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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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Wasn’t planning on being up for night shift but yet here we are.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I'll probably get back to posting once cold snaps start showing themselves within 200 hours, rather than out in the complete fantasy range. Ensemble guidance and SSW-guided MJO reset is showing promise for the second half of this month, but right now with my winter quarter starting and nothing interesting within the realistic range, I'd rather take the sleep.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky.

Edit: Might as well point out here that Mt. Baker probably added another 20" or so tonight...Stevens Pass likely will end up having added 17-20" by the time the sun comes up. Very healthy mountain passes up here. 

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2 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky. 

Yeah, that's one large positive of this constant westerly flow. Highs in the 40's and lows in the 30's have resulted in wet climo for the majority of the winter, and consequently a bountiful snowpack. Solid chance that this Spring will be nutty up in the Cascades.

As much as people have complained about the largely mundane weather, it has certainly not been a bad winter. Even 1988-89 was largely a split flow-ish winter, with extended dry periods and below average precip/mountain snowfall. This winter at least hasn't been harmful to our ecology.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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4 hours ago, smerfylicious said:

It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky.

Edit: Might as well point out here that Mt. Baker probably added another 20" or so tonight...Stevens Pass likely will end up having added 17-20" by the time the sun comes up. Very healthy mountain passes up here. 

It had to be as good or better at this point in 2016... following that insanely rainy and mountain snowy month of December 2015.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, smerfylicious said:

It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky.

Edit: Might as well point out here that Mt. Baker probably added another 20" or so tonight...Stevens Pass likely will end up having added 17-20" by the time the sun comes up. Very healthy mountain passes up here. 

Hopefully some more down this way.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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8 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been really wet...

 

sea.png

Interesting as this year is a carbon copy of 2006-2007 down here so far. Winter was only 30 days long that winter with all of our precip falling in Feb. Looking at the long range we are going to have to wait until Feb now for any signs of winter. 2006-2007 ended up being an extreme drought for us. With how dry last year was this is not looking good for California. Hope you guys are Prepared for another summer of smoke from all of our fires. 

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4 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Interesting as this year is a carbon copy of 2006-2007 down here so far. Winter was only 30 days long that winter with all of our precip falling in Feb. Looking at the long range we are going to have to wait until Feb now for any signs of winter. 2006-2007 ended up being an extreme drought for us. With how dry last year was this is not looking good for California. Hope you guys are Prepared for another summer of smoke from all of our fires. 

Yeah... the irony up here is that we could have copious precip all winter and spring but if CA and/or AK are really dry then we will still get smoke.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, smerfylicious said:

It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky.

Edit: Might as well point out here that Mt. Baker probably added another 20" or so tonight...Stevens Pass likely will end up having added 17-20" by the time the sun comes up. Very healthy mountain passes up here. 

wa_swepctnormal_update-1.thumb.jpg.9246b192902964a7a50c242737d7c6ec.jpg

Yep, Baker adds another 22" in the last 24 hours to put its base at 155" at 4,000 ft. To put this in perspective the average snow depth at this time of year is just under 100" and it gets to 155" normally by the middle of March. Depending on how the snow holds up, Baker could end up close to its record depth for mid January by the middle of the month.

These are the average, min, and max values for snow during Baker's entire period of record which dates back to 1927.

mtbakerclimo.thumb.png.6670a08287aea363736ecb4f212e50f6.png

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... the irony up here is that we could have copious precip all winter and spring but if CA and/or AK are really dry then we will still get smoke.    

I am hoping we luck out and get a wet spring like in the drought years 2013-2015 where most of our precip came in later April-May to help mitigate the fire season. Last summer we had 80 straight days of AQI over 200. It sucked. 

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3 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

I am hoping we luck out and get a wet spring like in the drought years 2013-2015 where most of our precip came in later April-May to help mitigate the fire season. Last summer we had 80 straight days of AQI over 200. It sucked. 

I hope you guys can bounce back too. Although of course hazy upper levels from distant smoke is a lot better than the choking, thick surface smoke from local fires anyway. That’s what we had for a few weeks here back in September.

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6 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

I am hoping we luck out and get a wet spring like in the drought years 2013-2015 where most of our precip came in later April-May to help mitigate the fire season. Last summer we had 80 straight days of AQI over 200. It sucked. 

It would be awesome for everyone if the jet stream could focus on CA in February and March.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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No love for the 06z?! ;)

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Not the worst!

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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15 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Currently 42 degrees and drizzle. 
.11” so far on the day, 3.12” for the month. 

A3AB7AE1-DA93-4513-98CE-81DBB99FC0BC.jpeg

Some improvements on the daily fuzz!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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My friend who lives in Central Oregon says he hasn’t had a drop of rain since New Years. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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4 minutes ago, Timmy said:

It is a desert.

You got that right!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Today is the 17 year anniversary of me becoming a weather weenie. 8" of snow in Seattle which blew my 12 year old mind after such a relatively snowless early childhood.

What are your memories from January 6th, 2004?

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

The torch numbers at the halfway point of the month are going to be impressive. 

Well it is Juneuary after all. I said last year that this year‘s couldn’t be any worse, so of course it will be.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

The torch numbers at the halfway point of the month are going to be impressive. 

They are! We could have an arctic blast at the end of the month and still be well above average. I think we’d be okay with that.

Going to be keeping an eye on SLE, going for their 4th straight January with an average max of 50+!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

Today is the 17 year anniversary of me becoming a weather weenie. 8" of snow in Seattle which blew my 12 year old mind after such a relatively snowless early childhood.

What are your memories from January 6th, 2004?

Freezing rain.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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