Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Last nights EPS: Todays, same hour: Pulsating anomalies. Classic EPS. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Pretty remarkable agreement across the board on the ensembles 10+ days out. Kind of neat to see the progress we've made in forecast guidance in just the last couple of years. 4 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Kayla said: Pretty remarkable agreement across the board on the ensembles 10+ days out. Kind of neat to see the progress we've made in forecast guidance in just the last couple of years. ....assuming it pans out! 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 34 minutes ago, Jesse said: That dog is clearly full grown. I still consider my 11 year old pom a puppy 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Last nights EPS: Todays, same hour: Fantastic. Especially considering this is the most reliable indicator to watch past day 10. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 GFS does get very close to full on arctic outbreak, but still having issues with that low that kind of meanders around. Arctic air definitely makes it into NW Washington though. Get that thing to dig and we are totally in business. Great runs today. 2 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kayla Posted January 11, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Wow. Keep in mind this an ensemble MEAN 12 days out. Truly remarkable agreement. 9 2 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 16 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: 0.39” so far this morning...5.06” on the month. SEA is on track to have most rainfall first 15 days of the month by Friday. In fact, if the numbers are to come true, it’ll be by Wednesday night. Just insanely wet to start the month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Gets there by the end, and with that low hanging off the S. Oregon coast, low level cold has probably been pouring through the gorge for days at this point. 3 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Kayla said: Wow. Keep in mind this an ensemble MEAN 12 days out. Truly remarkable agreement. Looks like the timing has moved forward a bit, which is always great to see. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 EPS looks textbook. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Not horrible... Toward the end the ridge goes a bit further west, like the GEFS, but the 200 hpa winds are still coming down NNW from Alaska, with a bit of onshore component to it. Wouldn't think that would cause a major warm up. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 12Z EPS at day 15... block is continuing to move westward at a good clip in the 10-15 day period. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Toward the end the ridge goes a bit further west, like the GEFS, but the 200 hpa winds are still coming down NNW from Alaska, with a bit of onshore component to it. Wouldn't think that would cause a major warm up. #killtheblob #stopthesteal Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Pretty crazy sh*t from yesterday’s KING TIDE event at the coast. https://komonews.com/news/local/watch-herd-of-elk-run-from-wave-during-high-tide-on-cannon-beach?fbclid=IwAR0ldXsFTcLQ3O6clna9EgWAxST3KO4zMcbCOJjtXpaLXCrOuxOTQKNJTHw 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Pretty crazy sh*t from yesterday’s KING TIDE event at the coast. https://komonews.com/news/local/watch-herd-of-elk-run-from-wave-during-high-tide-on-cannon-beach?fbclid=IwAR0ldXsFTcLQ3O6clna9EgWAxST3KO4zMcbCOJjtXpaLXCrOuxOTQKNJTHw I thought that wasn't for a few more days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS at day 15... block is continuing to move westward at a good clip in the 10-15 day period. Good setup for some overrunning events. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Jesse said: I thought that wasn't for a few more days. It was pretty bad yesterday for some reason, today through weds should be worse... not a good time to have beach front property ( I know, woe is me). I wish it were easy to share videos here but one wave took out a good chunk of a neighbors yard in rockaway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy said: It was pretty bad yesterday for some reason, today through weds should be worse... not a good time to have beach front property ( I know, woe is me). I wish it were easy to share videos here but one wave took out a good chunk of a neighbors yard in rockaway. I think sharing videos has gotten a lot easier since the upgrade. Sharing pics definitely has. Glad we didn't miss it. Thinking about heading out there later this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: I thought that wasn't for a few more days. I think even though the highest tides aren't until later this week, the fact that there were 5-7 meter waves forecast yesterday made up for the minimal difference in actual tidal level. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy said: It was pretty bad yesterday for some reason, today through weds should be worse... not a good time to have beach front property ( I know, woe is me). I wish it were easy to share videos here but one wave took out a good chunk of a neighbors yard in rockaway. Yeah, my wife had some video on the Facebook from yesterday in the Ocean Park area where some houses were surrounded by the surf. Came up higher than the ones a couple years ago which were pretty much unprecedented. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Jesse said: I think sharing videos has gotten a lot easier since the upgrade. Sharing pics definitely has. Lower resolution pics though. I didn't mind sharing imgur links on here which seems like the site rejects after the upgrade. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, wxmet said: Good setup for some overrunning events. First time the EPS has shown more than just a trace of snow for the West side. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Here is a screenshot 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, Jesse said: I thought that wasn't for a few more days. I think they max out today and tomorrow at Astoria but the SW’erly fetch and low offshore pressures should enhance things a little further. Yesterday must have just been a perfect storm... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Yeah, my wife had some video on the Facebook from yesterday in the Ocean Park area where some houses were surrounded by the surf. Came up higher than the ones a couple years ago which were pretty much unprecedented. Sea level rise? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Deweydog said: I think they max out today and tomorrow at Astoria but the SW’erly fetch and low offshore pressures should enhance things a little further. Yesterday must have just been a perfect storm... I hope so, not looking forward to the bill. Our property is surrounded by riprap and we have been lucky enough to not have to replace any for the last couple years we have owned it. That will likely change this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: First time the EPS has shown more than just a trace of snow for the West side. That is impressive. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Jesse said: Sea level rise? The aerial photo from the 1960’s of our property looks essentially the same now. Although we are on the north side of a jetty so sand does get deposited there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 impressive 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 1 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Sea level rise? Dunno. Turns out I was thinking of 2018 instead of 2019 (these sh*t Januaries run together). This video from the north peninsula always impressed me. January is always the big tide month, but it seems like there has been a lot more encroachment during these cycles of late. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: 2.2" here is probably an underestimation, but looks perfect elsewhere. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 13 minutes ago, Timmy said: I hope so, not looking forward to the bill. Our property is surrounded by riprap and we have been lucky enough to not have to replace any for the last couple years we have owned it. That will likely change this week. Mo money mo problems. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 14 minutes ago, Jesse said: Mo money mo problems. There is definitely a tremendous amount of white privilege flexing that goes on in this forum. 1 1 1 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: There is definitely a tremendous amount of white privilege flexing that goes on in this forum. My dad was a janitor with 5 kids. Step off. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: There is definitely a tremendous amount of white privilege flexing that goes on in this forum. I wouldn’t call it that. And I’m sure Timmy would agree with B.I.G. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: There is definitely a tremendous amount of white privilege flexing that goes on in this forum. You should set up some model riding outreach programs. 1 2 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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