Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I did. One of my best friends has been at the 1st Street location for eight years now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 GFS says next Monday will be the most average day ever. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 23 years ago right now it was cold, breezy and SNOWY. The Costco parking lot was quite difficult to navigate in my 2WD S-10 and I got to go home early to play in the snow! It snowed all day here! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 All kidding aside, here is the Canadian 12Z Ensemble run. Looks pretty good. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 19 minutes ago, Jesse said: 12z GFS looks pretty epic. One nice flip side of the models not showing much eye candy in the long range this winter so far (probably because they are slowly getting better) is that when they finally do it holds a bit more credence. Verification scores suggest they've moved from wildly inaccurate to just inaccurate in the long range. They are probably better at picking up on macro-scale trends than they were 5-10 years ago (if runs repeatedly show a certain type of pattern developing, that means something), but the detailed stuff is still pretty meaningless. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: One of my best friends has been at the 1st Street location for eight years now. That store wasn’t even a glint in Jim Sinegal’s eye when I was working for him. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Euro looks slightly better with offshore ridge amplifying at day 8 than yesterday's 12z did. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Our little 1/20 pattern breaker is showing up alive and well at hour 204 on the 12z Euro. Nice to see that becoming somewhat of a consistent feature across the suite of models, and even moving up in timing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: That store wasn’t even a glint in Jim Sinegal’s eye when I was working for him. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Looking very good. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: We have those at work! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: We have those at work! Was going for something Costco/Puppy themed and it was the best I could come up with. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 We don't have a Costco here in town. There used to be TWO Safeway's (one of them 4 minutes walk from my house) but were switched with Haggen for 5 months in 2015. Both shut down and went empty. lol Thankfully the empty Haggen closer to me became a Holiday Market in Fall 2018. Nice little store and would consider getting work there. They were exclusively a California grocery store, and I believe ours was the first location to open in the pacific northwest. 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 12z looks good but it don't sing or Dance and it don't walk. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Jesse said: Was going for something Costco/Puppy themed and it was the best I could come up with. We appreciate the effort. A little subpar, but it is acceptable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: 12z looks good but it don't sing or Dance and it don't walk. Ok I read this and just went from zero to pissed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: Was going for something Costco/Puppy themed and it was the best I could come up with. 7 2 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: We appreciate the effort. A little subpar, but it is acceptable. A cute puppy playfully poking its head of out of package with the Costco logo on it was what I had in mind, but apparently no stock photos like that exist, at least with a superficial google image search. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: That dog is clearly full grown. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Jesse said: That dog is clearly full grown. There are definitely people who call any dog a puppy regardless of age/size. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: There are definitely people who call any dog a puppy regardless of age/size. Lots of dummies out there. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Deweydog said: @Jesse This is the type of effort I want to see. Another subpar post, and you can join Culverjosh on the ban list till next winter. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Euro says mega -NAO/-EPO blocks can coexist. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: We do need to get this member upgraded to and executive membership! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 One short term trend I am liking on the 12Z runs is that it appears we will see a nice respite from the torch starting the middle of this week, as the jet starts to relax a bit. Temps look a lot closer to average leading up to the potential big pattern change around the 20th. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, Jesse said: That dog is clearly full grown. 5-6 months. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 A few frames from the 12Z GFS are out on TT. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Who is ready for some epic weeklies run. 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: We do need to get this member upgraded to and executive membership! A “good dog member” though? How cute is that??! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 FWIW the 12z GEFS has completed. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 0.39” so far this morning...5.06” on the month. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 So it’s a stale question, but absolutely vital to pattern change success... Who’s told who? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Not too crazy about signs of the block continuing to migrate NW after the initial retrogression. But still looks alright before then. Runaway retrogression!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Yeah, it seems like the block really starts floating off to the NW by the 27th. We'll have to see how things evolve after that, some of the longer range GEFS runs have shown it pivoting back as we get closer to the turn of the month. It is not going to just sit in the exact same spot, I still think we see a fairly favorable pattern through mid-February with multiple opportunities to score. 3 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: So it’s a stale question, but absolutely vital to pattern change success... Who’s told who? I told my wife that it will be cooling down towards the end of the month to add to her already weenie freakout a few days ago about how high the last power bill was. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Andrew’s onboard status already on the cutting board??? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Last nights EPS: Todays, same hour: 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Andrew’s onboard status already on the cutting board??? You must have missed his meltdown this morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Andrew’s onboard status already on the cutting board??? No. That was not my point. The 20-27th period now looking solidly below normal, and likely through the end of the month. There may be a reduction in potential for the last few days of the month before roaring back the first 10 days of February. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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