GHweatherChris Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Just now, Acer said: Oh get off your high-horse! It's not gonna happen, look at my profile pic, that is a really high horse and I hate climbing down ladders. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Just now, GHweatherChris said: It's not gonna happen, look at my profile pic, that is a really high horse and I hate climbing down ladders. I hate it when I have to explain my jokes. Your profile pic was why I said that. Haha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Don't like this run? Wait until the next one for something different. Verification scores of all models right around Day 5 has been very poor, so they aren't handling the upper level pattern very well which as we know can lead to rather significant changes from run-to-run. 6z GFS in 2 hours 23 minutes 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Can always depend on a strong downvote from Frosty. I’m quick with it also. Negative attitudes= downvotes. Nothing against u personally Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 8 minutes ago, Acer said: I hate it when I have to explain my jokes. Your profile pic was why I said that. Haha Then you should be really good at identifying sarcastic replies. Haha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I’m quick with it also. Negative attitudes= downvotes. Nothing against u personally I have a positive attitude always, unfortunately the models show zero goodies for me. Hence, next. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 19 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: And.... next. Seems I have been right all along so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Thank you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 00z EPS vs EMCWF thru hour 240 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 11 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: 00z EPS vs EMCWF thru hour 240 Dang on the EPS the PV lobe nearly phases with the BC trough. Op runs aren't even close to doing that. If future runs kick that PV lobe further west we're in for a real nice surprise Saturday night - Wednesday. C'MON!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 2 hours ago, Phil said: Probably a SSW or dynamic final warming to produce a late winter -NAO like that under -ENSO. Thanks Phil. So far this years SSW has not even come close to producing that pattern, and its -ENSO/+QBO. Disappointing. But there is still potential ahead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 12 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Dang on the EPS the PV lobe nearly phases with the BC trough. Op runs aren't even close to doing that. If future runs kick that PV lobe further west we're in for a real nice surprise Saturday night - Wednesday. C'MON!!!! And the full run. I think I like how it ends. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 2 hours ago, Phil said: SSW/wind reversal peaked 3 days ago. Lol. It’s one goofus run. Not the end of the world. Yup, this SSW event was prolonged. So took longer to peak. There is still a solid chance we see an arctic blast in February. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 So...yay or nay? 1 4 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 11 minutes ago, Phil said: So...yay or nay? Zzzzzzz Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 14 minutes ago, Phil said: So...yay or nay? Never gonna happen but would be a great way for conservatives to steal 2 more senators. A lot of states are very divided politically and splitting them up like that would be a pretty terrible idea across the board. 7 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Never gonna happen but would be a great way for conservatives to steal 2 more senators. We could add DC as a state along with it. Lol Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Just now, bainbridgekid said: Never gonna happen but would be a great way for conservatives to steal 2 more senators. Unless they plan on increasing taxes to increase their revenue (or decrease spending), it would be a very bad idea for them to do that. https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/why-are-we-exporting-billions-of-dollars-around-the-state-the-coming-showdown-over-seattles-money/ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 TWL - I see EUG hit freezing before midnight. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 18 minutes ago, Phil said: So...yay or nay? This been going on forever... never gonna happen. Now back to weather in the weather thread. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: TWL - I see EUG hit freezing before midnight. Yup, snuck one in there for our first freeze since Dec 29. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 13 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Never gonna happen but would be a great way for conservatives to steal 2 more senators. A lot of states are very divided politically and splitting them up like that would be a pretty terrible idea across the board. Blame social media, mainstream media, and too many politicians to count. We MUST go back to the basic principles of treating others as you want to be treated, and stop caring about what people believe, or their beliefs. Social media has paved the way to incredible division. If you use social media for shared interests or groups, that's okay, but if you use it to discuss politics, hell no. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Today was just Everett's 5th freeze of the Winter including one in October. First since Christmas Eve. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Chilly night, already down to 30 here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 13 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Really looking like the best we'll get is some occasionally low snow levels, mainly at night/morning, with maybe a slushy inch or two in some spots below 1000-1500'. Maybe more if everything aligns perfectly, which in the PNW is not too common. I'll still take that over what we've had so far this winter though. Something is better than nothing. I'm still holding out hope we can score a more substantial event around the beginning of February once the ridge starts to hopefully move east again, which some ensembles have been hinting at. We shall see. First ten days of February will make or break it! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Early morning tomorrow. No night shift for me tonight. Hope to wake up to something positive on the models. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 1 hour ago, Kolk1604 said: Some horrible runs tonight, for sure. Just awful. 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Through Day 5 the 6z is not our friend. Trough is a bit further offshore as it moved down the SE Alaska, BC Coast. 850s touch milder. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 29. Probably the last sub 30 low until next winter. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 06z at least looked a little more interesting with the low the middle of next week, shows a quick transition event for NW OR and SW WA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 19 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 06z at least looked a little more interesting with the low the middle of next week, shows a quick transition event for NW OR and SW WA. In the blue! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 29 degrees this morning. The trend is not our friend currently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 22 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: 29 degrees this morning. The trend is not our friend currently. For the country at large, it appears the initial SSW is going to have had little impact beyond shaking up the Aleutian Low pattern. But as far as any significant arctic air or PV displacement, there's still nothing in sight. Just another really warm winter... 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 I was told the hammer would drop. Turns out there isn't even a hammer to drop to begin with. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 To those yesterday wondering where the "GFS Hi-res" went on Pivotal, it looks like they just incorporated it into the current GFS maps. It says this in a banner on top of the page: "We now plot GFS data every 3 h out to day 10 worldwide. Hi-res fields are also now used to produce more detailed surface, QPF, and snow plots." Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 I don’t like how quickly we are climbing out of the negative now. Let’s hope that changes. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Pretty sunrise this morning. Low of 28. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2021 Report Share Posted January 20, 2021 Amazing how in once we get within 5 days of an event this winter, it just completely disappears. Between the 18z and 00z the goods disappeared, and they were damaged goods to begin with. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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