jakerepp Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Need to shift that north about 10 miles. Disagree completely 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: Wow. Just finished teaching on Zoom and that was one hell of a run to come back to. The cold just kept building and lows kept spinning up off the Coast. Would quite literally be perfection. Now watch the Ensembles be the worst yet . . . Get ready for the winter cancels and massive disappointment when the next run shows only HALF the snowfall lol. 1 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Starts to snow Saturday Morning and is almost non stop through 18z Tuesday. 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 The most encouraging message is the GFS has been bringing back the trough/cold shot later next week. That sets the stage for everything else, it seems like as goes that trigger, goes the whole row of dominoes. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Christ... this run is freaking insane. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 15 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Sooo... regionwide event anyone? Shift that north about 10-15 miles as well Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: Shift that north about 10-15 miles as well I’m ok with this. I would still have over a foot 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Here is the full run 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Ensembles already showing an inch avg here before 200 hrs now. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Amazingly the Baja ridge still keeps getting pumped up over us and keeps all of the action to the north of us. Keeps kicking the can down the road. Looks like we might get a warm rain storm at the very end of the run. A snowless Jan is looking more and more likely. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 CFS brings even more arctic cold early February. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 GEFS is quite similar to last run, if not a tiny bit less amplified due to random noise. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 One year ago today . . . 4 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Justin is awfully quiet all of a sudden... 1 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Nvm winter is cancelled Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 GFSv16 abandons reality and assaults the high Arctic with a godzilla 580dm block north of Barrow. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Almost 2” on the GEFS before 240. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Sends a full-on TPV lobe into the PNW with no bars held. Highs in the teens down through the Willamette valley. Sub-504 1000-500mb thickness in BLI. 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: What does this mean for the lower 48? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 8 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: One year ago today . . . My records indicate we had about 10" with that event over 3 days, but I have absolutely no memory of it (I do remember the model bust part of it.). 2020 erased that memory I guess. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 51/39 today. 3rd consecutive 50+ day and 6th this month. Hoping for a bigtime reversal of this later this month. Maybe our first sub freezing high temps since February 2019...and some nighttime lows in the teens with some snow. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Block reconfiguration showing up nicely on the GEFS. If I had a gun to my head, I'd say that this would be our best bet at something memorable, after the first block scours out the recycled Pacific air and sets up SW Canada nicely with a cold pool. 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Sends a full-on TPV lobe into the PNW with no bars held. Highs in the teens down through the Willamette valley. Sub-504 1000-500mb thickness in BLI. Lay it on me mama nature. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 15 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: GEFS is quite similar to last run, if not a tiny bit less amplified due to random noise. Long live the operationals!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 21 minutes ago, Christensen87 said: CFS brings even more arctic cold early February. Here is the average of the last 48 runs. Reminds me of the weeklies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 The next time the hour 384 snowfall map is even remotely accurate will be during the late Spring when it shows no snow anywhere. Other than that, they aren't worth much, but here it is. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: The next time the hour 384 snowfall map is even remotely accurate will be during the late Spring when it shows no snow anywhere. Other than that, they aren't worth much, but here it is. Ensembles are painting some hope that this pans out regionally. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Ensembles are painting some hope that this pans out regionally. I think so too. And a region wide event might even have more snow in a lot of areas then what that shows. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 28 minutes ago, MossMan said: Justin is awfully quiet all of a sudden... Oh no! I'm not allowed to work!!!! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Oh no! I'm not allowed to work!!!! NO!!! Not when the 18z comes out!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 14 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: The next time the hour 384 snowfall map is even remotely accurate will be during the late Spring when it shows no snow anywhere. Other than that, they aren't worth much, but here it is. To be fair, it shows like a foot in Seattle inside hour 282. Still not particularly meaningful considering the 12z showed less than an inch, but it's definitely not just fantasy range stuff at this point. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Amazing 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 NWS Seattle is not onboard. 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: NWS Seattle is not onboard. They weren’t on board the other night either lol then it got really windy 2 1 2 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: NWS Seattle is not onboard. Good. Hopefully they won't be until there's an inch or more on the ground regionally. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: NO!!! Not when the 18z comes out!! I find it's a pretty good run to sleep/work through. I prefer the 12z and 00z! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 The druncle had some Grey Goose. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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