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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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29 minutes ago, nwsnow said:

WRF for Sunday. Not seeing how the surface temps can get that low with the light southerly breeze.

kpdx.78.0000.snd.gif

 

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Nice screw zone on the east side of the valley from Eugene up to about Jefferson, and then from Woodburn/Mollala up to the SE part of the metro area. I can see that happening. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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14 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Got to give props to Chris...He has not wavered one bit with his pessimistic outlook for months now and he is going to be correct it’s looking like. Shades of gray do not cut it with me. I’m no longer on board...again. 

Shows others doing well. Didn’t you have a huge January storm last year while the rest of us got shafted? Odds are this will probably shift north and your area will get slammed again this time too, like usual. But for how much you whine and model ride the shades of gray you would think you get less snow than anyone else here. ;)

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1611230400-S95lV7wuUfo.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Shows others doing well. Didn’t you have a huge January storm last year while the rest of us got shafted? Odds are this will probably shift north and your area will get slammed again this time too, like usual. But for how much you whine and model ride the shades of gray you would think you get less snow than anyone else here. ;)

I think he has had as much if not more snow than me the past three winters. In fact, I am pretty sure he has had more snow this winter so far too. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, nwsnow said:

Can you post PDX please?

1611230400-PfrEdNCufA0.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Shows others doing well. Didn’t you have a huge January storm last year while the rest of us got shafted? Odds are this will probably shift north and your area will get slammed again this time too. But for how much you whine and model ride the shades of gray you would think you get less snow than anyone else here.

I’m a snow hog for those that are new to the forum. Would love a regional blast but if that’s not happening then yes I want ALL THE SNOW! SNOWWWWW. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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34 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

At first you said late Jan, then moved your prediction to first week of Feb, and now mid-Feb. The goalposts just keep getting pushed further and further back.

What are you talking about?

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Just now, MWG said:

Can you post Medford also? Thank you!! 

1611230400-S5UOxUVyT3g.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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I just noticed on a FB weather group that a Moses Lake resident posted that their coldest temp so far this season was 17 degrees on October 17th...MID OCTOBER! That is why I hate seeing cold snaps in October, so many times I have seen winters take a dump afterward a big October cold snap. 

19DB02D0-2F39-4DD6-AA2C-ECE6AF2334B9.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I just noticed on a FB weather group that a Moses Lake resident posted that their coldest temp so far this season was 17 degrees on October 17th...MID OCTOBER! That is why I hate seeing cold snaps in October, so many times I have seen winters take a dump afterward a big October cold snap. 

19DB02D0-2F39-4DD6-AA2C-ECE6AF2334B9.jpeg

We should have known. Prolonged cold snaps early in winter are killers sadly. This winter will be no different

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Just now, Omegaraptor said:

About when we're supposed to get a real shot at Arctic air and lowland snow.

What you said was blatantly false, though.

I’ve highlighted the same window of elevated potential, running from mid-Jan to early-Feb, peaking at the turn of the calendar when the TPV/cold pool makes its closest approach.

Not sure what more you want from me.

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

What you said was blatantly false, though.

I’ve highlighted the same window of elevated potential, running from mid-Jan to early-Feb, peaking at the turn of the calendar when the TPV/cold pool makes its closest approach.

Not sure what more you want from me.

Yeah, it got fairly close, but as most of us know, it comes down to the fine details out in this corner of the country, and unfortunately they didn't work out for substantially could air. Still some NNW flow with multiple snowfall chances coming up.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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5 minutes ago, Phil said:

What you said was blatantly false, though.

I’ve highlighted the same window of elevated potential, running from mid-Jan to early-Feb, peaking at the turn of the calendar when the TPV/cold pool makes its closest approach.

Not sure what more you want from me.

I do apologize for my misunderstanding of your previous posts.

Things just aren't looking great at the moment for anything more than a marginal quick hitter, though.

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5 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I do apologize for my misunderstanding of your previous posts.

Things just aren't looking great at the moment for anything more than a marginal quick hitter, though.

Phil did mention an arctic blast at the end of January, likely focused on the West.

