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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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Just now, Timmy said:

My dad was a janitor with 5 kids. Step off.

That was not entirely directed at you, you are not the only one posting constantly about lake houses, cabins, jet skis, and trips to TRI CITIES. ;)

Having money is not a bad thing. It just cracks me up sometimes how unrepresentative of the population as a whole this forum is. Nothing inherently wrong with that. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

You should set up some model riding outreach programs.

Only if I can use STIMULUS funds. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Now cue everyone's "I picked myself up by the bootstraps," rags to riches story. 🤣

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Just got home a couple hours ago from my wisdom tooth removal. Glad to see the models are looking good. Think Cold and SNOW!

C'mon! ;)

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, Cloud said:

CPC is onboard!😍

 

I don’t know, those warm anomaly contours in Alaska aren’t shaped in quite the right way to give us a TRUE arctic blast at day 14. Might have to settle for 1,600’ snow levels in that period but it’s good to see the improvement folks!!

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7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Now cue everyone's "I picked myself up by the bootstraps," rags to riches story. 🤣

Did somebody say Lake House???

Summer fun!! For the last 3 generations in my family! 

F3933C5E-C23A-4025-BA5A-DBC5F73D3017.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I don’t know, those warm anomaly contours in Alaska aren’t shaped in quite the right way to give us a TRUE arctic blast at day 14. Might have to settle for 1,600’ snow levels in that period but it’s good to see the improvement folks!!

Ensemble means feature a transition to a longwave pattern more typical during a  
La Nina winter with a building 500-hPa ridge across much of Alaska, a  
downstream trough at the higher latitudes of western North America, and a  
developing ridge over the Southeast. The ECMWF ensemble mean is the fastest  
with this transition but there is good agreement among ensemble means that this  
occurs around day 10. This predicted pattern change is likely to result in  
colder temperatures across the western and north-central CONUS during week-2,  
making a two-category change necessary from the 6-10 day period. This would be  
a major change from the previous 30 days when temperatures averaged as much as  
+10 degrees F above normal across the Northern Rockies and Northern Great  
Plains. In contrast to a colder pattern over the West, a gradual warming trend  
is expected for the Gulf Coast States as 500-hPa heights increase.  
Teleconnections upon a large positive 500-hPa anomaly at 45N-155W, common among  
all ensemble means, was used as guidance in the week-2 temperature outlook.    
However, probabilities are tempered due to the variable temperature pattern  
within the 7-day period. 
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6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

❄️

snow21.gif

Wowzers

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1611748800-IZAQgfBCXqQ.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Just now, Jesse said:

I wonder what Culver Josh would say about this. In fact I wonder what he is doing right this very moment? 🤔 

Drinking probably. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

1611748800-IZAQgfBCXqQ.png

This sucks. Never want to be in the sweet spot 384 hours out. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

So do we all need to sell our houses to score a January cold snap?

Yes. Your Dodge Ram must go as well. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yes. Your Dodge Ram must go as well. 

Yikes...I just bought an AWD car...

If this blows up on us, I'll take the fall.

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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Holy baby cows and pancakes! I just got home and looked at everything. Outstanding EURO/EPS run! That's just magic right there. Looks like timing has moved ahead a bit too. Here we go! I'm a bit eager to dust off the "Colder Runs Ahead!" (c) 2016? but not just yet perhaps.
18z GFS in 12 minutes
18z GEFS in 1 hour 43 minutes
00z GFS in 6 hours 12 minutes
00z GEM in 7 hours 43 minutes
00z GEFS in 7 hours 43 minutes
00z ECMWF in 8 hours 27 minutes
00z EPS in 11 hours 12 minutes
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29 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That was not entirely directed at you, you are not the only one posting constantly about lake houses, cabins, jet skis, and trips to TRI CITIES. ;)

Having money is not a bad thing. It just cracks me up sometimes how unrepresentative of the population as a whole this forum is. Nothing inherently wrong with that. 

And the luxury of so much spare time to post endlessly online.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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Here's all 3 for posterity's sake

 

GFS PNA.png

EC PNA.png

GEM PNA.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Drinking probably. 

I’m still kinda surprised he got the boot again. Didn’t seem to take much. Maybe I’m weird but his drunken, often misguided attempts at some sort camaraderie never bothered me too much. 

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4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

And the luxury of so much spare time to post endlessly online.

Bahahaha.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I'd say the odds are significantly higher at this point of a major PNW cold/snow episode later this month as opposed to another cold (and snowy for some) February.

Not to say that both couldn't happen, but historically, very cold periods usually last a week or less. February 2019 was an extremely rare animal. 

And January is a helluva lot more dew than February.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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6 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Weeklies are out.  These are 5 day average anamolies ending with the day of the image.

 

1537304412_14-kmEPS46-DAYSNorthAmerica5-dayAvg500ZAnom.gif

Looks great. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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13 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I wonder what Culver Josh would say about this. In fact I wonder what he is doing right this very moment? 🤔 

 

rifling through some mostly empty bottles of those weird pills you see behind the glass at sketchy gas stations and probably dreaming up his next fun forum character to try to top his last incredible effort of "girl on a weather forum"

that being said I think fred should let him out of timeout if the event is happening just for a forum wild card.

 

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4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I'd say the odds are significantly higher at this point of a major PNW cold/snow episode later this month as opposed to another cold (and snowy for some) February.

Not to say that both couldn't happen, but historically, very cold periods usually last a week or less. February 2019 was an extremely rare animal. 

And January is a helluva lot more dew than February.

I think odds are pretty high February is below average. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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