Jesse Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Average temp at PDX today!! 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 39 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Full ensemble run I would not complain if that verified. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 19 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Medford Trying not to get that excited! 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Would anyone mind posting the ensembles for BLI purty please? 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Our extreme east wind event has ended. No damage in my neighborhood but other areas around town had a lot of damage. This is near Yosemite. 1 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, mtep said: Would anyone mind posting the ensembles for BLI purty please? 4 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Can you post KPLU pls? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Can you post KPLU pls? 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I appreciate it! Those colors are really pretty. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Our extreme east wind event has ended. No damage in my neighborhood but other areas around town had a lot of damage. This is near Yosemite. Two squished Chevy’s. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Pretty sunset. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, mtep said: I appreciate it! Those colors are really pretty. Except for those two disgustingly ugly gray stripes, they sure are. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Some flurries looking increasingly likely for moi 1 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Swampset! 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 There is some element of terrain bleeding on the GEFS snowfall totals, but the point remains that there will be be multiple chances for snowfall, even down to sea level. Reminds me of Jan 7th-20th, 1969 and Jan 5th-11th, 1950. Yes, those are some star-studded years that I'm mentioning, but they're mainly remembered for the crazy stuff that came afterwards. I'm specifically referring to those periods where there was bitter onshore flow with multiple convective snows down to sea level and highs in the mid 30's-lower 40's and lows around or below freezing. This period coming up has the chance to be insane for some of the foothills. I hope we get something cool down here at night in the valley, but not holding my breath. Either way, it's a pattern we haven't seen in a while (Early part of the 2008 event if my memory serves me?), and a whole lot better than the constant torching of this winter. And once again, our late Winter/early Spring climate shift to cooler averages is showing itself. It's a really weird trend considering that all our other months have been consistently (and dramatically) warming. I'll take it. Also interesting to note that these periods of onshore convective marginal events are almost always preceded or proceeded by more substantial Arctic air. Not claiming that such a pattern shift will occur, but with the MJO migrating to phase 7 and the Pacific jet being mostly interrupted along with cold air building in western Canada, there is a considerable amount of potential heading into late this month and February for something like that. Again though, not holding my breath. 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 34 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Swampset! My daughter just sent me a shot from down there! Beautiful and the same colors as the ensembles !!!! ️️ 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Jginmartini said: My daughter just sent me a shot from down there! Beautiful and the same colors as the ensembles !!!! ️️ I had the same thought. EnsembleSet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 23 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: There is some element of terrain bleeding on the GEFS snowfall totals, but the point remains that there will be be multiple chances for snowfall, even down to sea level. Reminds me of Jan 7th-20th, 1969 and Jan 5th-11th, 1950. Yes, those are some star-studded years that I'm mentioning, but they're mainly remembered for the crazy stuff that came afterwards. I'm specifically referring to those periods where there was bitter onshore flow with multiple convective snows down to sea level and highs in the mid 30's-lower 40's and lows around or below freezing. This period coming up has the chance to be insane for some of the foothills. I hope we get something cool down here at night in the valley, but not holding my breath. Either way, it's a pattern we haven't seen in a while (Early part of the 2008 event if my memory serves me?), and a whole lot better than the constant torching of this winter. And once again, our late Winter/early Spring climate shift to cooler averages is showing itself. It's a really weird trend considering that all our other months have been consistently (and dramatically) warming. I'll take it. Also interesting to note that these periods of onshore convective marginal events are almost always preceded or proceeded by more substantial Arctic air. Not claiming that such a pattern shift will occur, but with the MJO migrating to phase 7 and the Pacific jet being mostly interrupted along with cold air building in western Canada, there is a considerable amount of potential heading into late this month and February for something like that. Again though, not holding my breath. This has the potential of becoming an old school type pattern! PNA looks to stay negative for a while. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: This has the potential of becoming an old school type pattern! PNA looks to stay negative for a while. Yup 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Give it to me straight. What are the odds (%) the latest trend reverses and we finish the winter with 50 deg rain from here on out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 6 minutes ago, rsktkr said: Give it to me straight. What are the odds (%) the latest trend reverses and we finish the winter with 50 deg rain from here on out? 80% 1 1 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 6 minutes ago, rsktkr said: Give it to me straight. What are the odds (%) the latest trend reverses and we finish the winter with 50 deg rain from here on out? If you held me at gunpoint, I'd say probably something like 23.75026595794618950%, +/-0.0000000000000005%. 1 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 7 minutes ago, rsktkr said: Give it to me straight. What are the odds (%) the latest trend reverses and we finish the winter with 50 deg rain from here on out? 0% 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 00z should be good!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 12 minutes ago, rsktkr said: Give it to me straight. What are the odds (%) the latest trend reverses and we finish the winter with 50 deg rain from here on out? Déjà vu when I read this post! We’re going to get hammered!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Good to see some hyperbole returning to the forum this evening. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: If you held me at gunpoint, I'd say probably something like 23.75026595794618950%, +/-0.0000000000000005%. Luckily your +/- falls into the classrooms average. No need to stay after class to rework the problem Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 The potential for Sunday/Monday & Tuesday/Wednesday next week is off the charts, moreso Tue/Wed. I am getting excited. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Gosh look at the 500mb pattern for March 5th and 6th 1951. Abbotsford BC recorded 63.5cm (25 inches) in 48 hours. Phil, what caused such an intense arctic pattern so late in the year? Its hard enough to get that around here in December and January nowadays let alone March. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 The Tuesday Wednesday system could really deliver for a huge part of the area. 4 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: The potential for Sunday/Monday & Tuesday/Wednesday next week is off the charts, moreso Tue/Wed. I am getting excited. Anything less than January 1950 will be a disappointment. 1 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Anything less than January 1950 will be a disappointment. Then there will be :). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said: Swampset! Looks like HIO hit 28 this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 9 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Gosh look at the 500mb pattern for March 5th and 6th 1951. Abbotsford BC recorded 63.5cm (25 inches) in 48 hours. Phil, what caused such an intense arctic pattern so late in the year? Its hard enough to get that around here in December and January nowadays let alone March. As best as I know this is the deepest trough over the Pac NW in the last 72 years. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 1 minute ago, paulb/eugene said: As best as I know this is the deepest trough over the Pac NW in the last 72 years. Hmmmmmmmm....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 7 minutes ago, Jesse said: Looks like HIO hit 28 this morning. Not bad at all. Glad to see some chilly nights after this long mild/warm stretch. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Hmmmmmmmm....... How about some old Skool literature to explain: https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/2fe6/d510a751b16c2f42da9cdd02de5f9b35ec73.pdf there was lots of blocking going on in the northern hemisphere that month... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 NewoldculverJoshformerlyfromBothell is now onboard! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Mark Nelsen is all out on Sunday and Monday. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, umadbro said: Mark Nelsen is all out on Sunday and Monday. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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