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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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Man if only this were closer.

Perfect wave breaking sequence produces a ridge bridge from the Aleutians through the Arctic, with the main anticyclone centered over the Beaufort.

-WPO/-EPO/-PNA/-AO/-NAO. :lol:
 

image.thumb.png.2825d47255ff082d6dc501dbb7b45f9c.png

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Looks good. Let’s move it forward!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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And back to our regularly scheduled progranning of nothing awesome in the believable range, unless you count sloppy snow as awesome tomorrow night.

 

I reserve the right to change my opinion if by chance tomorrow night over performs here, which it might, gut feeling is showing up for some reason.

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5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

She let him out of the basement. 

Yes Phil, this obese, out of shape a$$hole said it.

Looks like I need some new material. :lol:

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5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

She let him out of the basement. 

Yes Phil, this obese, out of shape a$$hole said it.

Aren't you golfing these days?   You used to regularly post pics of golfing even during the winter.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Aren't you golfing these days?   You used to regularly post pics of golfing even during the winter.

Nobody golfs when water is falling from the sky. You of all people should know.

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13 minutes ago, Phil said:

Man if only this were closer.

Perfect wave breaking sequence produces a ridge bridge from the Aleutians through the Arctic, with the main anticyclone centered over the Beaufort.

-WPO/-EPO/-PNA/-AO/-NAO. :lol:
 

image.thumb.png.2825d47255ff082d6dc501dbb7b45f9c.png

What are the odds of something like this verifying in your opinion Phil?

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7 minutes ago, Phil said:

Nobody golfs when water is falling from the sky. You of all people should know.

Yeah... we don't golf in cold rain.    Not enjoyable in my opinion and golfing is supposed to be enjoyable for the money you spend.   ;)

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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As some have pointed out the GFS ensemble is even better than the 18z.  It gets cold sooner too.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

00Z ECMWF is a step back from previous ECMWF runs for tomorrow night...

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_12hr-1748800 (3).png

It must be super light with the precip like the GFS. Why does this have so much less than the other map posted?

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z ECMWF is a step back from previous ECMWF runs for tomorrow night...

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_12hr-1748800 (3).png

That’s okay, we are getting blasted soon anyway! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z ECMWF is a step back from previous ECMWF runs for tomorrow night...

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_12hr-1748800 (3).png

I haven't felt it for this week in this area, but I thought some places would do well.  I still think the North Interior and Kitsap Pen have a decent shot at something good.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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36 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Not quite as snowy as 18z but still lots of pepto. 

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-2980000.png

Wouldn't take much for the Puget Sound to add four inches to that also. Hour 300-340 have cold rain for parts of Puget Sound but snow for Mossman and company. This is all speculative and 300+ hours out

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The chunky stuff that fell earlier is now frozen solid! Official warning shot! 
Oh and I threw all of my forks in that garbage can...I’m not forking anything just yet! 

2738B71C-0E5D-4178-9BD3-6CB94CE11771.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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