Jump to content
The Weather Forums

January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


Recommended Posts

14 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

The next time the hour 384 snowfall map is even remotely accurate will be during the late Spring when it shows no snow anywhere.  Other than that, they aren't worth much, but here it is.

gfs_asnow_nwus_65.png

To be fair, it shows like a foot in Seattle inside hour 282.

Still not particularly meaningful considering the 12z showed less than an inch, but it's definitely not just fantasy range stuff at this point.

  • Like 2

Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Amazing

1611792000-w6ZilTvP4xQ.png

  • Like 2
  • Sad 1

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

NWS Seattle is not onboard. 

They weren’t on board the other night either lol then it got really windy

  • Like 2
  • Excited 1
  • lol 2
  • scream 1

Monthly rainfall-0.00”

Warm season rainfall-5.26”

+80s-27

+85s-9

+90s-3

+100s-2

Highest temp-106

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, MossMan said:

NWS Seattle is not onboard. 

Good. Hopefully they won't be until there's an inch or more on the ground regionally.

  • Excited 1
  • Sad 1

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The druncle had some Grey Goose.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Amazing

1611684000-hnSa8yacbdc.png

FRAME IT

  • Excited 1
  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

And this is the mean...

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, MossMan said:

NWS Seattle is not onboard. 

Their forecast only goes through next Thursday and they really didn't comment on anything after day 7 in the AFD. Any chance for snow isn't till after that.

  • Thanks 1

Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, bainbridgekid said:

Their forecast only goes through next Thursday and they really didn't comment on anything after day 7 in the AFD. Any chance for snow isn't till after that.

It's always interesting to see whether KEZI or KVAL pulls the snow and/or cold trigger first.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is just absolutely insane.

1611835200-AIP5Qzn3kHg.png

  • Like 2

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pretty sure the local NWS wasn't even buying Feb 2019 until a week of good long range runs. I might have my memory wrong.

Anyway, bought a bunch or rock and lawn soil that I wanted to get delivered the last weekend of Jan, so kind of maybe sorta of hoping this doesn't play out. I really have bought into the "Winter Canceled" lifestyle and it would be my luck that something like this happens.

  • Excited 2
  • scream 1
  • Downvote 1
  • Troll 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, iFred said:

Pretty sure the local NWS wasn't even buying Feb 2019 until a week of good long range runs. I might have my memory wrong.

Anyway, bought a bunch or rock and lawn soil that I wanted to get delivered the last weekend of Jan, so kind of maybe sorta of hoping this doesn't play out. I really have bought into the "Winter Canceled" lifestyle and it would be my luck that something like this happens.

You should buy some Palm trees too. And lots of cherries and daffodils.

  • Like 1
  • Angry 1
  • Troll 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

To be fair, it shows like a foot in Seattle inside hour 282.

Still not particularly meaningful considering the 12z showed less than an inch, but it's definitely not just fantasy range stuff at this point.

Of course, snowfall output is always fantasy beyond a few days. But I know what you mean.

  • Like 1

A forum for the end of the world.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Fircrest said:

You should buy some Palm trees too. And lots of cherries and daffodils.

There are some avid palm growers in the Everett area. While they're a little meaty, they do well.

  • Excited 1
  • Angry 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

To be fair, it shows like a foot in Seattle inside hour 282.

Still not particularly meaningful considering the 12z showed less than an inch, but it's definitely not just fantasy range stuff at this point.

Which just shows how much a small change in overall dynamics this far out can have a profound impact!

Or not. I dunno! I’m just an IT guy

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, rsktkr said:

The only question now is.....when does the rug get pulled?

Tonight? Tomorrow? This weekend?

It won't get me this time. I am prepared!

Rule of thumb says probably two more times. We probably see one more "SnOMG" run before something that looks closer to reality comes together. We probably also have everything melt away, maybe with either the UK or the ICON hanging around, only for everything to come back a week out. 

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, iFred said:

Rule of thumb says probably two more times. We probably see one more "SnOMG" run before something that looks closer to reality comes together. We probably also have everything melt away, maybe with either the UK or the ICON hanging around, only for everything to come back a week out. 

I’m not sure I’m ready for this, emotionally, given everything 2020 put us through.

