BLI snowman Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 22 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said: I remember specific activities during events but not all the exact meteorological specifics from a weather event. I wouldn’t mind going back again and researching how it all went down but I am just too lazy to piecemeal the different sites to compile it all. I really need to document in detail past events which I may start doing (if someone wants to babysit my kids). A thorough catalog of pics is a great way to start doing that. Just ask Mossman! (about the pic taking, although I'm sure he'd make a solid babysitter as well) 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Looks like it is now snowing near sea level along the Umpqua River... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, Acer said: Crap, I’m up to 41.5. It was 36 about a few hours ago! East wind kicking up a bit. Yeah, east wind sucks here too, amazing what a difference just a few degrees of wind shift makes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: Yeah, east wind sucks here too, amazing what a difference just a few degrees of wind shift makes. It’s ripping snow up this way now. 32.9F with a good inch of snow in the past 90 minutes. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 The key to the whole thing for week two is how much energy pinches off NW of Hawaii behind the block that causes the cold trough over us around day 7. The latest ECMWF looks better in that regard. We'll see if that pays dividends for day the 8 to 10 day period. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 39 degrees. DP 27. Cloudy and windy. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Cave Junction getting hammered. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 13 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: Yeah, east wind sucks here too, amazing what a difference just a few degrees of wind shift makes. It sucks except when it doesn't. I've had east wind cause snow here when everywhere else is getting rain. Much of the time it hurts us though. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Cave Junction getting hammered. Andrew, why is your phone 2 hours ahead? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The key to the whole thing for week two is how much energy pinches off NW of Hawaii behind the block that causes the cold trough over us around day 7. The latest ECMWF looks better in that regard. We'll see if that pays dividends for day the 8 to 10 day period. Its not a good sign to see the cold trending east of the rockies on the models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 22 minutes ago, Acer said: Crap, I’m up to 41.5. It was 36 about a few hours ago! East wind kicking up a bit. Sure does reek of snow outside though. Might get 10-20 flakes overnight. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Andrew, why is your phone 2 hours ahead? He must be on Oklahoma time (CST) 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 I like this ECMWF better than last night's 0z. At day 8 the block is sharper and there is another high pressure cell piggy backing up the western side of the ridge. The evolution last night wasn't as favorable. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Day 9'er poops! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It sucks except when it doesn't. I've had east wind cause snow here when everywhere else is getting rain. Much of the time it hurts us though. It's probably a bit more beneficial in your area than here. I've never seen a decent snowfall with east winds here, it always requires some northerly component otherwise it is either too warm or too dry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Its not a good sign to see the cold trending east of the rockies on the models. I'm comparing this run to previous runs of the Euro. It is trending toward he GFS. There might be a brief period where the blocking ends up too far east and then retrogrades. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er poops! I think it has potential actually. Kona low is there. The details are going to change on every run as we well know. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 17 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: It’s ripping snow up this way now. 32.9F with a good inch of snow in the past 90 minutes. Getting some road accumulation on the Malahat now, definitely helps to be closer to a wind breaker in these situations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: He must be on Oklahoma time (CST) Yes, I am in Tulsa this evening. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Conflicting reports! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 BTW...if you compare today's day 9 to yesterday's day 10 ECMWF it is better. Also remember we have phase 7 MJO wave going for us. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 The wind! They were supposed to die down by now but still going and it’s 41 degrees now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, OysterPrintout said: Conflicting reports! The fact of the matter is tonight's ECMWF is better than the previous 0z. Not as good as the GFS but getting better. This forum always has a negative tilt. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Day 10 ugly, but we know Day 6+ is going to change many times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Day 10 ECMWF is poised to go places. We'll just have to wait and see. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 10 ugly, but we know Day 6+ is going to change many times. You are misreading this I think. Far from ugly IMO. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Kona low is there and a ridge merger is happening at day 10. Way too negative a take. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Can’t wait to get out and hike green mountain tomorrow been too long since I’ve been on a hike. Will post some pics. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Light snow, not sticking. Temp 35˚F, DP 30˚F. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Latest update of the 3.4 ENSO region comes it at -1.1C. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Latest update of the 3.4 ENSO region comes it at -1.1C. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: If the new GFS were to verify that is literally a 19th century cold wave being depicted. Absolutely epic cold for us and a sizeable part of the country. One thing that's becoming abundantly clear is there are going to be some very powerful blocking features developing as we get into February. Some of the Omega blocks that have been shown on recent runs are insane. It remains to be seen how the thing will set up though. Meh, it was saying such things last January. Trust me, it won’t verify. Best that can be hoped for is that it is correct about an arctic blast (which will be garden-variety, not epic). Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 25 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: It's probably a bit more beneficial in your area than here. I've never seen a decent snowfall with east winds here, it always requires some northerly component otherwise it is either too warm or too dry. It definitely helps that we often duck out of the wind when it’s east and especially SE. the only gusts we are getting now are from the NE. 32F with about 1.5” now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: I think if we roll the dice again with -ENSO, we come out much snowier than we have so far this winter. Though of course, let's wait until summer before declaring La Niña... that spring barrier can be very deceptive. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 6z GFS in 2 hours 11 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Still have lots of hope for us getting something meaningful in February. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I think if we roll the dice again with -ENSO, we come out much snowier than we have so far this winter. Though of course, let's wait until summer before declaring La Niña... that spring barrier can be very deceptive. Don't Nina tend to double dip? I wouldn't be surprise if we go into Nina again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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