Blizzard777 Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 32 minutes ago, MossMan said: Still on generator power, but a nice and still blustery day. My sump pump is firing off every 68 seconds under house from all this rain!!! So glad it’s done for a bit. Is old creaky still alive? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 8 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: My sump pump is firing off every 68 seconds under house from all this rain!!! So glad it’s done for a bit. Is old creaky still alive? It is!! All of my trees survived, lots of branches down however, spent the last few hours doing some cleanup. Definitely needs to cool down soon however...My grass has had a growth spike and the frogs were croaking last night!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westiztehbest Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 hours ago, bainbridgekid said: Spokane airport reported a 71 mph gust this morning. If that's confirmed it will be the 2nd strongest wind ever recorded there I believe. Impressive. Powers out. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 18z!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: 18z!! Ouch 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 The moment Flatiron climbs onboard... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Still a ways to go. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Definitely trending warming Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Disastrous druncle run...oof. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Wore out my welcome a bit yesterday, so I thought I would take a little break. That and the power outage which is still ongoing. Then I saw the 18z and knew I was needed! 1 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Both GFS ops today are basically worthless because they put that cutoff right in the middle of the ridge merger. No other model or ensemble shows that. The progression is completely affected by that after it. Both runs are different with the handling of that. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 There is zero run to run consistency past 180hr right now. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Dewey told us there would be volatility. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Ensembles will be telling Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 00z will be back to good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Dewey told us there would be volatility. Feels like the old days!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 15 minutes ago, Deweydog said: The moment Flatiron climbs onboard... I told my co-workers earlier today as well...I should know better by now. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Tell us something good Dr. V! He apparently did not see the 18z. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 13 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Hey look, it's our good friend Aleutian low! It is past the hour 240 resolution change. OTOH a lot of the good stuff we have seen has also been last it too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Look's warm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Rug pull once again. That was fun....not really though. How's spring looking? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 We still have the ECMWF and EPS. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 The Arctic air is trying to enter the PNW but the constant barrage of warm fronts isn't having it, literally shoving it all east of the Rockies. lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Climo. I heard that Mark dude pulled his fork back out of the drawer to finish polishing it. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Didn’t I read somewhere that there was a SSW recently? #ialsoreadsomewherethattheytendtoleadtopatternvolatility Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Even the NWS loves Leslie Nielson NWS Seattle @NWSSeattle Strange wording in hourly observations...."suh-nee". I think that's how it's pronounced. Admittedly, this was disorienting. Asked my smartphone, "Surely, this can't be true?". The phone replied "Yes, it is. And don't call me Shirley". Doh! It was in airplane mode. #wawx #dadjokes 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Op runs don’t really matter that much. It’s just one run in an ensemble of many runs. That was one thing I learned awhile back when I joined the forums a couple years back. I always took the euro and gfs operational runs as scripture of what would really happen. You’ll go crazy chasing each run 2-4 times a day freaking out over each one. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Op runs don’t really matter that much. It’s just one run in an ensemble of many runs. That was one thing I learned awhile back when I joined the forums a couple years back. I always took the euro and gfs operational runs as scripture of what would really happen. You’ll go crazy chasing each run 2-4 times a day freaking out over each one. You would think that the people in this forum who have been looking at these models for years would have learned that by now. You would think. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 8 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: The Arctic air is trying to enter the PNW but the constant barrage of warm fronts isn't having it, literally shoving it all east of the Rockies. lol Brace yourselves. The Hitler video is coming. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: You would think that the people in this forum who have been looking at these models for years would have learned that by now. You would think. A lot of the people being dramatic today know this very well. This website is just trolls trolling trolls. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 We were cancelling winter just days before the epicness of February 2019 as well...It’s the normal progression. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 I'm tired of trying to act tough, This winter sucks turds. Pull the rug and hit me with the hotdogs!!! 1 4 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: We were cancelling winter just days before the epicness of February 2019 as well...It’s the normal progression. No it's over Man. Sorry Brother. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 11 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Op runs don’t really matter that much. It’s just one run in an ensemble of many runs. That was one thing I learned awhile back when I joined the forums a couple years back. I always took the euro and gfs operational runs as scripture of what would really happen. You’ll go crazy chasing each run 2-4 times a day freaking out over each one. Operational runs are valuable in that they aren’t stand alone entities. The ensembles are simply perturbed versions of the operational. Doesn't mean the 18z isn’t completely out to lunch, but it also doesn’t mean that it’s not a plausible outcome. The road is getting a little bumpy... 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Operational runs are valuable in that they aren’t stand alone entities. The ensembles are simply perturbed versions of the operational. Doesn't mean the 18z isn’t completely out to lunch, but it also doesn’t mean that it’s not a plausible outcome. The road is getting a little bumpy... Might have to use 4x4 to make it to Walgreens then. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 18z Ensemble is colder than the 12z, especially out this way. Deep breaths everyone. 12z. 18z 9 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 10 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: A lot of the people being dramatic today know this very well. This website is just trolls trolling trolls. Yup. And part of the normal progression leading to an arctic outbreak is someone telling people not to panic. Part of the game. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SouthHillFrosty Posted January 13, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, Kayla said: 18z Ensemble is colder than the 12z, especially out this way. Deep breaths everyone. 12z. 18z Everybody when there is model variance 5 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 12 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Might have to use 4x4 to make it to Walgreens then. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Power just came back on-- what a weird windstorm. Just some howling west winds for an hour or so that were strong enough to down a bunch of trees in this area. Overall a pretty interesting event, south winds were underwhelming but that surge of westerlies made up for it. 4 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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