January 2021 weather observations for the PNW

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not today folks!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

So are you thinking the last week of January is when we could see a cold and snowy pattern develop in the PNW?

Looks like Phil is pushing this to February now!

[SalemDuck]

Euro weeklies give a month of a ridge somewhere in the Northeast Pacific. 

[AlTahoe]

2 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

So are you thinking the last week of January is when we could see a cold and snowy pattern develop in the PNW?

I do remember that in the previous two SSW's the models were showing nothing for California in the extended. Then it seemed like the models flipped over night in the long range and kept getting wetter and wetter in the long range. Looking at Michael Ventrices 2019 twitter post it looks like that Jan SSW was about a week later than the current one. We got buried on the first week of Feb. So last week of Jan - First week of Feb seems reasonable. 

[bainbridgekid]

Good example of how Canada can "manufacture" its own cold this time of year when the jet slows down on the 18z. Day 9, 10, and 11:

 

[BLI snowman]

11 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

If I ever leave Tahoe Spokane is on my list, or areas close to Mt Spokane towards Schweitzer. It's amazing how cheap homes are in those area's. I know people are flooding into that region so I doubt it stays cheap for much longer. 

Coeur D'Alene is already getting there. Average home price has doubled since the end of 2016. I foresee it trickling west from there, especially as a lot of Puget Sound area people look to relocate inside of the state.

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, iFred said:

More like Febunever.

Febunextdecember!

[Deweydog]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

Coeur D'Alene is already getting there. Average home price has doubled since the end of 2016. I foresee it trickling west from there, especially as a lot of Puget Sound area people look to relocate inside of the state.

We’ve been toying with a move to Spokane.  Seems to be gaining a little traction...

[AlTahoe]

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

Coeur D'Alene is already getting there. Average home price has doubled since the end of 2016. I foresee it trickling west from there, especially as a lot of Puget Sound area people look to relocate inside of the state.

Yeah I was looking at Coeur D'Alene originally as an alternate spot but then read about the contamination of that lake from the mining days. I wondered why anyone would want to live there with a polluted lake? 

[BLI snowman]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Not today folks!

Looking downright primed to me by the 20th on the 18z, Andrew.

[Meatyorologist]

Time to fire up the old extrapolation machine!

[BLI snowman]

4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We’ve been toying with a move to Spokane.  Seems to be gaining a little traction...

Me too! We are so trite!

[Meatyorologist]

Meanwhile, taken in the last hour in Northern California...

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Me too! We are so trite!

I will be moving to Spokane for at least a year whenever the pandemic ends. Will just be renting though. 

[luminen]

6 hours ago, luvssnow_seattle said:

We are smack dab in the middle of the valley close to the mall. There has been one freezing fog event that really impacted just north of us, up in the green bluff area (about 15min from where I am). We drove up there to visit a farm, and everything was shimmering white as it was coated. It was one of the most beautiful things I have experienced. Rolling farm land with surrounded by mountains in a coating of frozen white. It was spectacular, it looked like a picture out of a December Calendar. I will do better to snap some pictures and share in the future. I just do not want to be one of those that is like "Neener, neener, look at all the snow I get" lol! So, I want to be careful and not come across as gloating.  That being said, I am loving it here, and the panic of getting or NOT getting snow is gone. As it is a more regular thing here. YES!!! 

Would love to see that landscape that you saw. 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I will be moving to Spokane for at least a year whenever the pandemic ends. Will just be renting though. 

There ain’t enough room for all of us.  You’ll have to stay in Davenport.

[Deweydog]

11 minutes ago, iFred said:

Why not Astoria?

Too many goonies and Steve Guttenbergs.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like Phil is pushing this to February now!

He said it might move up a week or two, not back.  I interpret that as being sooner, not later.  Perhaps I misunderstood him though.

[Omegaraptor]

Can’t say I was expecting hail.

[jakerepp]

Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

He said it might move up a week or two, not back.  I interpret that as being sooner, not later.  Perhaps I misunderstood him though.

That's how I would interpret it as well. 

