Kolk1604 Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 6z already out? Is it in range of the ridge merger? I'm not sure what time, but i'm thinking it runs at 3 or 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 I'm falling asleep and I've got an early morning. Gotta hit the hay. Hopefully some pepto on the models on the morning runs. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 That is some incredibly cold air in BC. Too bad it won't get down here, though. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: I'm not sure what time, but i'm thinking it runs at 3 or 4 Yeah probably every 6 hours I assume, so 2:45 AM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: That is some incredibly cold air in BC. Too bad it won't get down here, though. Imagine if that low were 250 miles further south.... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 So Close! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 6z GEFS Day 5 (Past 4 runs) also noting some improvements. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: So close! IF the ridge Day 3.5 to 5 trends stronger just a few more runs we're going to see a major blast. We might, not we're going to. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: We might, not we're going to. Yeah we would. The PV lobe would move right over Omak(roughly). Yeah it's purely hypothetical, for now. Not that I expect this to occur. Ya never know of course. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Heights a bit lower this run 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Ensembles also a step closer to being really good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Day 10. Much like the Op, impressive block just slide that further east. Maybe future runs will show that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 I'm quite encouraged given the improving EPS, 6z GFS Op/GEFS. I get the sense that we're just a step or two closer to moving towards a colder solution, but maybe not. When isn't it like this. Tons of uncertainty. Always. Well except for 2008 with the unbelievable model consistency 8 days out. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 An improvement 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 I’m assuming it’s the warmest January ever at pdx to this point? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: I’m assuming it’s the warmest January ever at pdx to this point? So far it's the 2nd warmest at 47.3. January 1-16, 1994 was a bit warmer at 47.9. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 15 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: I’m assuming it’s the warmest January ever at pdx to this point? We shall apply yin and yang rule to this and now expect cold! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 I feel we’re finally closing in on the carrot and this next weekend will be the beginning of good things. 44* 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Neighbor wants to know where the snow is! 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 0.12” of rain overnight. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 .10” so far on the day. 5 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 22 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: So far it's the 2nd warmest at 47.3. January 1-16, 1994 was a bit warmer at 47.9. Wow. Surprising. Thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 12z coming in cooler with the late week trough. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Best run in awhile for the near term. But by Sunday it isn’t quite as good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 That is some cold onshore flow. Nice to see the trend going away from the cutoff low in the pacific. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Trough axis is much better, not digging offshore, but there is much less amplification into alaska Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Andrew gets nailed on this run. Even some wet snow down to lower levels. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Andrew gets nailed on this run. Even some wet snow down to lower levels. It's very close to the valley floor next Sunday night/Mon morning. Probably depends on how hungry the coast range is. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Great mountain snow patter by day 9 snow levels 1000-1500 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Still nothing to get excited about, unless you live above 1000' or love cold rain showers. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, umadbro said: Still nothing to get excited about, unless you live above 1000' or love cold rain showers. We aren’t far off though and still a week out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Anafront February 12th. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Anafront February 12th. Maybe a little fun before then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Pretty big ice hurricane in the goa in the LR. And it pulls some -40c 850 temps to southern alaska Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Ensemble so far Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 hour ago, MossMan said: .10” so far on the day. Oh yes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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