramatic large scale pattern change ahead. As always we'll have to be patient.

00z GFS in 19 minutes

Agreed. I think the final result will be even better than whats currently modelled. This is our year. 😀

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22 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Looking like this will be the 4th winter in the last 30 years to not feature a single occurrence of snowfall at this location through the midway point of winter. The other three were 1991-92, 2002-03, and 2018-19.

I was perusing a little to see how this year’s futility stacks up and found it interesting that 1992 managed to start with lows in the 30’s for first 21 out of 22 days and seven freezes at PDX.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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32 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Looking like this will be the 4th winter in the last 30 years to not feature a single occurrence of snowfall at this location through the midway point of winter. The other three were 1991-92, 2002-03, and 2018-19.

I'm astounded it hasn't happened more often than that.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Was that the little vort max that cut off  over eastern Oregon and stalled before swinging back up north?  

Yeah, it actually made it down to Northern California and headed NNW from there.  The backside became a little frontogenic and bingo... 

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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7 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

I'm astounded it hasn't happened more often than that.

Of course a few years in there had mere traces or scant dustings, like 2014-15 and 2004-05. But even both of those winters had considerably more chilly days and an ice storm in the case of 2005. 

It pretty much takes a historic Nino dud like 1925-26, 1982-83, 1991-92, or 2002-03, to go an entire winter with absolutely no snowfall for most locations. Maybe not at Tiger's house, though.

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8 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Of course a few years in there had mere traces or scant dustings, like 2014-15 and 2004-05. But even both of those winters had considerably more chilly days and an ice storm in the case of 2005. 

It pretty much takes a historic Nino dud like 1925-26, 1982-83, 1991-92, or 2002-03, to go an entire winter with absolutely no snowfall for most locations. Maybe not at Tiger's house, though.

Funny how revered 1995-96 was considering by the mid portion of this month most had not seen a single flake as well.  The early Decrember event was entirely ice, for all practical purposes.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Funny how revered 1995-96 was considering by the mid portion of this month most had not seen a single flake as well.  The early Decrember event was entirely ice, for all practical purposes.

Pretty sure parts of Hood Canal got like 3 feet in December 1995.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Or was that February 1995?

I wasn't sure if it was December or February but saw a news report that said December. Could have been the February one though I was thinking of.

I think it didn't snow in Seattle hardly at all but offshore flow made cold air damming do its thing on Western Kitsap/Hood Canal and just buried them.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

I wasn't sure if it was December or February but saw a news report that said December. Could have been the February one though I was thinking of.

I think it didn't snow in Seattle hardly at all but offshore flow made cold air damming do its thing on Western Kitsap/Hood Canal and just buried them.

Had to be February.  The one overrunning event in December had a lot of mid level warmth.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

I wasn't sure if it was December or February but saw a news report that said December. Could have been the February one though I was thinking of.

I think it didn't snow in Seattle hardly at all but offshore flow made cold air damming do its thing on Western Kitsap/Hood Canal and just buried them.

I remember a storm when I was a kid, maybe it was Dec 95 or Feb 96, that went south at the last second and missed Seattle. Seattle missed out, but scored south of Seattle. I don't remember amounts, I just know I got 2 or 3 snow days out of it. 

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