MossMan Posted January 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: 35 here dewpoint 32. I still think it will work out for here. 37 now, but DP still at 30. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: nO zOnAl FlOw 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 0z LR is showing some hopes for Feb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Pulled off a 39/21 day here today. Easily the coldest day of the Winter. 3 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, Cloud said: 0z LR is showing some hopes for Feb. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 39 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Up to 33˚F. Starting to get the feeling this may bust here. About half the models are saying cold rain at this point anyhow. I have a feeling it's gonna take a drive to north lake Samish for us to see anything around here. I hope I'm wrong though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 That’s some big league cold in the clown range. We go from this: To this: 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Kold Aire goes EASt. Like "Live", Gas hed goes West? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Seeing how the current pattern pushes the block too far west, we want this to be as close to us as possible in this time frame anyway! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Hour 768!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Hour 768!!!! I'm onboard 1 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Finally out of the 40's it's 38 now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 39 degrees with a dp of 35. I should be waking up to a winter wonderland tomorrow. Talk to you all then! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 38 minutes ago, Phil said: Surface temps don’t dictate p-type y’all. Calculate your wet bulb temp and pull up a sounding. There is a observation 10 miles west of me and 2300ft on the outer edge of the Olympics that I use to get a idea of air mass and it is very accurate. It's 30 degrees there and I've never not had snow here when that observation was 32 or lower. We'll see what happens tonight but I do expect to start at a mix and transition to snow. 4 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Euro time! Who's pumped for a really good run! 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 The GFS and parallel are both gung ho on a major reset of the block in early February. This is undoubtedly in response to the big West Pacific MJO wave. Right now it looks below normal for the entire next two weeks with good prospects for much below normal beginning somewhere in the 10 to 15 day period. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Euro time! Who's pumped for a really good run! I like the way things are trending right now. The GFS is really liking the idea of some pretty legit cold around day 10 in addition to the moderate cold up until then. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The GFS and parallel are both gung ho on a major reset of the block in early February. This is undoubtedly in response to the big West Pacific MJO wave. Right now it looks below normal for the entire next two weeks with good prospects for much below normal beginning somewhere in the 10 to 15 day period. Oh we finally have tropical forcing on our side? That could be the missing piece. Here we go!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 I'm at almost 2700'. Snow level will be 2701' tomorrow....lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I like the way things are trending right now. The GFS is really liking the idea of some pretty legit cold around day 10 in addition to the moderate cold up until then. Sure not seeing that on the ensembles but sounds good to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 One thing I certainly like about tonight's GFS run is it shows the surface low tracking inland over SW WA tomorrow instead of NW WA or SW BC. It shows very limited moisture though. Certainly a bunch of snow chances in the coming week. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Oh we finally have tropical forcing on our side? That could be the missing piece. Here we go!!!! We sure do. The models had been advertising a favorable MJO wave to emerge at the very end of the month, but it emerged much sooner than had been expected. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 48 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: In that case, winter cancel. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, Acer said: Sure not seeing that on the ensembles but sounds good to me. Speaking of ensembles. Breakfast Club is a great movie......analog anyone? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 54 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Very misleading. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 8 minutes ago, Acer said: Sure not seeing that on the ensembles but sounds good to me. The 18z and 0z showed some Canadian cold air arriving at day 10 on both the regular and parallel GFS models. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: One thing I certainly like about tonight's GFS run is it shows the surface low tracking inland over SW WA tomorrow instead of NW WA or SW BC. It shows very limited moisture though. Certainly a bunch of snow chances in the coming week. GFS showed chances for Tues/Wed then again for Thur/Fri. Certainly some chances coming up. I'll be happy to see some flakes flying even if accumulations are limited. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, Phil said: In that case, winter cancel. Well it sucks until the very end. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Snow in the air, looking a bit too warm again at the moment. Offshore flow at least. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 LOOK OUT NOW! PDX up to HALF INCH of snow! 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Euro is basically dry for the Sound at hour 84 compared to what the GFS was showing with some light snow. Also a couple degrees warmer for Seattle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: LOOK OUT NOW! PDX up to HALF INCH of snow! I'm at work Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 I’m going to nuke NC if they steal another snowstorm from me. Would rather suffer thru warm rain than get missed to the south. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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