MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Yeah, going to baby it. Chose to not cheap-out on this purchase like I am prone to do, so I'm going to stick closely to maintenance schedules and, maybe more importantly, car washes. Find a good independent shop to do the service. No reason to use the dealership. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Fun times ahead! In the short term, we are expecting to drown in rain again with over 3” of rain by Wednesday night for Seattle and up to 5” for the coastal areas. 🌧 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Find a good independent shop to do the service. No reason to use the dealership. I've got a good one right up the road! I can drop off the car walk back home in 7 minutes. 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, jakerepp said: AWD, yeah. Went from Edmonds to Port Orchard, and then P.O. to Bellingham to get it. The price was very competitive, but what I've heard on Reddit from people in car sales is that used inventories are down since people aren't buying new and trading in. Prices are inflated as a result. And yeah, CarMax is kicking butt. I talked to a guy at the Lynnwood CarMax and he said they're sales went way up in 2020. Weird, m'lady works at Kendall down here and they were way down in sales in 2020. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Fun times ahead! In the short term, we are expecting to drown in rain again with over 3” of rain by Wednesday night for Seattle and up to 5” for the coastal areas. 🌧 Frequent healthy rain events has been one really nice aspect of this winter so far. I think it's easy to forget how dry some winters of the recent past have been, and how hard it was at points to even get one decent soaking, let alone several. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 The 12z finally started. Looks like it’s gonna take another 90 mins though 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 hour ago, Jesse said: I’m just a worthless piece of sh*t with no redeeming qualities. Good one man. Hahaha Anyone else want to take a swing? I popped on this morning because I thought the 06z looked great. Would rather talk about that. Nah, you have plenty of redeeming qualities. No one said you're a worthless piece of sh*t or anything close, as far as I'm aware. But that one was too rich to leave alone. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Nah, you have plenty of redeeming qualities. But that one was too rich to leave alone. You nearly done? I swear this is going to drag on longer than the 12Z takes to load. Probably no coincidence there... 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 This is gonna be one hell of an AR matey!! 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 10 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: This is gonna be one hell of an AR matey!! AR and then into the ice box within two weeks. Jim couldn't have scripted it better himself. Let's hope it doesn't screw up the snow pack too bad. Although something tells me there will be a lot of make up time in the late January through April period. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Raining decently out there this morning. 0.17” so far. This AR event should be enough to push us over 7” on the month. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 When I referred to increased model volatility this week, this wasn’t quite what I was referring to... Also, I for one love you Jesse, no matter how much you despise me. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Maybe it's just me, but I couldn't make judgements about people's character or attitude based on interactions on the internet. Tone is impossible to gauge accurately with any regularity through virtual interactions. Some people are bullish, some are harder headed, some are pessimists. Whatever, I don't care. Just don't flat out call me an idiot and I'll be okay. It seems like most of the time, negative engagements escalate from something that's pretty mild because tone isn't interpreted correctly. Maybe I am an idiot? I dunno. Rant over. 8 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: When I referred to increased model volatility this week, this wasn’t quite what I was referring to... Also, I for one love you Jesse, no matter how much you despise me. There's no one here who I truly despise. #nicestcommentyou'llevergetfromme Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Maybe it's just me, but I couldn't make judgements about people's character or attitude based on interactions on the internet. Tone is impossible to gauge accurately with any regularity through virtual interactions. Some people are bullish, some are harder headed, some are pessimists. Whatever, I don't care. Just don't flat out call me an idiot and I'll be okay. It seems like most of the time, negative engagements escalate from something that's pretty mild because tone isn't interpreted correctly. Maybe I am an idiot? I dunno. Rant over. Exactly. Don't assume you know someone's intentions, and don't take things personal. Pretty simple. 2 1 3 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Exactly. Don't assume you know someone's intentions, and don't take things personal. Pretty simple. Did we ever find out if he actually died or not? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Exactly. Don't assume you know someone's intentions, and don't take things personal. Pretty simple. Beautifully said. Will definitely be among my favorite world leader quotes, falling behind this from her Majesty, the Queen. 4 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 17 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Exactly. Don't assume you know someone's intentions, and don't take things personal. Pretty simple. Of course this is way easier said than done in a large group of people with a wide range of personalities, some of whom have been interacting online for well over a decade. Sadly the social dynamic here (or anywhere) isn't simple and easy to condense into flashy catch all platitudes, like, say, the PDO or low solar. Nice bumper sticker though. I think I'll buy the house! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Of course this is way easier said than done in a large group of people with a wide range of personalities, some of whom have been interacting online for well over a decade. Sadly the social dynamic here (or anywhere) isn't simple and easy to condense into flashy catch all platitudes, like, say, the PDO or low solar. Nice bumper sticker though. It definitely is easier said than done. I've sort of just learned to accept that everyone has a slightly different personality than everyone else, and that's okay. 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 We got the 12z back 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: Did we ever find out if he actually died or not? He was just threatening to bring the US “to its knees” a couple days ago. He’s very much alive for now. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, jakerepp said: It definitely is easier said than done. I've sort of just learned to accept that everyone has a slightly different personality than everyone else, and that's okay. Yeah I tend to like this attitude more. Setting strict, impossible to adhere to in the real world ground rules for discourse is too dogmatic for me. Even if it sounds great on the surface. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Blocky. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 12z GFS isn't as nice with the blocking ridge emerging at day 9 as the 6z or 0z. But at least it's the GFS at day 9...and the overall trend in the pattern remains similar. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: 12z GFS isn't as nice with the blocking ridge emerging at day 9 as the 6z or 12z. But at least it's the GFS at day 9...and the overall trend in the pattern remains similar. Is this where you usually stop looking? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Hard to hate that 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Timmy said: Hard to hate that Andrew smells a challenge! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 12z GFS looks pretty epic. One nice flip side of the models not showing much eye candy in the long range this winter so far (probably because they are slowly getting better) is that when they finally do it holds a bit more credence. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 19 minutes ago, MossMan said: Did we ever find out if he actually died or not? We all know he had a double that looks like him. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: He was just threatening to bring the US “to its knees” a couple days ago. He’s very much alive for now. Well a nuclear hit on the west coast would be the perfect transition from pandemicville! 1 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 At this rate the Euro is going to finish its run before the GFS! 2 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 49 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: This is gonna be one hell of an AR matey!! Yo ho ho and a bottle of... where's me rum! 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: So close to Pepto! I love it either way. 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 23 years ago right now it was cold, breezy and SNOWY. The Costco parking lot was quite difficult to navigate in my 2WD S-10 and I got to go home early to play in the snow! 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: 23 years ago right now it was cold, breezy and SNOWY. The Costco parking lot was quite difficult to navigate in my 2WD S-10 and I got to go home early to play in the snow! Nearly half a lifetime ago. You worked for Costco? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 GFS still showing a much stronger rain shadow up here than the Euro. GFS gives me about 0.5-0.75" of rain total this week while Euro suggests closer to 2". Usually the GFS does a little better so wouldn't be surprised to see this week end up "relatively" dry. Unless something shifts, I'll be nowhere near the 7"+ I had last January by the end of the month. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: Nearly half a lifetime ago. You worked for Costco? I did. 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Fun to watch the 500mb loop of the pattern progression on the 12Z GFS. The overall regime starts the shift to more meridional once this little AR blows through on Wednesday. From there it gradually ups the ante. Sort of a classic progression. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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