Skagit Weather Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Ended up with 1.66" yesterday and 1.97" in the last 24 hours. 06z GFS is wet in the long range, especially for the mountains and buries the Washington Cascades in about 150" of snow. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, weatherwonder said: https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/arctic-air-to-inundate-western-half-of-canada-next-few-weeks/892326 Brett Anderson has pulled out the blue crayons again for the PNW for the second week of February onward We shall see That is about what the EPS has been showing... no surprise there. Looks like we are just on the western edge initially and then it moves farther away on his maps. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Ended up with 1.66" yesterday and 1.97" in the last 24 hours. 06z GFS is wet in the long range, especially for the mountains and buries the Washington Cascades in about 150" of snow. Yeah... I think the GFS showed something like 360 inches of snow for Lake Tahoe and they got about 36 inches instead. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Freezing rain for 12hrs straight. Not fun. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Tim is emotionally invested in February being a nothingburger. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Tim is emotionally invested in February being a nothingburger. I actually think February still has a decent chance. I am just growing weary of models that over-promise... we have been posting cold and snow maps for 3 straight months and nothing has happened yet. I am not going to believe anything until its within 4 days. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: I actually think February still has a decent chance. I am just growing weary of models that over-promise... we have been posting cold and snow maps for 3 straight months and nothing has happened yet. I am not going to believe anything until its within 4 days. You're finally getting it!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I actually think February still has a decent chance. I am just growing weary of models that over-promise... we have been posting cold and snow maps for 3 straight months and nothing has happened yet. I am not going to believe anything until its within 4 days. It gets old doesn't it. I remember December 2016, how badly we torched that fall, I didn't believe it was going to get cold until it actually did. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 42 minutes ago, weatherwonder said: https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/arctic-air-to-inundate-western-half-of-canada-next-few-weeks/892326 Brett Anderson has pulled out the blue crayons again for the PNW for the second week of February onward We shall see 6th time the charm? Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 I noticed Fairbanks forecast low tonight is -40. Warms up pretty quick this week however. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Roundup for January High 56* Low 25* and adv. temp of 41.9 5 freezes Precipitation 9.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 12z looks colder in the mid-range. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: 12z looks colder in the mid-range. I just realized its February... we are posting in the wrong thread. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 I just got laid off today so I'll have lots of time to ride the models this week. I guess there's always a bright side. At any rate we have good consensus that a GOA block will explode in the 7 to 10 day period. Without that we have nothing so that's a big deal. Now we wait and see how the details of said blocking play out. MJO is expected to remain stalled in region 7 for an extended period so we have a decent chance of something pretty good happening. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 1, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 42 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I just got laid off today so I'll have lots of time to ride the models this week. I guess there's always a bright side. At any rate we have good consensus that a GOA block will explode in the 7 to 10 day period. Without that we have nothing so that's a big deal. Now we wait and see how the details of said blocking play out. MJO is expected to remain stalled in region 7 for an extended period so we have a decent chance of something pretty good happening. Sorry to hear that but glad you will be posting more! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: I just got laid off today so I'll have lots of time to ride the models this week. I guess there's always a bright side. At any rate we have good consensus that a GOA block will explode in the 7 to 10 day period. Without that we have nothing so that's a big deal. Now we wait and see how the details of said blocking play out. MJO is expected to remain stalled in region 7 for an extended period so we have a decent chance of something pretty good happening. Well that just sucks. So sorry to hear that. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 6 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I just got laid off today so I'll have lots of time to ride the models this week. I guess there's always a bright side. At any rate we have good consensus that a GOA block will explode in the 7 to 10 day period. Without that we have nothing so that's a big deal. Now we wait and see how the details of said blocking play out. MJO is expected to remain stalled in region 7 for an extended period so we have a decent chance of something pretty good happening. Praying for you snowwiz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 12 hours ago, weatherwonder said: https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/arctic-air-to-inundate-western-half-of-canada-next-few-weeks/892326 Brett Anderson has pulled out the blue crayons again for the PNW for the second week of February onward We shall see Every time I see Brett's outlooks I think of this.... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 9 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I just got laid off today so I'll have lots of time to ride the models this week. I guess there's always a bright side. At any rate we have good consensus that a GOA block will explode in the 7 to 10 day period. Without that we have nothing so that's a big deal. Now we wait and see how the details of said blocking play out. MJO is expected to remain stalled in region 7 for an extended period so we have a decent chance of something pretty good happening. Sorry to hear this, Jim! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 00z GFS Day 1 We don't often see much if any changes at Day 1, but the past 4 runs shows several subtle changes. (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 Day 3 hmmm..... (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 Some minor improvements Day 2.5 to 4 hmmm... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 Day 4 Kind of a frosted turd (Past 4 runs) Big changes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 It’s February and ICON. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 2, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Some minor improvements Day 2.5 to 4 hmmm... Was wondering why I didn’t see any posts from you this evening...It’s February now! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: Was wondering why I didn’t see any posts from you this evening...It’s February now! Oh lmao.... whoops. I thought I was IN the February thread..... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted February 2, 2021 Report Share Posted February 2, 2021 9 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I just got laid off today so I'll have lots of time to ride the models this week. I guess there's always a bright side. At any rate we have good consensus that a GOA block will explode in the 7 to 10 day period. Without that we have nothing so that's a big deal. Now we wait and see how the details of said blocking play out. MJO is expected to remain stalled in region 7 for an extended period so we have a decent chance of something pretty good happening. Sorry to hear, I got laid off from my job of 17 years back on the 18th. I knew it was coming (the plant is closing), and had been on furlough since May 2020...still sucks. No idea what kind of work you do but hopefully you can find something quick. Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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