[Deweydog]

Keeping a close eye on those PDX obs... First sub-40 dew point of the year incoming?

[Christensen87]

CFS shows big time cold right north of us for the latter half of the month. 

[BLI snowman]

21 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Yeah I was looking at Coeur D'Alene originally as an alternate spot but then read about the contamination of that lake from the mining days. I wondered why anyone would want to live there with a polluted lake? 

From what I understand it's mostly still trapped in the sediment at the bottom, but yeah it could contaminate the water. Luckily there are a lot of lakes in that region and Lake Hayden and Liberty Lakes are nice and Lake Pend Oreille is spectacular. Sandpoint is nice but still more of a retirement community.

[Blizzard777]

24 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Time to fire up the old extrapolation machine!

Black and white days were cold and snowy !

[BLI snowman]

14 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Too many goonies and Steve Guttenbergs.

I recently rewatched Kindergarten Cop. Of course it was released on December 21, 1990, as Astoria remained locked in the grips of a very chilly stretch with snowcover. Arnie needs to make his return to the area immediately.

[MossMan]

I’m moving to Puyallup! 
 

 

[Front Ranger]

55 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

I do remember that in the previous two SSW's the models were showing nothing for California in the extended. Then it seemed like the models flipped over night in the long range and kept getting wetter and wetter in the long range. Looking at Michael Ventrices 2019 twitter post it looks like that Jan SSW was about a week later than the current one. We got buried on the first week of Feb. So last week of Jan - First week of Feb seems reasonable. 

I think this one started more than a week before that one, but is also developing differently.

Anyone expecting a redux of Feb 2019, only moved up a week or two, might want to adjust their expectations.

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m moving to Puyallup! 
 

 

Oops I meant to say I’m not moving...The next move someday will be to Eastern Washington as well. 

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I think this one started more than a week before that one, but is also developing differently.

Anyone expecting a redux of Feb 2019, only moved up a week or two, might want to adjust their expectations.

Weenie. Let’s redux that bad boy!! 

[Deweydog]

23 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I recently rewatched Kindergarten Cop. Of course it was released on December 21, 1990, as Astoria remained locked in the grips of a very chilly stretch with snowcover. Arnie needs to make his return to the area immediately.

My sister was in the fire scene at the school.  She swears you can see her arm but I think she’s full of it because she also thinks SSW’s are fake news.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

[MossMan]

This is on one of my “someday” move to list! 

[TacomaWaWx]

36 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I think this one started more than a week before that one, but is also developing differently.

Anyone expecting a redux of Feb 2019, only moved up a week or two, might want to adjust their expectations.

I’d be happy with a February 2018 redux too. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Picked up 0.40” so far in Tacoma today. Getting some small sunbreaks. 

[Omegaraptor]

18 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Okanogan County is a beautiful place. Glad to see two members posting pics from there today.

[AlTahoe]

Last Wednesday both the Euro and Gfs showed us getting between 25-60" of snow this week at lake level starting with today's storm. We are now forecast to get 0". One of the biggest model back pedal/fails I have ever seen. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 hours ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

Struggling with incessant rain/darkness is the PNW tradition of all traditions! This forum is no exception. Some struggle more early on, when the darkness kicks and you have to adjust. Others struggle most when the rain really kicks into gear (past couple weeks and continuing for the next couple months) and there is no hope in sight (no snow, no sun). And then there are those who struggle most when it just won't stop but you feel like it should by now (May and June)… that's more my style. 

I think it's what bonds all west of the Cascade PNWers. Good times!

I think the weather is pretty good here. If I didn’t, I wouldn’t have moved here in the first place. I’ve experienced enough bitterly cold winters to not want any. I like seeing it snow, but I’m glad the snow goes away quickly here rather than dominating the entire winter.

What’s bleak and depressing to me is not clouds and rain, but going months and months without seeing a single vibrant green thing outdoors, just browns and whites.

[Gradient Keeper]

18z GEFS Day 9-16. More improvements!

[SouthHillFrosty]

56 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m moving to Puyallup! 
 

 

I wouldn't advise it