Jesse Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 8 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: The dream is still alive on the GFS. We are going to be watching this potential for about three weeks before anything potentially happens. Exhausting work. Good thing we have Andrew here to make it feel twice as long! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 13 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: The dream is still alive on the GFS. We are going to be watching this potential for about three weeks before anything potentially happens. Exhausting work. That wretched cutoff low within the block brings a quick end to any real cold. Need to bring the -NAO back for any sort of prolonged cold. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said: That wretched cutoff low within the block brings a quick end to any real cold. Need to bring the -NAO back for any sort of prolonged cold. It also is the method for delivering us a nice snowstorm on each of the past two runs. We'll take what we can get. The block is still largely in place right on through the end of the last two GFS runs. It's a nice pattern for sustained snow and cold opportunities. 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: It also is the method for delivering us a nice snowstorm on each of the past two runs. We'll take what we can get. The block is still largely in place right on through the end of the last two GFS runs. It's a nice pattern for sustained snow and cold opportunities. Have you guys met? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Is the NAO already negative? Are the models just missing it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, Jesse said: Have you guys met? I have a feeling that Washington County and Springfield are going to kill it this month. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 34 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Can you post Washington please Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Can you post Washington please 4 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Top of the space needle apparently hit 72mph last night. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Power out here so the generator is up and running. Ended up having a few gusts to 45 mph which ties my record high. Pretty sure this was the strongest storm since the Hannukah Eve Storm. Took a drive around the area and saw probably over a hundred trees down. If I followed all the road closed signs I wouldn't have actually be able to leave my road as there are lines down at one end and a leaning power pole at the other. Couple houses in the neighborhood also have trees down on them although it doesn't look like much serious damage. 3 2 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2.28” of rain yesterday was the 7th wettest day ive recorded here at this location. Definitely was also one of the strongest windstorms I’ve seen in the last 10 years. Didn’t lose power...but saw lots of substation flashes and lots of light flickering. Gusts maxed out 55-57mph. Had some pretty decent pressure rises of roughly 5mb per hour 2 hours straight. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2nd consecutive GEFS run where the ridge doesn't seem to exit stage left (West) like had been the case for several days. Hopefully the EPS follows suit. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Was actually pretty frosty this morning, even at 35F. Wind must have died off temporarily overnight. Still pretty gusty at times now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Sounds like you guys had a wild night. Hope everyone is alright. If there’s an upside, that wind might have Darwinized the tree canopy to some extent. Get rid of the weak wood and make room for the strong wood. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 I am liking the evolution of Kona low on west side of Hawaiian islands. These things can be more or less sort of a good anchor to lock in a cold pattern for the PAC NW. Jan 1980 is best example. Believe there was one Feb 2019 as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just now, paulb/eugene said: I am liking the evolution of Kona low on west side of Hawaiian islands. These things can be more or less sort of a good anchor to lock in a cold pattern for the PAC NW. Jan 1980 is best example. Believe there was one Feb 2019 as well. It should be known that Hawai’i is often NOT the place to go to escape winter cold in SEA/PDX 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, iFred said: On a conference call with a few coworkers living out in North Bend and Sammamish and it sounds like this was the worst windstorm in at least a decade. Looking over the radar for Everett, that low hit in that sweet spot that leaves us wind shadowed when winds are at their strongest. Power is out here... and everywhere in the valley. But very few trees down or much in the way of visible damage. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, iFred said: On a conference call with a few coworkers living out in North Bend and Sammamish and it sounds like this was the worst windstorm in at least a decade. Looking over the radar for Everett, that low hit in that sweet spot that leaves us wind shadowed when winds are at their strongest. Euro and NAM both showed that happening. They showed a thin line of basically zero wind through Central Snohomish County around 1am while Seattle was still gusting near 50. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanNyberg Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 3 hours ago, Jginmartini said: I do believe I just saw your video on The Weather Channel! Just caught the end of it but it looked like it. Edit: Confirmed it was....nice job They asked if they could use it, nice to see that they did. Thanks for spotting this 4 1 Quote -------------------- Sean Nyberg IG: @SeanNyberg X: @SeanNyberg Facebook: Sean Nyberg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just now, iFred said: Good month so far - soaking rains - decent wind storm We just need some snow and cold now. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Looks like most of western WA is only supposed to get 0.25”-0.5” of rain over the next week...fairly weak systems with some dry days in the mix. Nice day currently too! Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Absolutely beautiful day after the storm. Nice change of pace. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Went to work for a bit, this chunk of tree just missed the building but did nuke the fence. Cell tower is down and no power so I didn’t have that option for working on my phone, so I came home to work. No power here as well but I have the satellite internet running on the generator. What a lovely storm that was...Hopefully just the warmup to the epicness coming soon! 4 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 The 12z Euro wanted to be pretty cutoffy with the pattern change a week out. Hopefully the EPS is more consolidated, since that seems to be a common problem with the operational in the 7-10 day range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Went to work for a bit, this chunk of tree just missed the building but did nuke the fence. Cell tower is down and no power so I didn’t have that option for working on my phone, so I came home to work. No power here as well but I have the satellite internet running on the generator. What a lovely storm that was...Hopefully just the warmup to the epicness coming soon! What satellite internet do you have and how do you like it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 9 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Absolutely beautiful day after the storm. Nice change of pace. Pretty impressive crash in thicknesses in the last 12 hours too. From mid 550s to around 530dm. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: What satellite internet do you have and how do you like it? HughesNet and I hate it. It’s awful with speed, can’t stream without constant buffering, and they charge overage fees. But it’s really the only option around here at the moment. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Not trying to be political. Just found it weird how low solar activity is correlated with impeachment’s. Weird coincidence 3 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: The 12z Euro wanted to be pretty cutoffy with the pattern change a week out. Hopefully the EPS is more consolidated, since that seems to be a common problem with the operational in the 7-10 day range. Much fainter sign for it on the EPS. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Not trying to be political. Just found it weird how low solar activity is correlated with impeachment’s. Weird coincidence The Astrologists are going to have a field day with this. 2 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Looks like it’s the daily winter cancel time of day! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 minute ago, SalemDuck said: Much fainter sign for it on the EPS. That’s not quite the timeframe where it would have the most impact. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 EPS day 8 has the Kona low though 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just now, SalemDuck said: EPS day 8 has the Kona low though Looks like there is much less of a cutoff pattern on the 12z EPS. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Looks like it’s the daily winter cancel time of day! I think you misunderstood him. EPS better through hour 240. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 EPS has a stronger ridge, deeper trough, and colder 850s from about day 7 through at least day 10 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I think you misunderstood him. EPS better through hour 240. Yep he did, the EPS is improved over last night's run through day 10 (where it's currently at) 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: EPS has a stronger ridge, deeper trough, and colder 850s from about day 7 through at least day 10 Good. Yeah what the operational Euro tries to do with the energy dropping down the backside of the ridge in the 7-10 day range seems to be a pretty common error for that model in that timeframe (although sometimes it ends up being correct). Hopefully the EPS prevails. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 EPS still better through hour 294. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by OysterPrintout,
3 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.