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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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Ensemble still looking good.

1611856800-ghJyWK5PWSI.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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We have a monster east wind event coming up Monday night. These are always scary as the trees aren't as strong for east winds. We had a bunch of trees crush houses during the last two big events. 

 

Winds: Peak winds are expected Monday evening through Tuesday 
  morning coinciding with a 300 mb jet maximum of 155+kts centered 
  over the Tahoe Basin. With the upper-level support and 700 mb 
  high-res wind guidance (GFS, ECMWF, & NAM) showing widespread 
  50-75 kts from Lassen down to northern Mono County, strong and 
  potentially damaging northeast winds are highly likely along the 
  Sierra during this time. As mentioned in previous discussions, 
  the looks of this event remains between the February 2020 (southern 
  Tahoe Basin damage) and December 2011 (Devils Postpile blowdown)  
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  • Windy 3
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Now thru hr 330

1612072800-3JWyLb8fvAk.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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13 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

We have a monster east wind event coming up Monday night. These are always scary as the trees aren't as strong for east winds. We had a bunch of trees crush houses during the last two big events. 

 


Winds: Peak winds are expected Monday evening through Tuesday 
  morning coinciding with a 300 mb jet maximum of 155+kts centered 
  over the Tahoe Basin. With the upper-level support and 700 mb 
  high-res wind guidance (GFS, ECMWF, & NAM) showing widespread 
  50-75 kts from Lassen down to northern Mono County, strong and 
  potentially damaging northeast winds are highly likely along the 
  Sierra during this time. As mentioned in previous discussions, 
  the looks of this event remains between the February 2020 (southern 
  Tahoe Basin damage) and December 2011 (Devils Postpile blowdown)  

Stay safe!

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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44 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

We have a monster east wind event coming up Monday night. These are always scary as the trees aren't as strong for east winds. We had a bunch of trees crush houses during the last two big events. 

 


Winds: Peak winds are expected Monday evening through Tuesday 
  morning coinciding with a 300 mb jet maximum of 155+kts centered 
  over the Tahoe Basin. With the upper-level support and 700 mb 
  high-res wind guidance (GFS, ECMWF, & NAM) showing widespread 
  50-75 kts from Lassen down to northern Mono County, strong and 
  potentially damaging northeast winds are highly likely along the 
  Sierra during this time. As mentioned in previous discussions, 
  the looks of this event remains between the February 2020 (southern 
  Tahoe Basin damage) and December 2011 (Devils Postpile blowdown)  

It appears you will no longer be snowless soon. Looking forward to seeing some shots of snow to your roofline. :)

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5 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Definitely a bit snowier for the lowlands...

image.thumb.png.2d69039320cc59eb57f7918dca0bb5df.png

Unfortunately... most of that is 35-40 degree snow and temps are around 40 on the morning of day 10.    Going to need an eastward shift... too much onshore flow in the 7-10 day period on this run. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Unfortunately... most of that is 35-40 degree snow and temps are around 40 on the morning of day 10.    Going to need an eastward shift... too much onshore flow in the 7-10 day period on this run. 

Looking good. 

  • Rain 1
  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, Acer said:

Wow, the 12Z GFS sure gets ugly in the clown range.  

Plenty of time to turn it around! 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12Z EPS indicates it gets warmer after day 10 with retrogression continuing.    

Day 10 on top and then day 12 on the bottom... waiting to see if that reverses after day 12. 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1748800.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1921600.png

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  • Weenie 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I was having dinner out last night and heard the couple at the table across from us say ‘it supposed to snow next week.’

Welp, cats out of the bag now

7A0E67F2-E23E-4A1D-8413-AB0AA2E5DE3D.png

  • lol 1
  • scream 1

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS indicates it gets warmer after day 10 with retrogression continuing.    

Day 10 on top and then day 12 on the bottom... waiting to see if that reverses after day 12. 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1748800.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1921600.png

Looks like it retreats but then begins to build again in Northern BC

195572.png?1673757432

 

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS indicates it gets warmer after day 10 with retrogression continuing.    

Day 10 on top and then day 12 on the bottom... waiting to see if that reverses after day 12. 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1748800.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1921600.png

Just temporary. First few days of February the hammer drops and good are delivered to the populous. 

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  • scream 1
  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just temporary. First few days of February the hammer drops and good are delivered to the populous. 

Unfortunately it has not moved any closer on February 1st... which is day 15 now.

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-2180800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Full 12Z EPS run... 850mb temp anomalies.

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1610884800-1610884800-1612180800-20.gif

Not bad, should hopefully trend better in the coming days. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 hours ago, AlTahoe said:

We have a monster east wind event coming up Monday night. These are always scary as the trees aren't as strong for east winds. We had a bunch of trees crush houses during the last two big events. 

 



Winds: Peak winds are expected Monday evening through Tuesday 
  morning coinciding with a 300 mb jet maximum of 155+kts centered 
  over the Tahoe Basin. With the upper-level support and 700 mb 
  high-res wind guidance (GFS, ECMWF, & NAM) showing widespread 
  50-75 kts from Lassen down to northern Mono County, strong and 
  potentially damaging northeast winds are highly likely along the 
  Sierra during this time. As mentioned in previous discussions, 
  the looks of this event remains between the February 2020 (southern 
  Tahoe Basin damage) and December 2011 (Devils Postpile blowdown)  

That looks rough buddy. Same reason I fear the next big hurricane that tracks under us. Rarely see SE winds here so trees aren’t acclimated. Power grid is going to be completely and utterly demolished when it inevitably happens.

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Don't like that "far from certain" qualifier in the headline.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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