SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 This run turns awfully wet. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Boooo.... halp! my weather app has trended warmer and have taken away any prospect of any below 30 nights! And the snowflakes are gonzo! Booo! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 The Tuesday low could be insanely snowy for someone if it trends a bit more to the east. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: Boooo.... halp! my weather app has trended warmer and have taken away any prospect of any below 30 nights! And the snowflakes are gonzo! Booo! And it will return if models change again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 My area get's buried with these patterns that is shown on 12z. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Fred should release the Western Weather App. You can customize to get different forecasts. Tailored to your individual preferences. 1 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Fred should release the Western Weather App. You can customize to get different forecasts. Tailored to your individual preferences. I love that idea...fake weather! Not just fake cold.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Fred should release the Western Weather App. You can customize to get different forecasts. Tailored to your individual preferences. We could just call it 'Wishcast' 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Fred should release the Western Weather App. You can customize to get different forecasts. Tailored to your individual preferences. Rumors has it Tim has a weather making machine. Someone confirm plz? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Frosty with a low of 29 here. Nice to see winter start to make a return. Coldest temp of the year so far, and since 12/29. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Man, that crazy cold air is SO CLOSE at the end of the 12z. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Hit 37 this morning. Still only at 6 freezes on the year and haven’t dipped below 30 yet. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Feels like we are getting closer to winter! A little bite in the air today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Eurasia is still getting hammered. Temperatures dropped to -60°C in parts of Russia a couple days ago. Putin needs to share the wealth. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Feels like we are getting closer to winter! A little bite in the air today. Ikr. Not like it’s late January right now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 A couple of minor tweaks and many westside lowland locations would be buried. It is pretty disappointing that a substantial cold continental airmass won't be in place in the Columbia basin. We'd certainly be in business in the Valley if that was the case. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, Phil said: Eurasia is still getting hammered. Temperatures dropped to -60°C in parts of Russia a couple days ago. Putin needs to share the wealth. It all flips around one day. Just like we finally got hammered with a massive 72 hr event 2 winters ago the likes of which hadn't been seen in decades. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 February 1899 redux?! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 We might be able to eke out a little snow in Tacoma with this pattern next week if we can thread the needle. Hopefully we can get a little something atleast here at 300’. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Legit cold loading W/SW Canada on the clown range GFS and a few ensemble clusters across guidance. Down to -40°C @ 850mb on the 12z GFS in interior BC with another TPV building over the Canadian Archipelago (risky location but should be ok given post-SSW boundary conditions within NAM domain). It’s all candy for now, but with tropical forcing becoming more favorable for western US with time, and continued disruptions to the already weak/disheveled PV, the odds of an arctic intrusion are significantly higher than climo going forward (and increasingly so with respect to time). Anyone cancelling winter doesn’t have a clue. 5 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Here you go PDX!!! Your turn!!! 3 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Warshington 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 38F and mostly sunny. Very nice, chilly morning. A breath of fresh air. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 The Euro system reminds me a little of 12-30-03. Deceptively chilly clipper with pretty dead gradients and good timing. Big differences compared to the GFS which has solid southerly gradients. 4 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 EURO showing about 6" up here with the Sunday system. I doubt that, but 2-4" seems possible. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Fog gone and now we have beautiful blue sky! 36 degrees but feeling like 32. Probably today we will end up with 50 degrees. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 From the PDX NWS AFD: A series of shortwave may continue the chance for precipitation with 1000 to 2000 feet snow levels through Monday. For what it is worth, the NBM is forecasting a 90 to 100 percent chance of snow for the Willamette Valley from Portland to Eugene with a range of 0.5 to 1.5 inch of total snow. There is much greater confidence that the Cascades, Cascade foothills, and coast range will have snow accumulations with this event. Forecast confidence for this day 5-7 forecast period has improved from 24 hours ago, but is still low. ~TJ I've never heard of the NBM before. Apparently, it's the National Blend of Models. Is there a site with a graphic for this somewhere? