SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Amazing FRAME IT 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 7 minutes ago, MossMan said: NWS Seattle is not onboard. Another good sign. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 And this is the mean... Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, MossMan said: NWS Seattle is not onboard. Their forecast only goes through next Thursday and they really didn't comment on anything after day 7 in the AFD. Any chance for snow isn't till after that. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, bainbridgekid said: Their forecast only goes through next Thursday and they really didn't comment on anything after day 7 in the AFD. Any chance for snow isn't till after that. It's always interesting to see whether KEZI or KVAL pulls the snow and/or cold trigger first. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 This is just absolutely insane. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 minute ago, iFred said: Pretty sure the local NWS wasn't even buying Feb 2019 until a week of good long range runs. I might have my memory wrong. Anyway, bought a bunch or rock and lawn soil that I wanted to get delivered the last weekend of Jan, so kind of maybe sorta of hoping this doesn't play out. I really have bought into the "Winter Canceled" lifestyle and it would be my luck that something like this happens. You should buy some Palm trees too. And lots of cherries and daffodils. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 14 minutes ago, MossMan said: NWS Seattle is not onboard. They only forecast out for 7 days. Most of the good stuff is after that. 18Z GFS doesn't really show any snow in the next 7 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 18 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: To be fair, it shows like a foot in Seattle inside hour 282. Still not particularly meaningful considering the 12z showed less than an inch, but it's definitely not just fantasy range stuff at this point. Of course, snowfall output is always fantasy beyond a few days. But I know what you mean. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 19 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: To be fair, it shows like a foot in Seattle inside hour 282. Still not particularly meaningful considering the 12z showed less than an inch, but it's definitely not just fantasy range stuff at this point. Which just shows how much a small change in overall dynamics this far out can have a profound impact! Or not. I dunno! I’m just an IT guy 2 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 18z ensemble mean is definitely a step back from the 12z with the long range pattern, though probably not all that meaningful at this point. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 The only question now is.....when does the rug get pulled? Tonight? Tomorrow? This weekend? It won't get me this time. I am prepared! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: 18z ensemble mean is definitely a step back from the 12z with the long range pattern, though probably not all that meaningful at this point. Yea it is but I would take some major snowstorm over the longer term period Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, iFred said: Rule of thumb says probably two more times. We probably see one more "SnOMG" run before something that looks closer to reality comes together. We probably also have everything melt away, maybe with either the UK or the ICON hanging around, only for everything to come back a week out. I’m not sure I’m ready for this, emotionally, given everything 2020 put us through. 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, iFred said: Rule of thumb says probably two more times. We probably see one more "SnOMG" run before something that looks closer to reality comes together. We probably also have everything melt away, maybe with either the UK or the ICON hanging around, only for everything to come back a week out. Yeah we’ve gotta remember we were real close with bigtime snow maps just last January and many south of Everett didn’t get much. Then there’s February 2019 where it worked out pretty good for most of us and it had lots of good deep snow maps. It’s hard for me to imagine us getting February 2019 totals twice in a 3 year span. Really no way of knowing this point wether it’ll play out good for just an average couple inch snow event for most...a much bigger event...or the lowlands below a 1000’ getting skunked altogether. Signs are really good at this point but things can change. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Full run 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 I’m excited for the ensembles on this run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 22 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: This is just absolutely insane. Finally we can make scuba snowman in the Ocean! Keep those maps blue and pink! Enjoyed a nice day golfing in PDX. Car thermometer read 61 at one point.....Yikes! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Full run It's so hard not to get sucked in to these pretty maps. Have to remind myself that they usually don't actually happen, but there is the chance! I told my niece who loves snow so I probably jinxed it. Of course I've been telling my coworkers also. Even wrote snow for the 28th on our work calendar a few days ago as a bold prediction. Might be a few days late on that.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Redding will probably get clobbered. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Beautiful sunset. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, Fircrest said: It's so hard not to get sucked in to these pretty maps. Have to remind myself that they usually don't actually happen, but there is the chance! I told my niece who loves snow so I probably jinxed it. Of course I've been telling my coworkers also. Even wrote snow for the 28th on our work calendar a few days ago as a bold prediction. Might be a few days late on I know it's long range and it's the GFS, but what I honestly like is that this is the ensemble average and not the op run. Still a long shot but gives me hope 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Lock it in: 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Beautiful sunset. Best one in a little while. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Lock it in: #3 and #25 are strong independent women who don't need no snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 11 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Lock it in: Can you post KPLU pls? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 20 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Lock it in: Are these kind of maps also on weathermodels or is it a weather bell thing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 13 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Can you post KPLU pls? 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 A new source for weather forecasts. https://www.facebook.com/TheWeatherMessiah 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Are these kind of maps also on weathermodels or is it a weather bell thing? Yes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, iFred said: He came to me in a dream and told me to redirect everyone to his page and shut the forum down. In exchange, not only would I receive his blessing and the protection of Q, but Seattle would see several meters of snow before Easter. Canadian snow! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, wxmet said: Well alrighty then. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 I am definitely not going to hold my breath for anything close to 12 inches but would be happy with even a smaller event with 2-3 inches. North Seattle does 'okay' with fringe events due to being 250-300 feet. Last year was a rather big letdown for areas Seattle and South with the models backing off the snowfall at the last minute if I recall correctly. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 As good as the GFS operational is the parallel run is even better. It shows a major snowstorm followed by 507 thicknesses over SEA. In fact the parallel has had several runs showing major snowfall now, but this is the coldest run I've seen so far. Speaking of cold....the last two ensemble means have shown 850s dropping to -7.5, and the 18z had both the operational and control drop below -10. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 I see the snow icon on the Weather app for next Friday. itshappening.gif 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, snow_wizard said: As good as the GFS operational is the parallel run is even better. It shows a major snowstorm followed by 507 thicknesses over SEA. In fact the parallel has had several runs showing major snowfall now, but this is the coldest run I've seen so far. Speaking of cold....the last two ensemble means have shown 850s dropping to -7.5, and the 18z had both the operational and control drop below -10. Yeah, I don't ever recall seeing forcasted temps this low... Sign me up! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, Kolk1604 said: Yeah, I don't ever recall seeing forcasted temps this low... Sign me up! It helps because of snow cover. If there isn’t a snowstorm, it will be warmer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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