Jump to content

January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

This run is close. We have a nice sharp trough but it's a hair too far west and moderates too much. Then we get cold air close by but nothing to drive it south and so it spills over the Rockies. Precipitation chances are there too. 

It was pretty close to the 18z actually. Just some minor differences to make it not as snowy. Still ends up alright in the snow map department for Western WA, but some of this falls with very questionable temperatures.

Anyways, I feel like we have some pieces back on the board but they aren't fitting just right yet. See how that develops over the course of this week.

1611738000-6U5A6STsT2U.png

This snow map seems to be so much higher than the other one posted through 240 hours.   These GFS snow maps are pretty comical.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This run shows quite a bit of snow up here next week. Still a long ways off though. 

  • Snow 1
  • Rain 1
  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

This run is close. We have a nice sharp trough but it's a hair too far west and moderates too much. Then we get cold air close by but nothing to drive it south and so it spills over the Rockies. Precipitation chances are there too. 

It was pretty close to the 18z actually. Just some minor differences to make it not as snowy. Still ends up alright in the snow map department for Western WA, but some of this falls with very questionable temperatures.

Anyways, I feel like we have some pieces back on the board but they aren't fitting just right yet. See how that develops over the course of this week.

1611738000-6U5A6STsT2U.png

I’m still in the purple! 

  • Snow 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Timmy said:

I’m back on the Canadian train

B821C814-8627-4FF6-B4A5-7617242451C6.png

Solid overrunning event next Sunday on the GEM. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Seriously? If this pattern plays out you are going to see snow and perhaps a significant amount. You should be overjoyed.

Yeah... the GFS snow maps are inconsistent.    The WB version always seems to look overstated.    Compare it to the high resolution GFS snowfall map that was posted from Pivotal.

And I am not sold on getting lots of snow here yet.   The ECMWF showed a couple inches and then the pattern starts warming after day 10 per the EPS.   The pattern just does not look like a big snow maker here to me.    Could change.   

  • Weenie 3

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Here is what I mean Rob... this for the same period and the Pivotal map looks more realistic to me.

 

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-1792000.png

snodpc_acc.us_nw.png

I’m in the dark blue! 

  • Like 1
  • scream 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Are you that far east?

Not the purple within the white but the narrow ribbon of purplish blue between the dark blue and the hot pink.  At any rate, I’m kicking myself for not letting my wife buy me that shovel.😡

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Climate change is a constant.  It has never ceased to change since the planet formed.  The whole man is causing it theme is highly flawed.  Very high chance the planet would be warming right now even if man wasn't here.  I'll be very interested to see if the solar grand minimum reverses the trend though.  There is probably a lag effect with this stuff.

We are causing climate change. Question is how much? We don’t have the answer to that.

With each new study that increases the degree of Holocene climate variability, the more likely it is climate sensitivity is state dependent. We’re probably responsible for 30-50% of the post WW-II warming, is my guesstimate.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tim is NOT on board!

  • Popcorn 2
  • Sad 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

GEFS Past 4 runs just before Day 5 shows the ridge trending stronger and also ridge bridge.

trend-gefs-2021011800-f114.500h_anom.na.gif

Its stuck at 117 hours on WB.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Tim is NOT on board!

It depends on what we are talking about.   I am not too excited if it ends up snowing here and nowhere else.   Its way more fun when everyone is on the action.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 7

500h_anom.na.png

Satisfying to watch Baffin Island roast after 5+ years in the freezer. They have more kold karma to pay off than the rest of the northern hemisphere combined.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It depends on what we are talking about.   I am not too excited if it ends up snowing here and nowhere else.   Its way more fun when everyone is on the action.

I would prefer that too, but it is probably not happening.

  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Phil said:

He’s referring to the surface stations that measure said warming. Which is what your linked article is referring to.

And, for the sake of accuracy, the earth has been cooling since July, as it does every year. 😉 It’s also been cooling for the last 6,500 years. And the last 5+ million years. And the last billion years. Lol. Depends on which timescale you choose! 

Not south of the equator!

  • lol 2
It's called clown range for a reason.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well hopefully things change and we can get snow down in the lowlands. Should be good enough for snow up at orcas island up at the higher elevations so I’m happy about that. 

  • Like 1

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Well hopefully things change and we can get snow down in the lowlands. Should be good enough for snow up at orcas island up at the higher elevations so I’m happy about that. 

I'm hoping for an arctic outbreak... it seems to be quite allergic to crossing the border and spill into W. WA. 

  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Tim steals candies from little kids at the mall. ;)

He’s been stealing Arctic blasts from online weather weenies since the early 2000’s! 

  • lol 1
  • Popcorn 2

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 373

      March 2024 Observations and Discussion

    2. 0

      March 31st - April 2nd Potent Plains Storm

    3. 373

      March 2024 Observations and Discussion

    4. 5703

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    5. 5703

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

×
×
  • Create New...