umadbro Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 I'd like to see more clearing off the coast if things are going to pan out tomorrow evening. 2 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Timmy said: Not an extreme outlier. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said: I’m just hoping for a few snow showers at my elevation tomorrow. 1 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, Requiem said: I’m just hoping for a few snow showers at my elevation tomorrow. Hey me too! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Can't believe none of you fools posted the weeklies 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Can't believe none of you fools posted the weeklies Looks like things stay chilly overall. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Can't believe none of you fools posted the weeklies Tim will only do it if they are bad 5 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looks like things stay chilly overall. East coast ridging!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, umadbro said: I'd like to see more clearing off the coast if things are going to pan out tomorrow evening. Wetbulb temps are what will matter. Want to see dewpoints in the 27ish range ahead of the precip tomorrow to have much of a shot. Looks iffy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 PDX stayed below 45 today without the benefit of stratiform precip in the afternoon hours. Landmark achievement. 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Wetbulb temps are what will matter. Want to see dewpoints in the 27ish range ahead of the precip tomorrow to have much of a shot. Looks iffy. When does the flow turn offshore? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BLI snowman said: PDX stayed below 45 today without the benefit of stratiform precip in the afternoon hours. Landmark achievement. Things are starting to turn around. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: PDX stayed below 45 today without the benefit of stratiform precip in the afternoon hours. Landmark achievement. They said it couldn't be done. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 This will be interesting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 17 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said: Euro has pretty much seemed to stabilize on that. Mark Nelsen has spoken though and wishes to end any further delusions of grandeur: " TUESDAY AFTERNOON & EVENING HIGHLIGHTS • THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE METRO AREA & LOWLANDS WILL NOT SEE STICKING SNOW TOMORROW P.M. • Where the precipitation is heavier (far west metro up against Coast Range) we see a decent chance for at least a dusting. That’s anywhere west of Hillsboro or North Plains. It’s possible Forest Grove, Banks, Chehalem Mtn. pick up more than a trace. Timing is 4pm-10pm. • We think there won’t be enough precipitation and/or temperatures won’t be cold enough for sticking snow (or even in the air) for just about all other areas. " He thinks Trace - 3 inches for far western PDX metro (west of Hillsboro/North Plains) and no sticking for rest of the region. An entirely rational forecast yet still annoying . 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy said: When does the flow turn offshore? Gradients go flat or weakly offshore late tonight and the easterlies will probably get going near the river around sunrise. Should at least be a solid freeze overnight. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, Timmy said: Tim will only do it if they are bad Sounds like he and Fred are best buds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 45 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said: Washington County special? Could provide a little challenge to Omegaraptor to still find a way to hate the event if that map panned out. I have faith though! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 I’m guessing the euro isn’t showing much for western WA Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: Washington County special? Could provide a little challenge to Omegaraptor to still find a way to hate the event if that map panned out. I have faith though! If so my meteoritic rise to most snow deprived member here will be nearly complete which I believe requires me to mention it on a near constant basis. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 PDX NWS Strange that they think this setup favors areas east of I-205. I see little indication for that. ...CHANCE FOR LOW ELEVATION SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... A weakening frontal system will move across western Oregon and southwest Washington Tuesday afternoon and evening. This front will spread a widespread area of precipitation across most of the area for a few hours beginning early afternoon Tuesday along the coast, and spreading to areas farther east into the Cascades by Tuesday evening. With this system, there is a chance for snow at elevations below 500 ft in the Willamette Valley north of Salem, including the greater Portland/Vancouver metro area beginning sometime mid to late afternoon on Tuesday. Confidence is moderate to high that areas in the Portland/Vancouver Metro will see a 1-3 hour period of light to perhaps moderate snow. However, confidence is lower in any appreciable accumulation amounts across the northern Willamette Valley. Within the northern Willamette Valley and the greater Portland/Vancouver metro area, the highest risk of accumulating snow, perhaps up to an inch is expected in higher elevations of the west hills, and