SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Timmy said: My dad was a janitor with 5 kids. Step off. That was not entirely directed at you, you are not the only one posting constantly about lake houses, cabins, jet skis, and trips to TRI CITIES. . Having money is not a bad thing. It just cracks me up sometimes how unrepresentative of the population as a whole this forum is. Nothing inherently wrong with that. 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: You should set up some model riding outreach programs. Only if I can use STIMULUS funds. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Now cue everyone's "I picked myself up by the bootstraps," rags to riches story. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just got home a couple hours ago from my wisdom tooth removal. Glad to see the models are looking good. Think Cold and SNOW! 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Just got home a couple hours ago from my wisdom tooth removal. Glad to see the models are looking good. Think Cold and SNOW! C'mon! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Just got home a couple hours ago from my wisdom tooth removal. Glad to see the models are looking good. Think Cold and SNOW! I’m pretty sure I went to the dentist in December 2008... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 CPC is onboard! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 55 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Pretty crazy sh*t from yesterday’s KING TIDE event at the coast. https://komonews.com/news/local/watch-herd-of-elk-run-from-wave-during-high-tide-on-cannon-beach?fbclid=IwAR0ldXsFTcLQ3O6clna9EgWAxST3KO4zMcbCOJjtXpaLXCrOuxOTQKNJTHw As well as this in Rockaway! See if this workshttps://www.facebook.com/132966913411693/posts/4954549921253344/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Cloud said: CPC is onboard! I don’t know, those warm anomaly contours in Alaska aren’t shaped in quite the right way to give us a TRUE arctic blast at day 14. Might have to settle for 1,600’ snow levels in that period but it’s good to see the improvement folks!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Now cue everyone's "I picked myself up by the bootstraps," rags to riches story. Did somebody say Lake House??? Summer fun!! For the last 3 generations in my family! 5 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 46 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: First time the EPS has shown more than just a trace of snow for the West side. That there would TICK me off! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: I don’t know, those warm anomaly contours in Alaska aren’t shaped in quite the right way to give us a TRUE arctic blast at day 14. Might have to settle for 1,600’ snow levels in that period but it’s good to see the improvement folks!! Ensemble means feature a transition to a longwave pattern more typical during a La Nina winter with a building 500-hPa ridge across much of Alaska, a downstream trough at the higher latitudes of western North America, and a developing ridge over the Southeast. The ECMWF ensemble mean is the fastest with this transition but there is good agreement among ensemble means that this occurs around day 10. This predicted pattern change is likely to result in colder temperatures across the western and north-central CONUS during week-2, making a two-category change necessary from the 6-10 day period. This would be a major change from the previous 30 days when temperatures averaged as much as +10 degrees F above normal across the Northern Rockies and Northern Great Plains. In contrast to a colder pattern over the West, a gradual warming trend is expected for the Gulf Coast States as 500-hPa heights increase. Teleconnections upon a large positive 500-hPa anomaly at 45N-155W, common among all ensemble means, was used as guidance in the week-2 temperature outlook. However, probabilities are tempered due to the variable temperature pattern within the 7-day period. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Did somebody say Lake House??? Summer fun!! For the last 3 generations in my family! Kinda Andrew's point... That Bernie Sanders guy was onto something. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Wowzers Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, einsteinjr said: Kinda Andrew's point... That Bernie Sanders guy was onto something. The Moss dynasty. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 15 hours ago, Fircrest said: I just watched it also and really enjoyed it! I wouldn’t mind watching a few more movies like this. Watched the whole thing through without touching my iPad or phone. That makes it a winner! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I for one would have no problem with those lows swinging through coos bay headed NE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 So do we all need to sell our houses to score a January cold snap? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, OysterPrintout said: I for one would have no problem with those lows swinging through coos bay headed NE I wonder what Culver Josh would say about this. In fact I wonder what he is doing right this very moment? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Jesse said: I wonder what Culver Josh would say about this. In fact I wonder what he is doing right this very moment? Drinking probably. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: This sucks. Never want to be in the sweet spot 384 hours out. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: So do we all need to sell our houses to score a January cold snap? Yes. Your Dodge Ram must go as well. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Yes. Your Dodge Ram must go as well. Yikes...I just bought an AWD car... If this blows up on us, I'll take the fall. 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Yes. Your Dodge Ram must go as well. Maybe I can find some remnants of that S-10 I had back in 1998! I got T-boned in it on Marine Drive about two months after today’s snowstorm. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: Yes. Your Dodge Ram must go as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 A decently wet plume is on the way. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Holy baby cows and pancakes! I just got home and looked at everything. Outstanding EURO/EPS run! That's just magic right there. Looks like timing has moved ahead a bit too. Here we go! I'm a bit eager to dust off the "Colder Runs Ahead!" (c) 2016? but not just yet perhaps. 18z GFS in 12 minutes 18z GEFS in 1 hour 43 minutes 00z GFS in 6 hours 12 minutes 00z GEM in 7 hours 43 minutes 00z GEFS in 7 hours 43 minutes 00z ECMWF in 8 hours 27 minutes 00z EPS in 11 hours 12 minutes 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Weeklies are out. These are 5 day average anamolies ending with the day of the image. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 29 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That was not entirely directed at you, you are not the only one posting constantly about lake houses, cabins, jet skis, and trips to TRI CITIES. . Having money is not a bad thing. It just cracks me up sometimes how unrepresentative of the population as a whole this forum is. Nothing inherently wrong with that. And the luxury of so much spare time to post endlessly online. 1 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Here's all 3 for posterity's sake 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Drinking probably. I’m still kinda surprised he got the boot again. Didn’t seem to take much. Maybe I’m weird but his drunken, often misguided attempts at some sort camaraderie never bothered me too much. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, dolt said: A decently wet plume is on the way. And yet it looks decently dry after tomorrow. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: And the luxury of so much spare time to post endlessly online. Bahahaha. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 I'd say the odds are significantly higher at this point of a major PNW cold/snow episode later this month as opposed to another cold (and snowy for some) February. Not to say that both couldn't happen, but historically, very cold periods usually last a week or less. February 2019 was an extremely rare animal. And January is a helluva lot more dew than February. 2 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Weeklies are out. These are 5 day average anamolies ending with the day of the image. Looks great. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 13 minutes ago, Jesse said: I wonder what Culver Josh would say about this. In fact I wonder what he is doing right this very moment? rifling through some mostly empty bottles of those weird pills you see behind the glass at sketchy gas stations and probably dreaming up his next fun forum character to try to top his last incredible effort of "girl on a weather forum" that being said I think fred should let him out of timeout if the event is happening just for a forum wild card. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looks great. Mean ridge position wouldn’t hurt to be a hair or two East. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I'd say the odds are significantly higher at this point of a major PNW cold/snow episode later this month as opposed to another cold (and snowy for some) February. Not to say that both couldn't happen, but historically, very cold periods usually last a week or less. February 2019 was an extremely rare animal. And January is a helluva lot more dew than February. I think odds are pretty high February is below average. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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