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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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Pretty remarkable agreement across the board on the ensembles 10+ days out. 

Kind of neat to see the progress we've made in forecast guidance in just the last couple of years.

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Just now, Kayla said:

Pretty remarkable agreement across the board on the ensembles 10+ days out. 

Kind of neat to see the progress we've made in forecast guidance in just the last couple of years.

....assuming it pans out!

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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GFS does get very close to full on arctic outbreak, but still having issues with that low that kind of meanders around. Arctic air definitely makes it into NW Washington though. Get that thing to dig and we are totally in business. Great runs today.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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16 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

0.39” so far this morning...5.06” on the month. 

SEA is on track to have most rainfall first 15 days of the month by Friday. In fact, if the numbers are to come true, it’ll be by Wednesday night. Just insanely wet to start the month. 

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Gets there by the end, and with that low hanging off the S. Oregon coast, low level cold has probably been pouring through the gorge for days at this point. 

prateptype_cat.na.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Wow. Keep in mind this an ensemble MEAN 12 days out. Truly remarkable agreement.

330814697_ScreenShot2021-01-11at12_36_49PM.thumb.png.8b5a8dfe2773eea16407140c5053e0ba.png

Looks like the timing has moved forward a bit, which is always great to see. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Toward the end the ridge goes a bit further west, like the GEFS, but the 200 hpa winds are still coming down NNW from Alaska, with a bit of onshore component to it.  Wouldn't think that would cause a major warm up.

#killtheblob

#stopthesteal

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I thought that wasn't for a few more days.

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1 minute ago, Jesse said:

I thought that wasn't for a few more days.

It was pretty bad yesterday for some reason, today through weds should be worse... not a good time to have beach front property ( I know, woe is me). I wish it were easy to share videos here but one wave took out a good chunk of a neighbors yard in rockaway.

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2 minutes ago, Timmy said:

It was pretty bad yesterday for some reason, today through weds should be worse... not a good time to have beach front property ( I know, woe is me). I wish it were easy to share videos here but one wave took out a good chunk of a neighbors yard in rockaway.

I think sharing videos has gotten a lot easier since the upgrade. Sharing pics definitely has.

Glad we didn't miss it. Thinking about heading out there later this week.

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5 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I thought that wasn't for a few more days.

I think even though the highest tides aren't until later this week, the fact that there were 5-7 meter waves forecast yesterday made up for the minimal difference in actual tidal level.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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2 minutes ago, Timmy said:

It was pretty bad yesterday for some reason, today through weds should be worse... not a good time to have beach front property ( I know, woe is me). I wish it were easy to share videos here but one wave took out a good chunk of a neighbors yard in rockaway.

Yeah, my wife had some video on the Facebook from yesterday in the Ocean Park area where some houses were surrounded by the surf.  Came up higher than the ones a couple years ago which were pretty much unprecedented.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I think sharing videos has gotten a lot easier since the upgrade. Sharing pics definitely has.

Lower resolution pics though. I didn't mind sharing imgur links on here which seems like the site rejects after the upgrade.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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9 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I thought that wasn't for a few more days.

I think they max out today and tomorrow at Astoria but the SW’erly fetch and low offshore pressures should enhance things a little further.

Yesterday must have just been a perfect storm...

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Yeah, my wife had some video on the Facebook from yesterday in the Ocean Park area where some houses were surrounded by the surf.  Came up higher than the ones a couple years ago which were pretty much unprecedented.

Sea level rise?

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Just now, Deweydog said:

I think they max out today and tomorrow at Astoria but the SW’erly fetch and low offshore pressures should enhance things a little further.

Yesterday must have just been a perfect storm...

I hope so, not looking forward to the bill. Our property is surrounded by riprap and we have been lucky enough to not have to replace any for the last couple years we have owned it.  That will likely change this week.

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3 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

First time the EPS has shown more than just a trace of snow for the West side.

image.thumb.png.4a73f56d2f92ae0a713a2ea458c351d5.png

That is impressive. 

  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1611748800-VjcWn7sNDLw.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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1611705600-1h09VzQEBmY.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Sea level rise?

Dunno.  Turns out I was thinking of 2018 instead of 2019 (these sh*t Januaries run together).  This video from the north peninsula always impressed me.

January is always the big tide month, but it seems like there has been a lot more encroachment during these cycles of late.  

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

1611748800-VjcWn7sNDLw.png

2.2" here is probably an underestimation, but looks perfect elsewhere.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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13 minutes ago, Timmy said:

I hope so, not looking forward to the bill. Our property is surrounded by riprap and we have been lucky enough to not have to replace any for the last couple years we have owned it.  That will likely change this week.

Mo money mo problems.

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14 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Mo money mo problems.

There is definitely a tremendous amount of white privilege flexing that goes on in this forum. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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