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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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Just now, wxmet said:

 

I saw those Euro runs that dumped over a foot in MD and made me miss living there. Now you guys are getting shafted.

Well it’s just 1 run, lol. But certainly a possible outcome.

Verbatim 1st wave is a ZR fest and 2nd wave is a complete whiff. 

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32 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

At least this helps make up for the earlier part of the run, I guess? Kinda sorta.

1612267200-KjuIGtulVZw.png

That map is a total joke.  I had to go back and look at the run to see where all the snow came from and I see a storm producing it with thicknesses over 530 and with 850 temps around -2.  Is that possible?

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1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

Your "let's quit being so reactive to the models" lectures did this.  A voice of reason shall never be allowed on this forum.

It shows lots of snow at your house! 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Cat and mouse game and we’re the mouse :( 

Yea I’m not buying this solution in the mid/long range. Who knows what’ll happen with the stuff next week either at this point. Still plausible we thread the needle and get some snow Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Acer said:

That map is a total joke.  I had to go back and look at the run to see where all the snow came from and I see a storm producing it with thicknesses over 530 and with 850 temps around -2.  Is that possible?

Yes. A Saturated and cool isothermic profile with prolific precip rates will drive down the snow level very effectively. Surface temps are near 33F. Not very much melting, if at all.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Just now, Meatyorologist said:

Yes. A Saturated and cool isothermic profile with prolific precip rates will drive down the snow level very effectively. Surface temps are near 33F. Not very much melting, if at all.

Kind of like last months crazy snow event. Too bad this one probably won’t verify. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_44.png

The snow maps are pretty, but this is not a realistic snow pattern unfortunately. Little cold air in place, low to our NW, and onshore flow. Even if it were exactly right on the pattern, it'd be tough to get snow below 800-1,000 feet IMO.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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Just now, bainbridgekid said:

The snow maps are pretty, but this is not a realistic snow pattern unfortunately. Little cold air in place, low to our NW, and onshore flow. Even if it were exactly right on the pattern, it'd be tough to get snow below 800-1,000 feet IMO.

This would be similar to the storm we had in December. However, this time, we are way colder to start. 

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1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This would be similar to the storm we had in December. However, this time, we are way colder to start. 

It really isn't though. Temps crashed when we switched to Northerly flow after the low slipped to our SE during that storm.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Through Monday AM... About the same as the 18z Euro.

I'm liking the CZ signature the Euro has shown the past few runs. Might be a nice wild card Sunday night.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-1583200.png

A south sound CZ? Interesting

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