Right now that doesn't appear likely, even for the Midwest.

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26 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I just noticed on a FB weather group that a Moses Lake resident posted that their coldest temp so far this season was 17 degrees on October 17th...MID OCTOBER! That is why I hate seeing cold snaps in October, so many times I have seen winters take a dump afterward a big October cold snap. 

 

 

22 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

We should have known. Prolonged cold snaps early in winter are killers sadly. This winter will be no different

Some of our biggest years have had October cold snaps, and some of our biggest duds have too. All things being equal they are a much better sign during -ENSO than +ENSO. And this winter isn't over yet...

EDIT: -ENSO means La nina, Randy. This year is a La nina. That was meant to be a good thing.

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5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Winter is not over yet Moss.

I must be feeding off of Andrew’s waking up  late and on the wrong side of his outdoor bed this morning. That EPS has me concerned though. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Off topic but i have terrible cell service at my home and only dish internet is available. I had 1 bar of 4g and so i did research on signal boosters and purchased one. I now have 4 bars 4g and my download speed went from 10-12 to 40 -45!! pretty amazed it worked. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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16 minutes ago, Phil said:

What you said was blatantly false, though.

I’ve highlighted the same window of elevated potential, running from mid-Jan to early-Feb, peaking at the turn of the calendar when the TPV/cold pool makes its closest approach.

Not sure what more you want from me.

Direct flight to Yreka.

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Just now, Meatyorologist said:

Yeah, it got fairly close, but as most of us know, it comes down to the fine details out in this corner of the country, and unfortunately they didn't work out for substantially could air. Still some NNW flow with multiple snowfall chances coming up.

I’ve made it clear that I’m not a mesoscale guy. I don’t make predictions re: the precise locations of airmass boundaries, convergence zones, mountain waves, etc. I barely have a handle on that stuff in my own region, let alone a region like PNW, which is twice as complicated during the cold season.

Of course I’m a weather weenie at heart, and that’s where my passions truly lie, but my academic interests are focused in the subseasonal to intradecadal range(s). That’s where I’m putting in almost all of my work these days.

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3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Off topic but i have terrible cell service at my home and only dish internet is available. I had 1 bar of 4g and so i did research on signal boosters and purchased one. I now have 4 bars 4g and my download speed went from 10-12 to 40 -45!! pretty amazed it worked. 

I will have to give that a try!! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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24 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Yeah, it got fairly close, but as most of us know, it comes down to the fine details out in this corner of the country, and unfortunately they didn't work out for substantially could air. Still some NNW flow with multiple snowfall chances coming up.

Looks like another SSW next week. Maybe they prolonged SSWs keep delaying the real fun

195572.png?1673757432

 

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11 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I must be feeding off of Andrew’s waking up  late and on the wrong side of his outdoor bed this morning. That EPS has me concerned though. 

Hoping we can make it 5 years in a row with measurable snowfall in the month of February this year. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 hour ago, Jginmartini said:

Still haven’t put on my faucet covers.  This forecast warrants at least finding them and putting them on my workbench to be ready. 

I put them on back in late October... but have taken them off numerous times since then to use the hose during yard work since there has been no snow cover at all this winter.

And I don't think the covers are really needed unless the temp stays below freezing during the day as well.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Off topic but i have terrible cell service at my home and only dish internet is available. I had 1 bar of 4g and so i did research on signal boosters and purchased one. I now have 4 bars 4g and my download speed went from 10-12 to 40 -45!! pretty amazed it worked. 

Which model did you purchase?  I've got the same problem.

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7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Phil did mention an arctic blast at the end of January, likely focused on the West.

Right now that doesn't appear likely, even for the Midwest.

That is true. To clarify, I’m not claiming to be one hundred percent accurate here. That TPV might very well get hung up in Canada. Or it could dive into the Western and/or Central CONUS. It’s a fickle situation where small changes to initial conditions can have significant repercussions.

Which is why I left all of those possibilities open. 😉 The only thing I was/still am confident of is a favorable long wave pattern progression for cold/snow in PNW region.

 

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