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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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1611748800-XADcGY6EctA.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Mean ridge position wouldn’t hurt to be a hair or two East. ;)

Look who is negative now!

  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I’m still kinda surprised he got the boot again. Didn’t seem to take much. Maybe I’m weird but his drunken, often misguided attempts at some sort camaraderie never bothered me too much. 

Eh as much as he riled on about kids these days and macho jingoism he wasn't too much of a bother this time around. Who knows, maybe his little conference calls could come in handy.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Lock it in

1611662400-5nr2pGFK2Fg.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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I'm digging the eye candy snowfall maps, but man alive the 27th still feels so far away!

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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EC Snow Ensembles.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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OK druncle...do your thing!!! Off the wagon!!!

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Eh as much as he riled on about kids these days and macho jingoism he wasn't too much of a bother this time around. Who knows, maybe his little conference calls could come in handy.

for whatever reason it bothered me how he just posted boring and negative stuff. It was always just about how far out things were and how dumb everyone was for looking at it and how Mark Nelsen thinks we're all morons and it somehow came along with some weird version of transparently phony intellectualism. Then it started a bit into his tried and true bullying of Rob. No real loss for the forum there but like I said maybe let's let him out of timeout if we get to celebrate.

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Josh poll (Multiple selections are allowed) @iFred

Type [1 ] if you want Josh unbanned, but with conditions to be met (mainly no drunk posting) Lol. Conference calls could become vital soon though.

Type [2] if you want Josh to remain banned.

Type [3] if you feel a ban is a bit heavy handed and a 5 day suspension is more reasonable

Type [4] if you don't care

Type [5] if you don't want me to create anymore polls

Type [6] if you only care about bacon

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8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I think odds are pretty high February is below average. 

Agreed. But I think there's a good chance the climax of the winter for most people comes later this month. Just from observing how these patterns usually evolve. Maybe something like January 1996 but a tad earlier.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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Just thinking about how the ensembles have the ridge going a bit further west than "ideal" in the long run.  But that could allow systems to come in.  Think about how cold it will be in BC and in Eastern WA.  It stands to reason that any low pressure system coming in could draw a lot of that colder air toward Western WA and OR, so thinking that could be a snowy solution for most people.   Thoughts?

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6 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

for whatever reason it bothered me how he just posted boring and negative stuff. It was always just about how far out things were and how dumb everyone was for looking at it and how Mark Nelsen thinks we're all morons and it somehow came along with some weird version of transparently phony intellectualism. Then it started a bit into his tried and true bullying of Rob. No real loss for the forum there but like I said maybe let's let him out of timeout if we get to celebrate.

Yeah. That went from harmless jabs, no big deal, to then becoming very annoying. It turns out I don't like being annoyed.

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Agreed. But I think there's a good chance the climax of the winter for most people comes later this month. Just from observing how these patterns usually evolve. Maybe something like January 1996 but a tad earlier.

I agree. If we do get hit with arctic air later this month, chances are it won't happen again. And of course the chances it happens in February decrease pretty quickly once we get deep into the month. 

  • Weenie 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Josh poll (Multiple selections are allowed) @iFred

Type [1 ] if you want Josh unbanned, but with conditions to be met (mainly no drunk posting) Lol. Conference calls could become vital soon though.

Type [2] if you want Josh to remain banned.

Type [3] if you feel a ban is a bit heavy handed and a 5 day suspension is more reasonable

Type [4] if you don't care

Type [5] if you don't want me to create anymore polls

Type [6] if you only care about bacon

I felt a ban was coming but a bit premature. I'll choose 3

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3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Agreed. But I think there's a good chance the climax of the winter for most people comes later this month. Just from observing how these patterns usually evolve. Maybe something like January 1996 but a tad earlier.

You’re basically just regurgitating what the models happen to be showing at the moment, verbatim.

I think it’s more likely we’re gonna see some ol’ fashioned volatility this week. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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If you look at the EURO weeklies though, there is a ton of potential that first week of February. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Josh poll (Multiple selections are allowed) @iFred

Type [1 ] if you want Josh unbanned, but with conditions to be met (mainly no drunk posting) Lol. Conference calls could become vital soon though.

Type [2] if you want Josh to remain banned.

Type [3] if you feel a ban is a bit heavy handed and a 5 day suspension is more reasonable

Type [4] if you don't care

Type [5] if you don't want me to create anymore polls

Type [6] if you only care about bacon

3. If he were to drunk post or intentionally annoying people, then 5 days suspension would be increased to 7, then 10, 20, 30, etc. Maybe I'm too nice.

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8 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

You’re basically just regurgitating what the models happen to be showing at the moment, verbatim.

I think it’s more likely we’re gonna see some ol’ fashioned volatility this week. 