the eastern suburbs east of I-205, and also in areas of Clark County to the north and east of Vancouver proper. These locations at elevations of 500-700 feet and higher could see a slushy inch or two of accumulation. In general, snow accumulation on roadways is expected to be minimal to none, but bridges, overpasses, ramps, and other elevated or exposed road surfaces are the locations most likely to see accumulation, and possibly some local slick spots. Any snow in low elevations below 500 feet should taper off to flurries or change back to very light rain by late evening Tuesday. Locations in the Coast Range and Cascades Foothills above 500 feet could see 2 to 5 inches of accumulation. Higher elevations above 1200-1500 feet in the Coast Range and Cascades will likely see even higher snow accumulations from 5 to 8 inches. With a general 1 to 4 inches of snow expected in the Columbia River Gorge and Hood River Valley. Anyone with travel plans Tuesday afternoon and evening should be prepared for the possibility of winter driving conditions at low elevations, with winter driving conditions a virtual certainty in the mountains above 500-1000 feet elevation, and in the Columbia River Gorge. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: I’m guessing the euro isn’t showing much for western WA Correct... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, nwsnow said: PDX NWS Strange that they think this setup favors areas east of I-205. I see little indication for that. ...CHANCE FOR LOW ELEVATION SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... A weakening frontal system will move across western Oregon and southwest Washington Tuesday afternoon and evening. This front will spread a widespread area of precipitation across most of the area for a few hours beginning early afternoon Tuesday along the coast, and spreading to areas farther east into the Cascades by Tuesday evening. With this system, there is a chance for snow at elevations below 500 ft in the Willamette Valley north of Salem, including the greater Portland/Vancouver metro area beginning sometime mid to late afternoon on Tuesday. Confidence is moderate to high that areas in the Portland/Vancouver Metro will see a 1-3 hour period of light to perhaps moderate snow. However, confidence is lower in any appreciable accumulation amounts across the northern Willamette Valley. Within the northern Willamette Valley and the greater Portland/Vancouver metro area, the highest risk of accumulating snow, perhaps up to an inch is expected in higher elevations of the west hills, and the eastern suburbs east of I-205, and also in areas of Clark County to the north and east of Vancouver proper. These locations at elevations of 500-700 feet and higher could see a slushy inch or two of accumulation. In general, snow accumulation on roadways is expected to be minimal to none, but bridges, overpasses, ramps, and other elevated or exposed road surfaces are the locations most likely to see accumulation, and possibly some local slick spots. Any snow in low elevations below 500 feet should taper off to flurries or change back to very light rain by late evening Tuesday. Locations in the Coast Range and Cascades Foothills above 500 feet could see 2 to 5 inches of accumulation. Higher elevations above 1200-1500 feet in the Coast Range and Cascades will likely see even higher snow accumulations from 5 to 8 inches. With a general 1 to 4 inches of snow expected in the Columbia River Gorge and Hood River Valley. Anyone with travel plans Tuesday afternoon and evening should be prepared for the possibility of winter driving conditions at low elevations, with winter driving conditions a virtual certainty in the mountains above 500-1000 feet elevation, and in the Columbia River Gorge. After much thoughtful deliberation I just decided I like the NWS and that Mark sucks. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, nwsnow said: PDX NWS Strange that they think this setup favors areas east of I-205. I see little indication for that. ...CHANCE FOR LOW ELEVATION SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... A weakening frontal system will move across western Oregon and southwest Washington Tuesday afternoon and evening. This front will spread a widespread area of precipitation across most of the area for a few hours beginning early afternoon Tuesday along the coast, and spreading to areas farther east into the Cascades by Tuesday evening. With this system, there is a chance for snow at elevations below 500 ft in the Willamette Valley north of Salem, including the greater Portland/Vancouver metro area beginning sometime mid to late afternoon on Tuesday. Confidence is moderate to high that areas in the Portland/Vancouver Metro will see a 1-3 hour period of light to perhaps moderate snow. However, confidence is lower in any appreciable accumulation amounts across the northern Willamette Valley. Within the northern Willamette Valley and the greater Portland/Vancouver metro area, the highest risk of accumulating snow, perhaps up to an inch is expected in higher elevations of the west hills, and the eastern suburbs east of I-205, and also in areas of Clark County to the north and east of Vancouver proper. These locations at elevations of 500-700 feet and higher could see a slushy inch or two of accumulation. In general, snow accumulation on roadways is expected to be minimal to none, but bridges, overpasses, ramps, and other elevated or exposed road surfaces are the locations most likely to see accumulation, and possibly some local slick spots. Any snow in low