  • Like 2
  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, iFred said:

Rule of thumb says probably two more times. We probably see one more "SnOMG" run before something that looks closer to reality comes together. We probably also have everything melt away, maybe with either the UK or the ICON hanging around, only for everything to come back a week out. 

Yeah we’ve gotta remember we were real close with bigtime snow maps just last January and many south of Everett didn’t get much. Then there’s February 2019 where it worked out pretty good for most of us and it had lots of good deep snow maps. It’s hard for me to imagine us getting February 2019 totals twice in a 3 year span. Really no way of knowing this point wether it’ll play out good for just an average couple inch snow event for most...a much bigger event...or the lowlands below a 1000’ getting skunked altogether. Signs are really good at this point but things can change. 

  • Like 1

Monthly rainfall-0.00”

Warm season rainfall-5.26”

+80s-27

+85s-9

+90s-3

+100s-2

Highest temp-106

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Full run

1612029600-ECc9aSV1DU4.png

  • Like 2
  • scream 2

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Full run

1612029600-ECc9aSV1DU4.png

It's so hard not to get sucked in to these pretty maps.  Have to remind myself that they usually don't actually happen, but there is the chance! I told my niece who loves snow so I probably jinxed it.  Of course I've been telling my coworkers also.  Even wrote snow for the 28th on our work calendar a few days ago as a bold prediction. Might be a few days late on that....

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Fircrest said:

It's so hard not to get sucked in to these pretty maps.  Have to remind myself that they usually don't actually happen, but there is the chance! I told my niece who loves snow so I probably jinxed it.  Of course I've been telling my coworkers also.  Even wrote snow for the 28th on our work calendar a few days ago as a bold prediction. Might be a few days late on 

I know it's long range and it's the GFS, but what I honestly like is that this is the ensemble average and not the op run.

Still a long shot but gives me hope

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Lock it in:

image.png

  • Like 4

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Can you post KPLU pls?

1610647200-tbDD2cfFhQA.png

  • Thanks 1

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A new source for weather forecasts. 

https://www.facebook.com/TheWeatherMessiah

Image may contain: one or more people, text that says 'BIBLICAL FLOODS ARE ABOUT TO RISE UPON THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY. FOR I SHALL FLUSH THE SIN FROM THIS LAND BOOK OF THE MESSIAH 6:66'

  • lol 1
  • scream 1
  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A new source for weather forecasts. 

https://www.facebook.com/TheWeatherMessiah

He came to me in a dream and told me to redirect everyone to his page and shut the forum down. In exchange, not only would I receive his blessing and the protection of Q, but Seattle would see several meters of snow before Easter.

  • Like 2
  • lol 1
  • Angry 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, iFred said:

He came to me in a dream and told me to redirect everyone to his page and shut the forum down. In exchange, not only would I receive his blessing and the protection of Q, but Seattle would see several meters of snow before Easter.

Canadian snow!

  • Like 1
  • Troll 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, wxmet said:

GFS Pressure Lev KBFI 10-day Daily Temperature High_Low.png

Well alrighty then. :)

  • Excited 2
  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am definitely not going to hold my breath for anything close to 12 inches but would be happy with even a smaller event with 2-3 inches.  North Seattle does 'okay' with fringe events due to being 250-300 feet.

Last year was a rather big letdown for areas Seattle and South with the models backing off the snowfall at the last minute if  I recall correctly.

 

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

As good as the GFS operational is the parallel run is even better.  It shows a major snowstorm followed by 507 thicknesses over SEA.  In fact the parallel has had several runs showing major snowfall now, but this is the coldest run I've seen so far.

Speaking of cold....the last two ensemble means have shown 850s dropping to -7.5, and the 18z had both the operational and control drop below -10.

  • Like 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, snow_wizard said:

As good as the GFS operational is the parallel run is even better.  It shows a major snowstorm followed by 507 thicknesses over SEA.  In fact the parallel has had several runs showing major snowfall now, but this is the coldest run I've seen so far.

Speaking of cold....the last two ensemble means have shown 850s dropping to -7.5, and the 18z had both the operational and control drop below -10.

Yeah, I don't ever recall seeing forcasted temps this low...

Sign me up!

download (7).png

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Chris unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...