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 15 minutes ago, Phil said: Legit cold loading W/SW Canada on the clown range GFS and a few ensemble clusters across guidance. Down to -40°C @ 850mb on the 12z GFS in interior BC with another TPV building over the Canadian Archipelago (risky location but should be ok given post-SSW boundary conditions within NAM domain). It’s all candy for now, but with tropical forcing becoming more favorable for western US with time, and continued disruptions to the already weak/disheveled PV, the odds of an arctic intrusion are significantly higher than climo going forward (and increasingly so with respect to time). Anyone cancelling winter doesn’t have a clue. Winter 2021-2022? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 38F and mostly sunny. Very nice, chilly morning. A breath of fresh air. The last 16 days here have been above average so waking up this morning to 21F with a 40mph wind was a huge shock. I almost forgot that it was still winter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 minute ago, dolt said: From the PDX NWS AFD: A series of shortwave may continue the chance for precipitation with 1000 to 2000 feet snow levels through Monday. For what it is worth, the NBM is forecasting a 90 to 100 percent chance of snow for the Willamette Valley from Portland to Eugene with a range of 0.5 to 1.5 inch of total snow. There is much greater confidence that the Cascades, Cascade foothills, and coast range will have snow accumulations with this event. Forecast confidence for this day 5-7 forecast period has improved from 24 hours ago, but is still low. ~TJ I've never heard of the NBM before. Apparently, it's the National Blend of Models. Is there a site with a graphic for this somewhere? Interesting that the NWS Reno started mentioning the NBM yesterday for the first time as well. Maybe it is a new push from the NWS? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, Deweydog said: The Euro system reminds me a little of 12-30-03. Deceptively chilly clipper with pretty dead gradients and good timing. Big differences compared to the GFS which has solid southerly gradients. Euro is on its own for now. Not really buying it, unless we see a more solid easterly push beforehand. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, dolt said: From the PDX NWS AFD: A series of shortwave may continue the chance for precipitation with 1000 to 2000 feet snow levels through Monday. For what it is worth, the NBM is forecasting a 90 to 100 percent chance of snow for the Willamette Valley from Portland to Eugene with a range of 0.5 to 1.5 inch of total snow. There is much greater confidence that the Cascades, Cascade foothills, and coast range will have snow accumulations with this event. Forecast confidence for this day 5-7 forecast period has improved from 24 hours ago, but is still low. ~TJ I've never heard of the NBM before. Apparently, it's the National Blend of Models. Is there a site with a graphic for this somewhere? First time I heard of it was last year during a snow event up here. It seems to be the go to model for the NWS. I could probably do a search on it but the NWS Seattle shared a map last year on Twitter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 This is what the Medford NWS mention. Just the possibility of snow for low elevation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Euro is on its own for now. Not really buying it, unless we see a more solid easterly push beforehand. Yeah it’s hard to imagine not getting above 40 on Sunday and then having enough dynamic cooling. 2003 had a lot of help with the quick inversion which kept temps that day right around freezing for highs. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 8 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Euro is on its own for now. Not really buying it, unless we see a more solid easterly push beforehand. The Euro was also on its own for the last wind event here as well... well before the others caught on. It may not be a bad thing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 Pretty messy pattern at day 9, but coolish. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Yeah it’s hard to imagine not getting above 40 on Sunday and then having enough dynamic cooling. 2003 had a lot of help with the quick inversion which kept temps that day right around freezing for highs. Saturday looks like mid 40s with light offshore pressure gradients and dewpoints in the high 20s. Not a great preceding airmass, then the precip rolls in the following morning. Not surprisingly a lot of the Euro snow looks like it falls at 34-35F late Sunday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 9 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Euro is on its own for now. Not really buying it, unless we see a more solid easterly push beforehand. The GFS hasn’t even looked close to snow on Sunday. I don’t believe it either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Pretty messy pattern at day 9, but coolish. Troughy-ish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 19, 2021 Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 10 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Euro is on its own for now. Not really buying it, unless we see a more solid easterly push beforehand. Sure, but if any model was going to be 'on it's own', I'm glad it's the Euro. 3 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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