MossMan Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Down to 36 degrees. .16” on the day. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Day 9'er HUGE block pivoting around Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Again with the cutoff fetish. This euro solution is bunk. ..I think. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Call me crazy, but I'm more confident now than ever. The block position, tilt, kona, southeast/south central ridge... it's sooo close to hammering us if future runs have a better cold air source to the north. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 EPS is going to be phenomenal. Just a hunch. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Looks promising 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Looks promising Looking better for you! Can you post KPLU pls? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Looks promising That's awesome. 5 inch mean for Eugene is impressive. Any chance you can post KPAE? Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 10 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Call me crazy, but I'm more confident now than ever. The block position, tilt, kona, southeast/south central ridge... it's sooo close to hammering us if future runs have a better cold air source to the north. Like this? Looks pretty good to me for an average 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 4 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I'll take the control. Is it ever accurate? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Well. We better hope all the operational runs were way off base. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: I'll take the control. Is it ever accurate? Yes and no. It is struggling with the pattern change. When it gets within 100 hours, then it starts to shine more 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 EPS hour 216 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Not as good as the 12Z, but still good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Strangely my ideal weather would actually be cold strong east winds for days on end— something like November 2014. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Courtesy of Brian S. PDX 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Requiem said: Strangely my ideal weather would actually be cold strong east winds for days on end— something like November 2014. That's so weird to me. You can be I'm the 20s and nothing is frozen cause it's so dry. And so quiet too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: That's so weird to me. You can be I'm the 20s and nothing is frozen cause it's so dry. And so quiet too Definitely might be on account of the fact that it’s easy to get a wind fix without having to deal with any power issues. My neck of the woods is super exposed to the easterlies. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Getting there. Need to bring those daytime highs down. Colder overnight lows wouldn't hurt either 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Not great. Not yet. Pattern change coming, but we need another 6 runs or so I think to get a much better idea if we just see a chilly air mass, backdoor cold, or a more significant blast. C'MON!!! 6z GFS in 1 hour 38 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Oof 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Not great. Not yet. Pattern change coming, but we need another 6 runs or so I think to get a much better idea if we just see a chilly air mass, backdoor cold, or a more significant blast. C'MON!!! 6z GFS in 1 hour 38 minutes I was referring for the 12z/00z EURO/EPS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Was this posted earlier? Looks good 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Oof Why is that an oof? 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 06z GFS starting soon. Let's see some wretched, awful nonsense! Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Root for PAIN and MISERY! Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Root for PAIN and MISERY! Now we’re talking!!!! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Ridge axis is worlds better on this run. Hopefully ensembles continue this look. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 GEFS continues its trends with suppressing that TPV lobe further out and amplifying the block more, along with a better tilt. Colder overall. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Total snowfall. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 That includes some PSCZ snow associated with that initial trough. Marginal and convective, though. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 7 hours ago, Christensen87 said: Last week of January could definitely be quite snowy. Make it so. Or should that be: Make it snow. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 5 hours ago, Requiem said: Why is that an oof? Because Tiger lives in the dreaded Willamette Valley Gray Zone. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Power is still out. Let’s hope for some great model runs today! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Interesting bit in this morning's AFD. I would think it's the other way around: deterministic models are more conflicted while ensemble solutions remain more steadfast. Oh well, nice to see them mention the upcoming pattern change regardless. Presumably just a mental lapse. Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 A nice sunrise this morning. 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 My memories had this pop up for today. Flashback to 2017s cold 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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