Cloud Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 hour ago, MossMan said: .10” so far on the day. Glad to see that one member that been wanting to go north kept in check. Go south m’fer! Go south! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 38 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Anafront February 12th. Whatever method nature wants to deliver snow I’ll take it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Ensemble still looking good. 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 13 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Ensemble still looking good. All the snow shadow areas have been painted with blue therefore I approve this solution 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Anafront February 12th. 1990! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 We have a monster east wind event coming up Monday night. These are always scary as the trees aren't as strong for east winds. We had a bunch of trees crush houses during the last two big events. Winds: Peak winds are expected Monday evening through Tuesday morning coinciding with a 300 mb jet maximum of 155+kts centered over the Tahoe Basin. With the upper-level support and 700 mb high-res wind guidance (GFS, ECMWF, & NAM) showing widespread 50-75 kts from Lassen down to northern Mono County, strong and potentially damaging northeast winds are highly likely along the Sierra during this time. As mentioned in previous discussions, the looks of this event remains between the February 2020 (southern Tahoe Basin damage) and December 2011 (Devils Postpile blowdown) 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: All the snow shadow areas have been painted with blue therefore I approve this solution 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Now thru hr 330 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 13 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: We have a monster east wind event coming up Monday night. These are always scary as the trees aren't as strong for east winds. We had a bunch of trees crush houses during the last two big events. Winds: Peak winds are expected Monday evening through Tuesday morning coinciding with a 300 mb jet maximum of 155+kts centered over the Tahoe Basin. With the upper-level support and 700 mb high-res wind guidance (GFS, ECMWF, & NAM) showing widespread 50-75 kts from Lassen down to northern Mono County, strong and potentially damaging northeast winds are highly likely along the Sierra during this time. As mentioned in previous discussions, the looks of this event remains between the February 2020 (southern Tahoe Basin damage) and December 2011 (Devils Postpile blowdown) Stay safe! Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 41 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Ensemble still looking good. This map shows cai getting 0.2 inches of snow up and down the state interesting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Imagine if Grants Pass actually got 3 feet, lmao Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 12Z ECMWF is basically dry for the next week... that is going to be a nice change of pace. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 44 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: We have a monster east wind event coming up Monday night. These are always scary as the trees aren't as strong for east winds. We had a bunch of trees crush houses during the last two big events. Winds: Peak winds are expected Monday evening through Tuesday morning coinciding with a 300 mb jet maximum of 155+kts centered over the Tahoe Basin. With the upper-level support and 700 mb high-res wind guidance (GFS, ECMWF, & NAM) showing widespread 50-75 kts from Lassen down to northern Mono County, strong and potentially damaging northeast winds are highly likely along the Sierra during this time. As mentioned in previous discussions, the looks of this event remains between the February 2020 (southern Tahoe Basin damage) and December 2011 (Devils Postpile blowdown) It appears you will no longer be snowless soon. Looking forward to seeing some shots of snow to your roofline. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 15 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Imagine if Grants Pass actually got 3 feet, lmao With a couple of inches around here is a snowmageddon I can't imagine 3 feet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Gotta like the trend. I am nowhere near being sold tho 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 After all the noise and fury, perhaps we are headed to a fairly traditional late winter nina look. 6 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Better than yesterday’s 12z. Baby steps. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Euro and gfs look nearly identical at day 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Definitely a bit snowier for the lowlands... Unfortunately... most of that is 35-40 degree snow and temps are around 40 on the morning of day 10. Going to need an eastward shift... too much onshore flow in the 7-10 day period on this run. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Wow, the 12Z GFS sure gets ugly in the clown range. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Unfortunately... most of that is 35-40 degree snow and temps are around 40 on the morning of day 10. Going to need an eastward shift... too much onshore flow in the 7-10 day period on this run. Looking good. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Acer said: Wow, the 12Z GFS sure gets ugly in the clown range. Plenty of time to turn it around! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Fogged in at the moment in Des Moines Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 I want the PUD’s set up in my house to track the weather! Wonder if Jim’s living room looks like this... 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 12Z EPS indicates it gets warmer after day 10 with retrogression continuing. Day 10 on top and then day 12 on the bottom... waiting to see if that reverses after day 12. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 I was having dinner out last night and heard the couple at the table across from us say ‘it supposed to snow next week.’ Welp, cats out of the bag now 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS indicates it gets warmer after day 10 with retrogression continuing. Day 10 on top and then day 12 on the bottom... waiting to see if that reverses after day 12. Looks like it retreats but then begins to build again in Northern BC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS indicates it gets warmer after day 10 with retrogression continuing. Day 10 on top and then day 12 on the bottom... waiting to see if that reverses after day 12. Just temporary. First few days of February the hammer drops and good are delivered to the populous. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just temporary. First few days of February the hammer drops and good are delivered to the populous. Biden stimulus??? 1 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just temporary. First few days of February the hammer drops and good are delivered to the populous. Unfortunately it has not moved any closer on February 1st... which is day 15 now. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 Full 12Z EPS run... 850mb temp anomalies. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Full 12Z EPS run... 850mb temp anomalies. Not bad, should hopefully trend better in the coming days. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 12Z EPS... 500mb level. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 hours ago, AlTahoe said: We have a monster east wind event coming up Monday night. These are always scary as the trees aren't as strong for east winds. We had a bunch of trees crush houses during the last two big events. Winds: Peak winds are expected Monday evening through Tuesday morning coinciding with a 300 mb jet maximum of 155+kts centered over the Tahoe Basin. With the upper-level support and 700 mb high-res wind guidance (GFS, ECMWF, & NAM) showing widespread 50-75 kts from Lassen down to northern Mono County, strong and potentially damaging northeast winds are highly likely along the Sierra during this time. As mentioned in previous discussions, the looks of this event remains between the February 2020 (southern Tahoe Basin damage) and December 2011 (Devils Postpile blowdown) That looks rough buddy. Same reason I fear the next big hurricane that tracks under us. Rarely see SE winds here so trees aren’t acclimated. Power grid is going to be completely and utterly demolished when it inevitably happens. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 The word is out!!! https://www.oregonlive.com/weather/2021/01/snow-in-portland-next-week-its-possible-but-far-from-certain.html 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: The word is out!!! https://www.oregonlive.com/weather/2021/01/snow-in-portland-next-week-its-possible-but-far-from-certain.html Don't like that "far from certain" qualifier in the headline. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: The word is out!!! https://www.oregonlive.com/weather/2021/01/snow-in-portland-next-week-its-possible-but-far-from-certain.html 900, 1400, 2200ft. They have very precise snow level forecasts for 5 days away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 With somewhere around 20 microclimates in the Porltand area, I think we should have a forecast for each one. I really want to know about the guy that's at 850 feet and whether he'll get snow or not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS... 500mb level. Regardless what happens, that pattern will produce tons of mountain and foothill snow, and all of central and eastern OR/WA should score too!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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