That, sir, is a cynical and false take. 

It's a crap shoot beyond day 7, and we definitely don't have any reliable models going into February (other than ones that just offer a general idea of the pattern).

I think if a big-time SCORE happens for the lowlands (and no models within semi-believable range show that yet), it's more likely to happen sooner than later after the pattern transition and blocking ridge forms. As I said, that's just from years of observing how these things often evolve.

And your second sentence is one bold prediction.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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16 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Josh poll (Multiple selections are allowed) @iFred

Type [1 ] if you want Josh unbanned, but with conditions to be met (mainly no drunk posting) Lol. Conference calls could become vital soon though.

Type [2] if you want Josh to remain banned.

Type [3] if you feel a ban is a bit heavy handed and a 5 day suspension is more reasonable

Type [4] if you don't care

Type [5] if you don't want me to create anymore polls

Type [6] if you only care about bacon

2

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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17 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Just thinking about how the ensembles have the ridge going a bit further west than "ideal" in the long run.  But that could allow systems to come in.  Think about how cold it will be in BC and in Eastern WA.  It stands to reason that any low pressure system coming in could draw a lot of that colder air toward Western WA and OR, so thinking that could be a snowy solution for most people.   Thoughts?

East wind event potential. 

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20 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Josh poll (Multiple selections are allowed) @iFred

Type [1 ] if you want Josh unbanned, but with conditions to be met (mainly no drunk posting) Lol. Conference calls could become vital soon though.

Type [2] if you want Josh to remain banned.

Type [3] if you feel a ban is a bit heavy handed and a 5 day suspension is more reasonable

Type [4] if you don't care

Type [5] if you don't want me to create anymore polls

Type [6] if you only care about bacon

4

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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atmospheric river.gif

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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18 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

That, sir, is a cynical and false take. 

It's a crap shoot beyond day 7, and we definitely don't have any reliable models going into February (other than ones that just offer a general idea of the pattern).

I think if a big-time SCORE happens for the lowlands (and no models within semi-believable range show that yet), it's more likely to happen sooner than later after the pattern transition and blocking ridge forms. As I said, that's just from years of observing how these things often evolve.

And your second sentence is one bold prediction.

Obviously if we score some kind of significant cold snap during the last week of the month, it will likely be the “peak” of our winter.  That’s common sense. There’s always rabid talk of an extreme cold pattern “locking in” but most of us know that is extremely rare.   Even in February 2019, the first shot was by far the coldest.  

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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22 minutes ago, SalemDuck said:

The first 360 hours are always the previous night's EPS

That is true.  They are initiated with the 0Z run.  And I compared last nights 0Z 360 hour ensemble to the weeklies at the same point in time, exactly the same.  That makes sense.

But think about this:  The weeklies we saw this afternoon look good, but, since it started with last nights runs, I wonder if it had initiated with the 12Z instead that it might have been better.  

Todays 12Z was significantly colder in the 8-15 day range and much more snowy than last nights 0Z 15 day run, and therefore the weeklies we saw today. 

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27 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Josh poll (Multiple selections are allowed) @iFred

Type [1 ] if you want Josh unbanned, but with conditions to be met (mainly no drunk posting) Lol. Conference calls could become vital soon though.

Type [2] if you want Josh to remain banned.

Type [3] if you feel a ban is a bit heavy handed and a 5 day suspension is more reasonable

Type [4] if you don't care

Type [5] if you don't want me to create anymore polls

Type [6] if you only care about bacon

4, 6

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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28 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Josh poll (Multiple selections are allowed) @iFred

Type [1 ] if you want Josh unbanned, but with conditions to be met (mainly no drunk posting) Lol. Conference calls could become vital soon though.

Type [2] if you want Josh to remain banned.

Type [3] if you feel a ban is a bit heavy handed and a 5 day suspension is more reasonable

Type [4] if you don't care

Type [5] if you don't want me to create anymore polls

Type [6] if you only care about bacon

4

He keeps popping up on my “people you may know.”

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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29 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Josh poll (Multiple selections are allowed) @iFred

Type [1 ] if you want Josh unbanned, but with conditions to be met (mainly no drunk posting) Lol. Conference calls could become vital soon though.

Type [2] if you want Josh to remain banned.

Type [3] if you feel a ban is a bit heavy handed and a 5 day suspension is more reasonable

Type [4] if you don't care

Type [5] if you don't want me to create anymore polls

Type [6] if you only care about bacon

6 and 7. Bacon and cheese.

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Water vapor loop. 

CODNEXLAB-GOES-West-continental-w_conus-10-22_01Z-20210111_map_-33-1n-10-100.gif

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Some backdoor action by day 11. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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This run is a step back...

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

This run is a step back...

Yeah. I hadn't really looked at the whole 12z. Yikes. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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