January 2021 weather observations for the PNW

[GHweatherChris]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA is now at 7.02 inches for the month.  

The list of years with more than 7 inches of rain in the first 15 days of January is pretty short... it includes only 2021.

Plenty more rain coming overnight still so might get close to 8 inches.   Previous record for Jan 1-15 was 6.91 inches in 1956.    And 2006 was in second place at 6.78 inches.  

It is getting borderline absurd here, probably gonna get to 3" of rain again today or close to it, and be around 17" MTD already. 

Every system has kept moderate/heavy precip on our path since November.

[BLI snowman]

Closing in on 2" here for the day. Just hit 7" for the month as well. Wettest day since 2/11/2019 here.

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, hawkstwelve said:

Actually a bit of a stronger signal vs. 18z. Looks a little better imo. 

Winter is saved! As long as these don’t change too much...then I’m not worried. 

[Phil]

17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA is now at 7.02 inches for the month.  

The list of years with more than 7 inches of rain in the first 15 days of January is pretty short... it includes only 2021.

Plenty more rain coming overnight still so might get close to 8 inches.   Previous record for Jan 1-15 was 6.91 inches in 1956.    And 2006 was in second place at 6.78 inches.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Quick-hitter but will be fun!!

[FroYoBro]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Closing in on 2" here for the day. Just hit 7" for the month as well. Wettest day since 2/11/2019 here.

About to hit 2 inches here as well. Fanno creek right by my house is flooding onto the street now. 

[BLI snowman]

Most models had peak gradients in Western OR around 10pm. Should be about the main show right now with the south wind. 

Looking like a very strong front though so there should be an impressive west wind switch as well.

[GobBluth]

Portland nws didn't mention wind potential. Seems odd?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

19 minutes ago, iFred said:

If he steps out of line I’ll ban him, SilverFallsAndrew, and Deweydog.

Cool, I'll take that as my cue to exit stage right. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Some blustery conditions but nothing notable down here on the east side of town. Looks like elevated places around town are seeing some gusts but it's mostly just warm and wet with the occasional bluster. Currently 60F. EUG has hit a gust of 29mph so far, back at 8:15.

Quite pleasant smoking in a t-shirt and shorts on the porch.

[Requiem]

Strong winds starting here, peak should be at around 11 PM according to most models.

[MossMan]

I’m up to .47” on the day! 
Currently cloudy, windy, and 53 degrees. 

[BLI snowman]

3 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

About to hit 2 inches here as well. Fanno creek right by my house is flooding onto the street now. 

Yeah, some localized ponding here too. I drove out to Long Beach today and Highway 4 was getting pretty messy, Grays River was already washing over the road.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Except I am cheering on the heavy rain now... might as well go big and run up those totals.    Won't be much rain after tonight for the next week.   

[bainbridgekid]

Initial trough around day 10-11 is tending colder, but that is because the block is trending further West which could limit the opportunities for reinforcing shots of true cold air the last week of January IMO.

 

 

 

 

[BLI snowman]

28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA is now at 7.02 inches for the month.  

The list of years with more than 7 inches of rain in the first 15 days of January is pretty short... it includes only 2021.

Plenty more rain coming overnight still so might get close to 8 inches.   Previous record for Jan 1-15 was 6.91 inches in 1956.    And 2006 was in second place at 6.78 inches.  

Watch out for mid February. You heard it here first...

[TT-SEA]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

Watch out for mid February. You heard it here first...

I agree.

[FroYoBro]

Do you still have power Andrew?

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

6 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Initial trough around day 10-11 is tending colder, but that is because the block is trending further West which could limit the opportunities for reinforcing shots of true cold air the last week of January IMO.

 

 

 

 

That westward trend of the ridge in the end of the long range has been there the last few days in several of the ensembles.

[bainbridgekid]

3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Lowest buoy reading I could find is right near Neah Bay coming in at around 993mb at it's 9PM update. 

BLI is down to 993.6mb.

Wind definitely picking up here in Everett. Hearing quite a few reports of power outages already on Bainbridge.

[GHweatherChris]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Except I am cheering on the heavy rain now... might as well go big and run up those totals.    Won't be much rain after tonight for the next week.   

We agree!!

[ShawniganLake]

8 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

BLI is down to 993.6mb.

Wind definitely picking up here in Everett. Hearing quite a few reports of power outages already on Bainbridge.

990.8mb here. 

[Requiem]

It’s gusty, we’ll see if winds intensify. What do y’all think?

[OysterPrintout]

Some power flickering here which is pretty unusual for downtown area. 

[jcmcgaffey]

56 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA is now at 7.02 inches for the month.  

The list of years with more than 7 inches of rain in the first 15 days of January is pretty short... it includes only 2021.

Plenty more rain coming overnight still so might get close to 8 inches.   Previous record for Jan 1-15 was 6.91 inches in 1956.    And 2006 was in second place at 6.78 inches.  

Ya it’s crazy SEA could get a quarter of its yearly rainfall in just the first 12 days.  Rain and warm stats have definitely been easy to come by the last decade.  Just a side note 23” is the lowest annual rainfall for SEA in 1952.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Day 5

[OysterPrintout]

15 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

Some power flickering here which is pretty unusual for downtown area. 

Update: looking out the window I saw a big flash on the east side which I assume was a transformer blowing. Friend in SE says power is out. Just pouring still and street signs swaying.

[Requiem]

Transformer blew up just outside but seems pretty tame so far. Every model still says wind gets more intense, hmm

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said:

Ya it’s crazy SEA could get a quarter of its yearly rainfall in just the first 12 days.  Rain and warm stats have definitely been easy to come by the last decade.  Just a side note 23” is the lowest annual rainfall for SEA in 1952.

And right on queue in what seem to be a common theme this fall/winter when we have a major rain or AR event that come through, new records are broken either in the rain department or high temps. Olympia tied its record high of 56 today. 

[FroYoBro]

3 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

Update: looking out the window I saw a big flash on the east side which I assume was a transformer blowing. Friend in SE says power is out. Just pouring still and street signs swaying.

Yeah, pretty stormy, but nothing above 40 mph here. 

[Skagit Weather]

Barometer reading 992 mb here. Wind hasn't increased much in the last hour or so, but it looks like it won't peak until 1-4 a.m.

[Blizzard777]

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

[Requiem]

Question for a more informed individual— are the peak winds with this system supposed to be with the pressure rises as the system passes by? Furthermore, when does euro say peak gusts are?

[TacomaWaWx]

Up to 2.02” of rain so far today. Should add on a bit more in the next 90 minutes. Should end up one of my top 10 wettest days in the last 15 years of records at this location. 3.29” storm total...about to go over 8” on the month. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[Dave]

Eugene has joined the 60 degree club.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8 Yuck

[Omegaraptor]

Portland gusted to 38. C'MON! Higher!

[MossMan]

Lovely looking icicles in Winthrop.