Gradient Keeper Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 6z GEFS Day 13 (Past 4 runs) Now that's a strong blocking signal! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 If the block were to build northward driving higher heights into southern Alaska this run would turn quite cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 6z GEFS Day 13 Major block and flow is a bit more northerly. Block pivoted and is building northward amplifying. We don't want it to get any further west than ~160 W/Western Alaska. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Much more blocking on the 06z GEFS. 3 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 6z GEFS Day 10-16 A bit better and the 850mb ensembles does show colder members. If the block had amplified into southern Alaska this run would have been COLD! Not quite there, but this is an improvement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 6z GEFS 850s Portland, Seattle, Yakima 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 At least SLE was able to pull off a freeze last night. Down to 29 up here above the fog. Really encouraging trends on the ensembles. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 A frosty sunrise... roads are pretty icy from the rain yesterday. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 00Z EPS is in full retrogression mode at the end of the run... as was pointed out last night. I would bet money that the last week of January is going to be cold. And probably beyond that as well. 3 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Frosty and 29˚F. First freeze of the year. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 30 this morning. Nice day to go sell a car! 1 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 23 minutes ago, jakerepp said: 30 this morning. Nice day to go sell a car! Good day to buy a car! Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Looks like a solid 2-3" of rain in the lowlands through Wednesday night. Washington Cascades look to get some snow too. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Surprised to see 30 on the thermometer this morning. Thick fog. 1 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 17 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Good day to buy a car! Good day to wash a car. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Currently clear/frosty and 31 degrees. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 12z looks pretty decent. In the short term it cuts the torch short next week which is good news. Low of 32 early this morning, but was up to 35 with thick fog by sunrise. 36 currently. Today could actually stay below 50. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 25 and freezing fog. I was hoping that snow wouldn't be so icy. Any sidewalks that weren't shoveled are making it impossible to get around here. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Two weeks from today a new era begins. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Looks like the "new" GFS is heading toward a similar direction' 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Looks like the pattern change is becoming likely with better blocking being established. Great trends on the models. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Best model run in a long time. This run is colder from start to finish than anything the last week 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Last week of the month could be cool to cold with colder air pooling in W Canada, ready to spill through customs once winter opens on February 1st. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Was looking like things would really dry out, now precip looks to be near normal over the next couple weeks. Should be some nice dry days in there too. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 hour ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Good day to buy a car! That might be tomorrow! Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Beautiful weather for the ballgame today. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Should have taken photos but had freezing fog this morning at my gf’s place in Des Moines. Nice coat of ice on everything. My door was frozen shut to my car Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Got down to 32 this morning...first freeze in almost 2 weeks and the 6th this winter. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Should have taken photos but had freezing fog this morning at my gf’s place in Des Moines. Nice coat of ice on everything. My door was frozen shut to my car Very foggy here this morning as well. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Beautiful weather for the ballgame today. Good weather should benefit the Rams. Aaron Donald is ready to go, Cooper Kupp is back. Could be a very good day. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Good weather should benefit the Rams. Aaron Donald is ready to go, Cooper Kupp is back. Could be a very good day. Russell as well, he doesn’t like the rain. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 I told my mom about the blocking on the 12z. 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Good weather should benefit the Rams. Aaron Donald is ready to go, Cooper Kupp is back. Could be a very good day. Can you believe what and improvement the 12z ensembles are Andrew 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 28 for a low this morning, currently 31. No fog here. I'm agreeing there is a pattern shift ahead but that block is bordering on being too far west. At any rate it's way better than warm and wet. edit: just saw the ensembles, looking better 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Should be at average rainfall on the month after this AR event. Haven’t had below average rainfall here since July and august. Now that we’ve gotten the rain we need some snow and cold. Like what we’re seeing so far might be able to do the snow trip to orcas before the end of the month. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 12Z Euro looking a lot more torchy for next week than the GFS so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 9, 2021 Report Share Posted January 9, 2021 Very nice to see the models trying to establish some cold the last week of Jan. This is very indicative of what we can expect from the Siberian SSW event 2-3 weeks out, so timing is moving along very nicely. Base on models signals from yesterday and today, we could enter prolonged period of cold weather with western troughing for late Jan-first half of Feb, according to the EPS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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