elevations below 500 feet should taper off to flurries or change back to very light rain by late evening Tuesday. Locations in the Coast Range and Cascades Foothills above 500 feet could see 2 to 5 inches of accumulation. Higher elevations above 1200-1500 feet in the Coast Range and Cascades will likely see even higher snow accumulations from 5 to 8 inches. With a general 1 to 4 inches of snow expected in the Columbia River Gorge and Hood River Valley. Anyone with travel plans Tuesday afternoon and evening should be prepared for the possibility of winter driving conditions at low elevations, with winter driving conditions a virtual certainty in the mountains above 500-1000 feet elevation, and in the Columbia River Gorge. This is a pretty traditional CAD setup, albeit pretty weak. Precip rates also appear to be more favorable west of I-5. Temp wise for most of the metro, I can’t see anyone wetbulbifying below 35 or so with surface temps starting right around 40 or a touch above and slowly warming mid levels. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Deweydog said: This is a pretty traditional CAD setup, albeit pretty weak. Precip rates also appear to be more favorable west of I-5. Temp wise for most of the metro, I can’t see anyone wetbulbifying below 35 or so with surface temps starting right around 40 or a touch above and slowly warming mid levels. Gonna depend a lot on how cold we get tonight and when the cloud cover for the incoming system reaches the area. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Deweydog said: This is a pretty traditional CAD setup, albeit pretty weak. Precip rates also appear to be more favorable west of I-5. Temp wise for most of the metro, I can’t see anyone wetbulbifying below 35 or so with surface temps starting right around 40 or a touch above and slowly warming mid levels. I think you just copy pasted your forecast discussion from 1/9/17 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: I think you just copy pasted your forecast discussion from 1/9/17 What’s your call? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: What’s your call? Hard telling. It would be fun to see some snow in the air at least. Meaningful accumulation would exceed my wildest expectations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, umadbro said: Gonna depend a lot on how cold we get tonight and when the cloud cover for the incoming system reaches the area. None of that really matters all that much. In a perfect world, with a sufficiently dry boundary layer, moderate precip and 925mb temps below freezing, the air mass will adjust accordingly. Unfortunately all those are pretty iffy at best for most of the metro area. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Plenty of cold, dry air over here.....temp/humidity is dropping rapidly already this early evening with NNE winds..... Already 29.8. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: Hard telling. It would be fun to see some snow in the air at least. Meaningful accumulation would exceed my wildest expectations. D**n. I thought you saw something 1-10-17ish about this setup. No thundersnow, I guess. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 26, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Currently a mix of stuff falling and 35 degrees. Had a high of 39. .29” on the day. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: D**n. I thought you saw something 1-10-17ish about this setup. No thundersnow, I guess. 12/15/87 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1987/us1215.php It snowed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Correct... Of course you came in to deliver the bad news. 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, wxmet said: Of course you came in to deliver the bad news. Of course I also deliver good news as well. Several times in the last 24 hours in fact... mostly for Oregon because that is where the actual good news is right now. It was a question about what a model showed for a specific area. I posted the map. Fun times. Feels like our political environment... you are great as long as you only tell me what I want to hear. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Of course I also deliver good news as well. All the time. Several times in the last 24 hours in fact... mostly for Oregon because that is where the actual good news is right now. It was a question about what a model showed for a specific area. I posted the map. Fun times. Feels like our political environment... you are great as long as you only tell me what I want to hear. And as expected, the self-victimization and somehow turning this into a political argument. Not everything is political. Those of us who have been on here long enough know your "Fair and Balanced" routine 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Here we go again. 1 2 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 12 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 12/15/87 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1987/us1215.php It snowed. That’s crazy. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Featured Comment OysterPrintout Posted January 26, 2021 Featured Comment Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 I hereby allocate the next 2 hours to an open discussion about whether or not Tim only posts good or bad maps and whether he's a consummate truth teller or whether it is low key trolling. This forum to resume at 7:30 for the 00z GFS. *hits gavel* 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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